With the completion of Sunday’s Texans-Saints game, the preseason has come to an end. As we wait for the regular season to get underway, it is a great time to review the latest Super Bowl 58 odds.
The Kansas City Chiefs opened as the betting favorite and appear set to enter the regular season in that position. But several teams are poised to knock the Chiefs off their pedestal. But who can do it?
We’ve examined the odds and have made our preseason Super Bowl picks. Read on to see our picks for best bets, value picks, and long shots to win Super Bowl 58.
Best Bets to Win Super Bowl 58
Repeat Super Bowl winners have happened; the last team to do so was the New England Patriots, with wins in Super Bowls 38 and 39. Since then, only three teams have made it to back-to-back Super Bowls (Seahawks, Super Bowl 48 and 49; Patriots, Super Bowl 52 and 53; Chiefs, Super Bowl 54 and 55).
All three went 1-1.
Getting to two consecutive Super Bowls is an impressive feat in itself. But winning two in a row? Easier said than done, but certainly something the Kansas City Chiefs are capable of. But next to the Chiefs, we like these teams:
San Francisco 49ers
With Trey Lance getting traded to the Dallas Cowboys, one thing is clear— the San Francisco 49ers are Brock Purdy’s team. The last Mr. Irrelevant to play a regular season snap was Chad Kelly in 2017 (who is now a star in the CFL). Can Purdy make history and become the first Mr. Irrelevant to lead his team to Super Bowl glory?
As long as Joe Burrow’s calf injury does not become a lingering issue and he can remain relatively healthy throughout the season, the Bengals will be in the conversation come playoff time.
Will the Super Bowl hangover claim the Philadelphia Eagles season? Did the Eagles sign Jalen Hurts to a long-term deal too early? Will he be even better this season? The team will have a few new faces on it this season, but Philly is expected to be one of the top contenders coming out of the NFC.
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Super Bowl 58: Value Picks
With how some teams finished the 2022 season and the moves others have made during the offseason, several could rise in 2023 and become legitimate contenders. The following are three of our favorites:
New York Jets
Aaron Rodgers and the Jets looked like potential contenders in his brief debut in the Jets final preseason game. It will not be as easy to look like a contender once the regular season starts, but just seeing Rodgers behind center has to be encouraging for Jets fans. After all, Rodgers has done more with less talent.
But the Jets will have their work cut out for them to make the Super Bowl, let alone win it. With teams like the Chiefs, Bengals, and Bills in their way, making it to the big game will not be easy– but they will be in the hunt.
With new defensive coordinator Vic Fangio and some off-season roster additions, the Dolphins could have one of the better defenses in the league this season. Should Miami trade for Jonathan Taylor, the Dolphins may jump to the front of the pack in the AFC (or at least near it). Of course, Tua Tagovailoa will have to stay healthy.
But if he can, with Taylor in the backfield, Miami will give the Bills a run for their money in the AFC East and might even go all the way.
If the passing game improves as expected and the run game doesn’t lose a step, Baltimore may have one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL this year. Combine that with a defense that ranked in the top 10 in total yards allowed and top three in scoring last season, and you have a Super Bowl contender on paper.
That is if Lamar Jackson can stay healthy. But if he does stay healthy and the offense is as good as it looks on paper, they could become a steal.
Super Bowl Picks: Longshots
It is not common to see a team go from being one of the NFL’s worst teams to winning the Super Bowl. It has happened, though.
Since Super Bowl 16, there have been five winners that had +5000 odds or longer in the preseason:
- Super Bowl 16: San Francisco 49ers +5000
- Super Bowl 34: St. Louis Rams +15000
- Super Bowl 36: New England Patriots +6000
- Super Bowl 52: Philadelphia Eagles +6000
- Super Bowl 55: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6000
It is unlikely a team will make that kind of transition in one year, but it is possible. The following teams will need quite a few things to go their way to win the Super Bowl. But if those things do go their way…
If the Bears trade for Jonathan Taylor, Chicago may go from being a longshot to a potential contender overnight. Justin Fields will still need to take the next step in his progression, but with teams having to gameplan for Taylor, some of the pressure will come off of Fields.
New York Giants
With the strides the team made in Year 1 under Brian Daboll, it is not ridiculous to think the Giants could take another massive leap this season.
How in the world could the Titans become contenders? Think about the 2019 squad. The defense was good (but not great), Derrick Henry dominated in the run game, Ryan Tannehill did a solid job as a game manager, and Corey Davis and A.J. Brown were one of the better wide receiver tandems in the league. Henry is still a beast, the passing game will benefit from the addition of DeAndre Hopkins, and the defense is still good (but not great).