Super Bowl Odds, Injuries, Prediction for Chiefs vs. Eagles

The 2022 NFL season reaches its climax on Sunday when the NFC’s Philadelphia Eagles face the AFC’s Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl 57 at the home of the Arizona Cardinals in Glendale.

The Eagles opened as 2.5-point favorites but quickly settled in as a 1.5-point choice at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and PointsBet.

Super Bowl Odds: Chiefs vs. Eagles Spread, Total, Moneyline

Here are the current Super Bowl odds from the top US sports betting apps. It’s always recommended to shop around various sportsbooks to find the best prices for your bets and to take advantage of multiple sportsbook bonuses.

Where the Chiefs and Eagles Stand Heading Into the Super Bowl

It’s the first time in five years the top seeds in both conferences reached the title game. Last season, the LA Rams defeated the Cincinnati Bengals, 23-20, in a battle between a pair of No. 4 seeds.

Philadelphia (10-9 against the spread) and KC (7-11-1 ATS) come in with 16-3 records and their hopes hinging largely on the ability of their standout QBs to produce while playing through injuries.

Philadelphia’s Jalen Hurts sprained his right (throwing) shoulder on Dec. 18 and was held out the next two games (both losses) before returning in Week 18. He then guided the Eagles to a 38-7 divisional round win over the NY Giants and then a 31-7 win over the San Francisco 49ers and its top-rated defense a week later (FYI: KC did even better against SF at midseason, winning 44-21).

Although Hurts hasn’t been as dynamic as early on, with only two TD throws and an INT in his past three games, he didn’t need to be a hero in relatively one-sided victories.

It remains uncertain, however, if he’s yet at 100 percent but he has shown he’s able to keep taking a pounding, totaling 20 carries in the playoff wins. He was the team’s second-leading rusher this year and has a total of 15 rushing TDs this season, which is the most ever for a QB. Speaking of the most, the Eagles set a league record in the NFC title game with their 39th rushing touchdown of the season.

As for KC and QB Patrick Mahomes, he famously suffered a right high ankle sprain on Jan. 21 in a 27-20 divisional round victory against the Jacksonville Jaguars. A week later, he led a 23-20 triumph over Cincinnati in the AFC title game. Commentators noted that he appeared to wince in pain on occasion, especially when rolling to the left and setting up to throw on the injured plant foot.

In the only previous meeting between these QBs, in Week 4 last season, the Chiefs won a score fest in Philly, 42-30, with Mahomes throwing for five TDs and WR Tyreek Hill having 185 receiving yards (but Hill’s with the Miami Dolphins these days).

Hurts didn’t do badly either, with a career-high 387 yards and two scores.

That game gave Chiefs head coach Andy Reid a 3-0 mark against the Eagles since being fired by the team after the 2012 season. He was boss in Philly for 14 years and had 10 playoff victories.

He’ll have to deal on Sunday with one of the league’s most well-balanced teams. The Eagles are the first squad in the past 12 seasons to rank in the top three in total offense (third) and defense (second) in the regular season and will be going against the Chiefs’ high-octane offense that was tops in the league. But on the downside, KC ranks 27th on the defensive passer rating chart, allowing an NFL-high 33 TD passes.

The Chiefs also have been penalized 15 times for pass interference (counting the postseason), which is tops in the league. That issue could come into play while trying to cover standout WR A.J. Brown (fourth in the league with 1,496 receiving yards), fellow WR DeVonta Smith, and TE Dallas Goedert while also guarding against the run game.

One of the Chiefs’ strengths in the passing game is that they lead in yards after the catch, headed by All-Pro tight end Travis Kelce. He’s had three scores in the playoffs to go with 12 in the regular season.

In the rushing game, both teams are potent.

Philly has rushed for more than 250 yards in three of its past nine games, including a league-high 363 in a win over a Green Bay Packers team that didn’t yield even half that to anyone else. Leading the way in the regular season was Miles Sanders with 1,269 yards, but in two playoff games, it’s been Kenneth Gainwell with 160.

KC has thrived behind rookie battering ram Isiah Pacheco, who spearheaded the team’s playoff win over Jacksonville with 95 yards, including a 39-yard burst. And RB Jerick McKinnon is a dual-threat running and especially as a receiver with nine TD catches this season. One of Philly’s weaknesses has been covering RBs on pass plays.

As with regard to the pass rush, no teams were more successful this season harassing passers than the Eagles (78 sacks counting eight in the postseason) and Kansas City (62 counting seven in playoffs). Philly edge rusher Haason Reddick has been particularly effective as of late with 3.5 sacks in the postseason and a forced fumble. KC’s Frank Clark has had 2.5 in the playoffs but will be going against an Eagles line that has a pair of first-team All-Pros in center Jason Kelce and ORT Lane Johnson.

Eagles vs. Chiefs Injuries

Mahomes said this week he’ll give the ankle a good test on Friday and Saturday to see how he can handle the execution of specific plays.

Eagles vs. Chiefs Fun Facts

Andy Reid

Reid is well-known for his innovative game plans coming off a bye week, going 30-6 dating to the beginning of his career in 1999 with Philadelphia. He’s also 22-14 ATS. However, over the past three seasons, he’s only 1-5 ATS, including a nail-biting 20-17 win over the Tennessee Titans at midseason this year as a 14-point home favorite. Second-year Eagles head coach Nick Sirianni, meanwhile, is 3-0 SU/2-0-1 ATS in his brief career with extra downtime.

Over/Under

Barring late movement on the betting boards, this game will be the 27th in the league this year with a point total listed at 50 or more. Kansas City already has been in 11 of them, with their games going Under in eight. The Eagles haven’t had any games with a total this high.

Coaches With Rings vs. Coaches Without Rings

Reid has oodles more playoff experience than Sirianni, including a championship victory three seasons ago versus San Francisco. In Super Bowl history, coaches who previously won an NFL title have gone 17-7 against coaches without a ring (14-9-1 ATS). However, over the previous 25 seasons, title-winning bosses have only gone 5-6 in this scenario (3-7-1 ATS). Included was Reid’s loss to the Tampa Bay Bucs and head coach Bruce Arians two seasons ago.

Chiefs vs. Eagles Props

Last Score of the Game Will Be a Safety for the Chiefs or Eagles (60-1)

It’s happened before in the Baltimore Ravens’ 34-31 victory over San Francisco 10 years ago when the Ravens’ punter took an intentional safety instead of punting from his own end zone in the closing seconds.

Then, there’s the possibility in the closing seconds that a team resorts to a desperation lateral-rooskie play that winds up going haywire. Or maybe a center snap sails over the QB’s head.

Eagles Will Score in the First Quarter (+105)

Since Philadelphia has scored more first-possession touchdowns in the league, with 10 in the 17 games Hurts played, the odds seem extra nice. Particularly, against a Chiefs’ defense that led the league in touchdown passes allowed.

More props: Patrick Mahomes | Jalen Hurts | Travis Kelce | Miles Sanders | Players | Rushing | Passing

Chiefs vs. Eagles Analysis & Prediction

If the Eagles’ offense was able to push around the top-ranked defense of San Francisco, twice having TD drives that included seven first downs, there’s reason to believe Philly will be able to have success against a KC defense that has improved as the season evolved but not against offenses ranked inside the top 10.

The Eagles are particularly effective on first-and-goal situations, going 6-for-6 in the postseason, and as noted have the most rushing TDs in history. If they concentrate on going through the air, they’ll be facing a defense that’s allowed the most passing TDs in the league and has a habit of drawing flags.

With regard to that Eagles’ pass rush, they should find success at the edges against a pair of Chiefs tackles that are closer to being mediocre than good.

If the Eagles can do a good job of tackling after the catch and keep Pacheco from running wild, Philly should be able to pull this off.

Forecast: Eagles 26, Chiefs 20

Super Bowl: Odds | Bonuses | Squares | How to bet