Surprise: Texans to beat Patriots outright

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If Alabama won the BCS Championship by 10 points it could have been a very ugly situation for the books with Wild Card games chalk, chalk, chalk and chalk.

I am sure that did not bode well for the Nevada sports books, especially the Ravens game that went from -6½ to -8½; and the Packers money was very strong. Will the favorite trend continue?

My question this week to all football fans out there: Is it all about winning or are people just stupid? Why in the name of you know who was RG III, the hope and dreams of the Redskins in the upcoming years, still out there risking his entire career on one game?

Even if they did win they were most likely going to get beat this week. We hope he will be OK and that someone will get to the bottom of this. It has been said his doctor never cleared him to play. Just another black eye for the money hungry NFL.

With that said and done let’s take a look at this week’s four NFL divisional playoff games.

SATURDAY

Ravens +9 at Broncos (45): On Dec. 16 the Ravens played Denver in Baltimore and got 2½ points. They got crushed 34-17. The Ravens beat the Patriots 31-30 in Baltimore, a team that beat the Broncos 31-21 in New England.

There is just one question to be answered: What team has the best big game QB (Peyton Manning) and the answer is easy. The one thing we do not know is what will the weather be like? It can get very nasty in Denver this time of year so if there is snow in the forecast look for a play on the under in a game in which the the point spread could be decided by a turnover here or there.

I will not bet against Denver even though that +9 looks mighty appealing. Maybe if it goes to +10 they could get me. BRONCOS -3 on teaser.

Packers +3 at 49ers (45): I was sitting at Palace Station making my horse donations when this line went up in the sports book. Here comes “Dickie Two Dimes” running over yelling and screaming “Are they nuts? Wrong favorite! Wrong favorite!”

The bottom line is Two Dimes is the nut, but anyhow let’s get to the meat and potatoes. Revenge will be in the air as the 49ers beat the Packers on opening day in Green Bay 30-22. Even though the Packers will travel cross country and play a rested 49ers team they will get revenge. Maybe Two Dimes really was right. PACKERS.

SUNDAY

Seahawks +2 at Falcons (45½): These two did not meet during the regular season but no one played better than Seattle the last part of the season with their brutal running game. If the Falcons can stop the run they will win. With the fan noise at a high pitch I see them getting the victory in what will be a very ugly low scoring game. FALCONS/UNDER.

Texans +9½ at Patriots (48½): Now if a line ever looked large, this one does. Playing at Gillette Stadium in the cold, Belichick’s great record or the great Tom Brady don’t matter. What matters is the Patriots just are not that great this year.

New England probably gets the win, but then again maybe not, and there will be a little money line bet on the dog as the Texans look for revenge from the humiliating 42-14 Monday night loss at Foxboro on Dec. 10. TEXANS/MONEY LINE.

The stage is set for the Conference Championship games next week. Have a good week and hope all enjoyed the BCS title game this past Monday night. I know a lot of bettors were looking for the hard 10 to show up.

Richard Saber, a former director of race and sports at the famed Stardust book, is GamingToday’s horse racing and sports handicapper. Contact Richard at [email protected].

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