The Super Bowl is the main attraction for sports bettors, and one area that receives extra attention is the player props market.
This year’s Super Bowl contest between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles is loaded with household names like Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, and Travis Kelce and bettors are inevitably going to go with those players. However, we’ve discovered a few unsung heroes that provide immense betting value.
Here are our sleeper Super Bowl props. On this list are a pair of lesser-known running backs who will provide a spark on the ground for the Eagles.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles Super Bowl Odds
The Eagles (between -120 and -125 on the moneyline as of Thursday afternoon) are 1.5-point favorites against the Chiefs. Bettors can grab the underdog with odds ranging from +100 to +108.
Here’s an interesting betting nugget for you: In the 56 past Super Bowls, the outright winner is 47-7-2 ATS (85.7%). Bettors are diving head first into this trend because Kansas City has received 54% of moneyline tickets, and Philadelphia has received 70% of spread tickets at DraftKings.
The Over/Under total for this matchup is set at a high 50.5 points on legal US sports betting apps.
NFL · Sun (2/12) @ 6:35pm ET
|Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Sleeper Prop Picks for KC-PHI Super Bowl
Kenneth Gainwell Over 19.5 Rushing Yards (-110, FanDuel)
It took the entire regular season for Kenneth Gainwell to finally show what he’s made of. Gainwell has handled 26 total carries over the team’s two playoff games for a grand total of 160 yards rushing. He ran for at least 20 yards in both games.
Philadelphia was leading for most of those such games, which partially explains his uptick in usage. However, he led the team in carries and rushing yards last week. He doesn’t need to lead the pack again in the Super Bowl — even a measly five carries should be enough to Over here.
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Boston Scott Over 19.5 Rushing Yards (+350, BetRivers)
Boston Scott is fourth in the Eagles’ pecking order for carries, so he’s not going to get a ton of runs on Sunday. But no matter how many carries he sees, he often crushes his projections.
That’s why we’re focusing on his alternate rushing line of 19.5 yards for an extremely high payout. Scott has logged 20-plus rushing yards in each of his last three games and has topped his Super Bowl line in six of his 17 total games on the season.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Under 35.5 Receiving Yards (-115, DraftKings)
MVS was getting a ton of snaps and catches before Kadarius Toney rolled into town. Now, he’s a low-volume, big-play receiver who finishes games with low yardage totals. He exceeded this line just once over his last seven games — it happened in the AFC Championship Game.
Besides, the Eagles completely control the skies, allowing the fewest yards through the air per game (171.0) and the fewest yards per pass attempt (5.4).
Quez Watkins Anytime TD Scorer (+750, FanDuel)
You don’t know which version of Watkins you’re going to get. He might catch three balls and a go-ahead touchdown. He also might post a donut in the biggest game of his life. With Fanduel offering a tall price of +750, it’s worth the gamble.
All five of his NFL touchdowns, including the three he scored this season, came from 22 yards out. In a competitive contest like this one where deep shots are crucial for winning, Hurts may call on Watkins to make a big play. And remember, the Chiefs give up the most passing touchdowns.
Skyy Moore Over 7.5 Receiving Yards (-110, BetMGM)
Similar to Watkins, Moore just needs one opportunity. But the difference is that Moore doesn’t need a big play, let alone a touchdown. He can top this line on just one target.
The Chiefs’ wide receiver room is a little banged up. Mecole Hardman is out with a pelvis injury, and Kadarius Toney was listed as questionable for most of the week before ultimately getting removed from the injury report. Head coach Andy Reid might look down the depth chart for a dark-horse wide receiver to get an extra target or two.
That was certainly the case in Super Bowl 55 against the Buccaneers, as eight different Chiefs players caught at least one pass, and six of them finished with at least 10 receiving yards.