October is here and the games will become even more significant for the teams eyeing a spot in the College Football Playoff.
We have some fairly significant games coming up this weekend as Michigan State takes on Wisconsin in a key Big Ten battle. Oklahoma will square off with Texas in the annual Big 12 Red River Rivalry matchup that always takes place in early October in Dallas. Alabama will face Texas A&M on the road in College Station and of course Florida will face LSU down in the Bayou in a massive Saturday night showdown in the SEC.
This is one of those weeks with so many of the playoff contenders being involved in tough matchups against solid opponents where you can expect some kind of shake-up in the landscape of the College Football Playoff when the dust settles on all the action taking place this weekend.
Oklahoma vs. Texas +11.5: I’ve made an annual tradition of backing Texas in this Red River Rivalry game against Oklahoma and I’ve been rewarded each time.Texas is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings against the Sooners and each of the last five meetings since 2014 have been decided by a TD or less.
We know that Tom Herman’s track record as an underdog has been nothing short of spectacular in his head coaching career. Texas’ only loss this season came by seven points against LSU and I have LSU on par with Oklahoma this season. Texas has had no problems matching Oklahoma point for point offensively in recent head-to-head meetings with QB Sam Ehlinger more than capable of moving the football here for the best offense that Oklahoma has seen to this point by far. TEXAS
Washington -6.5 at Arizona: The Huskies suffered their second loss of the season last weekend in a 23-13 loss. I still think this is a good Washington squad that just happened to put forth a lackluster game against a depleted Stanford team.
The last time Washington lost, which was at home to Cal, they showed their ability to bounce back strong with a 52-20 win against Hawaii. I think they have a much better game in them here and there is certainly a big gap between these two teams in terms of their ability to play defense.
Washington is allowing nearly a full yard per play less than Arizona and the Wildcats are likely to struggle to run the football here against a solid Huskies defensive front. If you can make QB Khalil Tate one dimensional and force him to throw the football you can beat Arizona.
I also like Washington QB Jacob Eason to play well here against a very suspect Arizona defense. Washington by a TD or more. WASHINGTON
Charlotte at Florida International, Total 63.5: The 49ers’ offense is improved this season and they are also playing at a much faster pace and tempo this season under first- year head coach Will Healy. Charlotte is averaging 35.8 points per game and 425.8 yards per game with a very balanced offense between the run and pass and now they face an FIU defense that has really been a disappointment this season, allowing 85 points combined in the two games against the only two solid offenses they played (Tulane and Louisiana Tech).
On the flip side, FIU’s offense has started to get going with 30+ points in three straight games and senior QB James Morgan is playing better after a slow start. They’ll face a Charlotte defense that is still porous allowing 45+ points in three of their last four games. OVER
Last week: 0-3