The conclusion of the NFL regular season begins this Saturday with a doubleheader. The matchup slated for primetime is the Titans vs. Jaguars – the winner takes the AFC South division title and secures a playoff spot.
Division games for all the marbles are among the most entertaining games of the year, regardless of records, and here we look at player props and anytime touchdown scorer bets for this contest.
Titans vs. Jaguars Betting Lines
The Jags won the last matchup handily, 36-22, and the Titans are down to their third-string QB making the start. With all the ingredients for a letdown game at home, the pressure lays heavily on the Jags to handle business. These types of games are some of the most difficult to predict, but there are a few solid player props to consider ahead of the showdown.
First, let’s look at odds from top sportsbook apps on this AFC South matchup.
NFL · Thu (11/2) @ 8:18pm ET
|Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania|
Best Player Props and Touchdown Scorers for Titans vs. Jags
The Titans’ decision to start Joshua Dobbs (who they signed just two weeks ago) in place of the struggling rookie Malik Willis shows they aren’t planning to mail this game in. But if they are to have a chance, they will have to stick with what has made them competitive all year long, which means feeding Derrick Henry.
The Jags have been an up-and-down team for most of the year, but starting QB Trevor Lawrence has been a constant of late, and that shouldn’t change in this matchup.
Titans’ Player Props and TD Scorers
Caesars: Derrick Henry to score 2 touchdowns (+410)
Henry has been one of the best touchdown scorers in the league for fantasy owners and gamblers for years now. This year, he is tied for second in the league in total rushing touchdowns with 13. In his 15 starts this year, he has scored a touchdown in all but five games. With a starting QB who was signed just two weeks ago, you can expect him to get extra touches and to see the Titans get creative to free him up.
He has carried the ball a minimum of 17 times in each of his last three matchups. The extra carries will drastically help his odds of getting into the end zone, especially if the Titans are able to hit a few big plays off play-action passes. A $100 bet here wins you $410 at Caesars, which makes this a low-risk, high-reward option.
FanDuel: Joshua Dobbs Over 200 Passing Yards (+148)
Dobbs and the Titans’ play callers proved in the team’s matchup against the Dallas Cowboys last week they won’t significantly limit their new QB. Dobbs had success through three quarters against the Cowboys, keeping the game within four points going into the fourth. Although the Cowboys pulled away late, Dobbs threw the ball nearly 40 times for 232 yards.
The Cowboys are eighth in the league against the pass, and the Jags are 28th. The Titans allowing Dobbs to throw the ball as much as he did, combined with the Jags’ friendlier passing defense, is a good recipe for topping 200 yards in this one.
You may also want to consider Dobbs as a TD scorer. The Titans love play-action and misdirection, and it’s going to be critical for their success in this one, which could give Dobbs a few shots at the end zone using his legs.
Jaguars’ Player Props
FanDuel: Trevor Lawrence to pass for more than 275 Yards (+120)
The Titans have the league’s worst passing defense, allowing 279 yards per game. In their last matchup, Lawrence threw for 368 yards and three touchdowns. The Titans will look to slow the game down with a successful run game, but a bad defense is a bad defense. That may work to keep the score low, but that doesn’t mean they have an answer to slow Lawrence down through the air.
You also must consider turnover potential with a new QB starting for the Titans. If they can force Dobbs and company into a few turnovers, the extra possessions may be just enough for Lawrence to top the 275 yards mark.