NFL · Thu (10/14) @ 8:22pm ET
|Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania|
Here is a look at Thursday night’s game between Tampa Bay and host Philadelphia. According to the weather forecast, as of Wednesday morning there was a zero percent chance of rain at The Linc.
Tampa Bay Bucs (4-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (2-3)
- Time: 8:20 p.m. EDT
- Line: Bucs by 7 (52.5)
The skinny: Eyes will be on the injured right thumb of Bucs QB Tom Brady (probable) when TB takes on QB Jalen Hurts and the Eagles.
Facts: The Eagles are getting this week’s atomic wedgy from the NFL schedule-maker in playing their fourth game in 18 days. No other team this year faces such a squeeze. The sequence started with a MNF road game in Dallas in Week 3, a 41-21 defeat. Brady banged his right thumb on a follow-through during last week’s 45-17 home victory over Miami but didn’t leave the game until the final minutes after throwing for 411 yards and five TDs. However, former Patriots teammate Willie McGinest said on TV that if the injury was serious Brady wouldn’t be talking about it so much. The Bucs had the best rush defense the previous two seasons and are, pardon the pun, running away as the best this seasons, too, allowing 229 yards through five games (2.9 a carry). By comparison the Chargers yielded 230 ground yards to Cleveland last Sunday. But the Bucs will likely be without their second leading tackler, Lavonte David (doubtful, ankle). Based on yards per carry, Philly (5.0) will have the best running game the Bucs will have faced to date, but that’s thanks in large part to Hurts’ 6.0 norm. Until now, among Bucs foes New England had the best rushing average at 4.7 a carry, but was held to minus 1 yard two weeks ago on eight rushes.
Full TNF Odds At Major Sportsbooks
Analysis: As if the Eagles didn’t have it rough enough in facing the defending Super Bowl champs, rookie coach Nick Sirianni is operating on three-days’ prep for the first time. Rookie bosses this year are 0-2 SU/ATS in this scenario and over the past four years a cumulative 3-9/4-8 when not facing another first-year boss. Plus, Philadelphia tight end Dallas Goedert, tied for the team lead with two TD receptions and four catches of 20-plus yards, is on the COVID list and ORT Lane Johnson (personal) hasn’t been practicing. And defensively, if the Eagles can give up more than 40 points in back-to-back games to Dallas and Kansas City, they can do again against the Bucs.
Forecast: Bucs 38, Eagles 21
Last week: 7-8-1 ATS; 10-6 SU
Season total: 45-33-2 (.577) ATS; 53-27 (.663) SU