Super Bowl Odds History: Recent Trends Favor Bengals To Beat Rams

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The Eagles covered the spread the last time there was an underdog of at least 4 points in Super Bowl odds history (Photo by Fred Kfoury III/Icon Sportswire)

With the upstart Cincinnati Bengals set to face the L.A. Rams on February 13 at SoFi Stadium, let’s look back at Super Bowl odds history to see if we can glean some trends for bettors to ponder.

Recent Super Bowl history favors the Bengals. Underdogs getting more than four points have won outright on four straight occasions, and they’ve covered the spread in six straight Super Bowls. Most recently, in Super Bowl 52, Philadelphia defeated New England 41-33 as a 4.5-point dog.

When betting opened on Super Bowl 56 as the Rams were wrapping up their 20-17 win over the 49ers in the NFC Championship Game, L.A. was as cheap as a 3.5-point favorite over the Bengals, who had beaten the Chiefs 27-24 a few hours earlier for the AFC title. The line move to a betting market consensus of Rams -4 later Sunday night, and it didn’t take long for the spread to reach -4.5, where it sits on most oddsboards as of this Wednesday post.

Before the Eagles’ outright win over the Patriots, the Broncos (+4.5) beat the Panthers in Super Bowl 50, the Ravens (+4.5) got past the 49ers in Super Bowl 47, and the Saints (+5) prevailed over the Colts in Super Bowl 44.

In the two Super Bowl prior to New Orleans-Indianapolis, the underdog Cardinals (+7 vs. the Steelers) and Giants (+12 vs. the Patriots) both covered the spread, although Arizona lost the game outright, while New York pulled off one of the biggest upsets in Super Bowl history.

The Bengals have covered seven consecutive games entering Super Bowl 56. Cincinnati opened the season 150-to-1 to win the Super Bowl. The Bengals will match the ’99 St. Louis Rams as the longest shot to win it all if they can beat L.A. on its home field.

The Bengals are +168 on the moneyline at FanDuel, but the sportsbook is offering new customers a special offer: Bet $5 on either the Rams or Bengals to win Super Bowl 56 at +5600 (56-to-1 odds) for a potential payout of $280.

Super Bowl Betting Trends

Over the 55 Super Bowls so far, favorites have covered 28 times, underdogs 25, and two games have pushed. But many of those chalk cashes came early in Super Bowl history, as favorites covered in 11 of the first 14 and 15 of the first 21 Super Bowls. Underdogs went on an 10-3 ATS run from Super Bowl 36 though 48.

Three straight Super Bowls have stayed ‘under’, but there’s a dead-even split of 47-47 on over/unders in Super Bowl history. There was no total posted for Super Bowl I.

We caution, though, these trends are from small sample sizes and should not be the prevailing factor of your wagering decisions.

Here’s a complete list featuring the odds and betting results for each Super Bowl that’s been played to date.

Betting Odds And ATS Results For Every Super Bowl

Super BowlTeamsSpreadTotalWinner/Final ScoreATS CoverOver/Under
55Chiefs-BucsChiefs -3.556.5Buccaneers 31-9BuccaneersUnder
54Chiefs-49ersChiefs -1.553.5Chiefs 31-21ChiefsUnder
53Rams-PatriotsPatriots -355.5Patriots 13-3PatriotsUnder
52Patriots-EaglesPatriots -4.549Eagles 41-33EaglesOver
51Falcons-PatriotsPatriots -357.5Patriots 34-28PatriotsOver
50Broncos-PanthersPanthers -4.543Broncos 24-10BroncosUnder
49Seahawks-PatriotsSeahawks -147.5Patriots 28-24PatriotsOver
48Broncos-SeahawksBroncos -247.5Seahawks 43-8SeahawksOver
4749ers-Ravens49ers -4.548Ravens 34-31RavensOver
46Patriots-GiantsPatriots -2.553Giants 21-17Giants Under
45Packers-SteelersPackers -345Packers 31-25Packers Over
44Colts-SaintsColts -557Saints 31-17SaintsUnder
43Cardinals-SteelersSteelers -746Steelers 27-23CardinalsOver
42Patriots-GiantsPatriots -1255Giants 17-14GiantsUnder
41Bears-ColtsColts -747Colts 29-17ColtsUnder
40Steelers-SeahawksSteelers -447Steelers 21-10SteelersUnder
39Eagles-PatriotsPatriots -746.5Patriots 24-21EaglesUnder
38Patriots-PanthersPatriots -746.5Patriots 32-29PanthersOver
37Buccaneers-RaidersRaiders -444Buccaneers 48-21BuccaneersOver
36Patriots-RamsRams -1453Patriots 20-17PatriotsUnder
35Giants-RavensRavens -333Ravens 34-7Ravens Over
34Titans-RamsRams -745Rams 23-16PushUnder
33Falcons-BroncosBroncos -7.552.5Broncos 34-19BroncosOver
32Broncos-PackersPackers -10.549Broncos 31-24BroncosOver
31Packers-PatriotsPackers -1449Packers 35-21PushOver
30Steelers-CowboysCowboys -13.551Cowboys 27-17SteelersUnder
2949ers-Chargers49ers -18.553.549ers 49-2649ersOver
28Bills-CowboysCowboys -1150.5Cowboys 30-13CowboysUnder
27Bills-CowboysCowboys -6.544.5Cowboys 52-17CowboysOver
26Bills-RedskinsRedskins -749Redskins 37-24RedskinsOver
25Giants-BillsBills -740.5Giants 20-19GiantsUnder
24Broncos-49ers49ers -12.54849ers 55-1049ersOver
2349ers-Bengals49ers -74849ers 20-16BengalsUnder
22Broncos-RedskinsBroncos -347Redskins 42-10RedskinsOver
21Giants-BroncosGiants -9.540Giants 39-20Giants Over
20Patriots-BearsBears -1037.5Bears 46-10BearsOver
1949ers-Dolphins49ers -3.553.549ers 38-1649ersOver
18Raiders-RedskinsRedskins -348Raiders 38-9RaidersUnder
17Redskins-Dolphins Dolphins -3 36.5 Redskins 27-17 Redskins Over
16Bengals-49ers 49ers -1 48 49ers 26-21 49ersUnder
15Eagles-RaidersEagles -337.5Raiders 27-10RaidersUnder
14Steelers-RamsSteelers -10.536Steelers 31-19SteelersOver
13Cowboys-SteelersSteelers -3.537Steelers 35-31SteelersOver
12Broncos-CowboysCowboys -639Cowboys 27-10CowboysUnder
11Vikings-RaidersRaiders -438Raiders 34-14RaidersOver
10Steelers-CowboysSteelers -736Steelers 21-17CowboysOver
9Vikings-SteelersSteelers -333Steelers 16-6SteelersUnder
8Dolphins-VikingsDolphins -6.533Dolphins 24-7DolphinsUnder
7Redskins-DolphinsDolphins -133Dolphins 14-7 DolphinsUnder
6Dolphins-CowboysCowboys -634Cowboys 24-3CowboysUnder
5Cowboys-ColtsColts -2.536Colts 16-13ColtsUnder
4Chiefs-VikingsVikings -1239Chiefs 23-7ChiefsUnder
3Jets-ColtsColts -1840Jets 16-7JetsUnder
2Raiders-PackersPackers -13.543Packers 33-14PackersOver
1Packers-ChiefsPackers -14N/APackers 35-10PackersN/A

Also read: Printable or online Super Bowl squares | Super Bowl touchdown scorer props | Super Bowl 56 MVP odds | Super Bowl same game parlays

About the Author

Kris Johnson

Writer & Contributor
With more than 15 years of experience as a sports journalist, Kris Johnson’s work has appeared in Sports Business Daily, Sports Business Journal, NASCAR Illustrated, and more. Kris also wrote a sports-betting novel entitled The Endgame.

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