With how the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs played out, if you bet one of the early favorites to win MVP of the 2022 Super Bowl, you are out of luck. Five of the top six players, per odds offered before Wild Card Weekend, are no longer in the playoffs.
The betting strategy we outlined, though, is one gamblers should still keep in mind. If you have a favorite amongst the 49ers, Bengals, Chiefs, and Rams to win Super Bowl LVI, consider putting money down on one of their players to win Super Bowl MVP honors.
Super Bowl MVP Odds
Let’s examine a partial list of the Super Bowl MVP odds posted at PointsBet, FanDuel, and BetRivers:
| Odds to win Super Bowl LVI MVP | PointsBet | FanDuel | BetRivers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | +170 | +180 | +160 |
| Matthew Stafford | +320 | +320 | +325 |
| Jimmy Garoppolo | +750 | +750 | +800 |
| Joe Burrow | +900 | +1000 | +1000 |
| Cooper Kupp | +1200 | +1000 | +800 |
| Tyreek Hill | +2000 | +2000 | +2000 |
| Travis Kelce | +2000 | +2100 | +2000 |
| Aaron Donald | +3000 | +3200 | +2000 |
| Elijah Mitchell | +4000 | +4600 | +4000 |
| George Kittle | +4000 | +3900 | +3300 |
| Deebo Samuel | +2000 | +2300 | +1600 |
| Cam Akers | +5000 | +4600 | +2500 |
| Jerick McKinnon | +5000 | +7000 | |
| Ja'Marr Chase | +6000 | +4600 | +5000 |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | +7000 | +7000 | +3300 |
| Byron Pringle | +7000 | +13000 | +8000 |
| Odell Beckham Jr | +7000 | +6000 | +5000 |
| Van Jefferson | +7000 | +10000 | +8000 |
| Tyler Higbee | +7000 | +12500 | |
| Von Miller | +7000 | +7000 | +3300 |
| Jalen Ramsey | +7000 | +13000 | +12500 |
| Sony Michel | +10000 | +10000 | |
| Nick Bosa | +7000 | +7000 | +3300 |
| Mecole Hardman | +10000 | +10000 | +8000 |
Of course, now that fewer teams and players are eligible, the odds for some of the leading candidates are not as long as they were when the playoffs got underway. For example, before the Wild Card Round, you could have taken Joe Burrow at +2200; now, his odds are down to +900. Jimmy Garoppolo’s odds have been shortened from +4000 to +750.
If you are kicking yourself for not putting money down on Patrick Mahomes when his odds were at +550, his odds will get lower than +180 if the Chiefs beat the Bengals. Heading into last year’s Super Bowl, his odds of winning MVP were -120.
Betting Analysis
Yes, if you bet now, there is a chance you’d be putting your money down on a player who doesn’t even make it to Inglewood. However, if you pick the right player, the payout will be better than waiting to see who wins the AFC and NFC title games. Your wager will also pay better than a futures bet on that player’s team.
No one would blame you if you were to go with a quarterback, except for Garoppolo. Not that Jimmy G can’t have an MVP-worthy performance, but other players on the 49ers seem more likely to win MVP honors. San Francisco is a run-first, defensive-minded team that wins despite its quarterback. So, maybe think Deebo Samuel, Nick Bosa, or another defender.
As for the other three teams, it is easy to see one of their quarterbacks taking home the MVP. However, there are other players bettors should consider, like Cooper Kupp, Aaron Donald, Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill, or Ja’Marr Chase. It all depends on who you think will make it to the Super Bowl.
The Rams are favored by 3.5 against the 49ers in the NFC Conference Championship. Kansas City is favored by a touchdown in the AFC Conference Championship against a Bengals team that beat the Chiefs, 34-31, in Week 17.
Also read: Super Bowl 2022 Odds at FanDuel, DraftKings
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