Three Free Picks from the Pigskin Picks column

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Raiders (+4) at Cardinals (41): Often when weak offenses face weak defenses the offenses have the edge. But with both of these offenses lacking running games and also being prone to turnovers, it’s hard to envision many sustained drives or big plays. UNDER

Steelers (-5.5) at Jaguars (47.5): This is major revenge for the red-hot Steelers who were solidly beaten by the Jags at home in last season’s Playoffs.  At 3-6 this truly is a “must win” for the Jaguars if they are to have any realistic chance of reprising last season’s trip to the Playoffs. STEELERS

Monday

Chiefs (+4) at Rams (64): This has been the season’s most anticipated matchup for over a month when it became clear that both of these high-powered offenses have legitimate chances to carry their teams to a rematch in the Super Bowl. Both are 9-1 and rank second and third in total yards per game and scoring. The Rams have the statistically better defense but the KC defense has been efficient enough that the Chiefs have the slightly better scoring differential, +11.3 vs. +10.4. And in fact, the Chiefs have a very slight edge in defensive yards per play (5.95 vs 6.03) which is a much better indicator than the traditional rankings yardstick of yards per game.

Quite simply, either team can win this game and it might well come down to who has the ball last as that team’s offense will be a favorite vs the opposing defense. Getting any points in what can arguably be justified as a pick ‘em game is a bonus. CHIEFS

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About the Author

Andy Iskoe

Owner and author of “The Logical Approach,” Andy Iskoe has been a long time GT columnist, contributing weekly in-season columns on baseball, pro basketball and pro football.

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