Titans vs. Chiefs Odds & Prediction: AFC Heavyweights Showdown on SNF

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The Tennessee Titans are scheduled to play the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday Night Football in Week 9 of the 2022 NFL season.

The Chiefs were listed as an 11-point choice last week. But now they are a favorite ranging from 12-12.5 points on the betting boards at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and PointsBet.

Let’s take a look at the latest Titans vs. Chiefs odds on Sunday Night Football as well as our prediction.

SNF Odds: Point Spread, Moneyline, Total

Here are Sunday Night Football odds from around the sports betting marketplace.

TEN Titans vs KC Chiefs Odds NFL Odds

NFL · Sun (11/6) @ 8:20pm ET

TEN Titans at KC Chiefs
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

Bet Titans vs. Chiefs at DraftKings: Up to $1,250 Bonus

Titans-Chiefs AFC Heavyweights Showdown on SNF

Both teams are division leaders in the AFC with 5-2 records, tied for the second-best conference mark behind Buffalo (6-1).

Kansas City (3-4 against the spread), leaders in the West and in quest of its record seventh straight division crown, is coming off a bye after routing San Francisco and its top-rated defense, 44-23. One of the Chiefs’ losses was to the Bills, 24-20.

The Titans (5-2 ATS), frontrunners in the South, are on a five-game winning streak since opening the season with a 21-20 loss to the New York Giants and then getting blown out by Buffalo 41-7, the second-most lopsided result of the season.

And, speaking of routs, in last year’s meeting between Tennessee and KC in Nashville, the Titans won 27-3 as a 4-point dog in the most one-sided loss for the Chiefs under QB Patrick Mahomes since he became the full-time starter to open 2018. Mahomes had his second-worst passer rating of the 2021 regular season in that meeting at 62.3. These days, Tennessee has the league’s 25th-rated pass defense (based on passer rating) after ranking ninth in 2021.

Titans vs. Chiefs Odds & Prediction: AFC Heavyweights Showdown on SNF
Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes is featured in our Titans vs. Chiefs odds & prediction: AFC heavyweights showdown on SNF (AP Photo/Lachlan Cunningham)

Also, WR AJ Brown had 133 receiving yards in that game for Tennessee, but now he plays for Philadelphia.

This season, the teams’ offenses are on different ends of the spectrum, with KC’s ranked No. 2 and the Titans’ last among the 32 teams despite having standout RB Derrick Henry (third on the rushing chart). Flashback: KC had the worst-ranked offense in 1986 and made the playoffs at 10-6.

Mahomes leads the league with 20 TD passes while the combo of Ryan Tannehill and rookie Malik Willis have six for Tennessee, tied for the league team low. And it’s uncertain as of early Thursday if Tannehill (questionable, ankle) will miss his second straight game. He sat out last Sunday’s 17-10 win at Indy with Willis having a winning, yet sketchy starting debut. He dropped back to pass only 13 times, was sacked on three occasions, and threw an INT. His passer rating was 35.4, the second worst for any starting QB on a winning team this season.

A key in this game is how Henry (questionable, foot) will be able to perform after having heavy workloads in back-to-back games. Last week, he had a league season-best 219 ground yards on 32 carries, coming a week after rushing 30 times.

Those 219 yards came against Houston, which is on pace to have the worst rushing defense in the NFL in the past four decades. KC, meanwhile, gives up the third-fewest yards on the ground.

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Titans vs. Chiefs SNF Prediction

Among other things, the Chiefs have the advantage of coming off a bye, which has been sort of magical in the coaching career of Andy Reid.

Dating to 1999 when he was with Philadelphia, his teams are 28-6 (22-12 ATS) after a week off (including the postseason).

This break might be enough for the Chiefs to get back one of their top LBs, Willie Gay, who has missed five games with an ankle injury.

With regard to Tennessee’s air game, it’s been largely ineffective this season without the departed Brown, with leading receiver Robert Woods totaling 256 yards. By comparison, Brown had 156 for Philly last week.

Thus, if coach Mike Vrabel has to insert Willis in the huddle again, fans shouldn’t expect any offensive fireworks.

Also, if by chance Henry sits this one out (unlikely), their backup RBs have totaled only 23 carries this year. Henry was limited in drills at midweek.

And finally: For the record, entering Week 9 double-digit favorites were 5-5 ATS this year (9-1 SU), including Buffalo’s big win over Tennessee as a 10.5-point choice.

Prediction: Chiefs 35, Titans 14

Also read: NFL Week 9 betting tips and strategies | NFL Week 9 betting picks and predictions | NFL Week 9 survivor picks

About the Author
Bob Christ

Bob Christ

Bob Christ, based in New Mexico, has been a gaming writer (primarily the NFL) for almost four decades, with his work appearing in publications/websites across North America. He's a big fan of the Arkansas Razorbacks, Philadelphia's Eagles and Phillies, and inexplicably the NHL's Winnipeg Jets.

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