UFC 279 Odds & Props: Diaz Heavy Underdog vs. Chimaev in Possible Farewell

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UFC 279 sets the stage for an exciting, storyline-filled night of fighting that holds major career implications. The pay-per-view (PPV) event goes down at the T-Mobile Arena in the fight capital of the world of Las Vegas on September 10. Here’s a look at UFC 279 odds and props.

The promotion billed Swedish sensation and third-ranked welterweight Khamzat “Borz” Chimaev and UFC legend Nate Diaz to battle in the event’s five-round headliner. Oddsmakers list Chimaev – priced between -1050 and -1200 on the moneyline – as a mega favorite to take down Diaz, who is priced between +675 and +800 in what may be his final fight in the UFC.

UFC 279 Main Event Odds: Chimaev vs. Diaz

Khamzat Chimaev vs Nate Diaz Odds UFC Odds

UFC · Sat (9/10) @ 11:59 pm ET

Khamzat Chimaev at Nate Diaz
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV

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UFC 279 Betting Card

The promotion complemented its box-office main event with another 170-pound showdown. A highly anticipated matchup between Tony “El Cucuy” Ferguson and Li “The Leech” Jingliang was recently added to the September 10 lineup, making for a thrilling night of UFC betting. Ferguson – priced between +235 and +260 must put an end to a four-fight losing skid as an underdog against one in Jingliang – priced between -295 and -330.

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Bettors and fans can watch the prelims at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+. The main card is set to get underway at 10 p.m. ET on PPV. Chimaev and Diaz are projected to enter the octagon around midnight, depending on how long the other fights last.

Nate Diaz (+800) faces the longest odds of his career in his wild bout against Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 279. (Photo by Louis Grasse/PxImages/Icon Sportswire)

Young Superstar Chimaev Sweeps Early Competition

No words describe Khamzat Chimaev as a fighter better than dominant and invincible. His overall record in combat sports – pro MMA, amateur MMA, and freestyle wrestling – is 38-0.

One of the fastest rising stars in UFC history, Borz (11-0 MMA, 5-0 UFC) kick-started his UFC journey by submitting John Phillips in July 2020. Ten days later, he scored a first-round knockout over Rhys McKee – a UFC record for the fastest turnaround between consecutive wins.

The unbeaten Swede followed up his 2-0 start with a 17-second one-punch knockout against Gerald Meerschaert and a first-round rear-naked choke against his first-ranked opponent in Li Jingliang.

The 28-year-old phenom finished each of his first 10 professional MMA opponents in less than six minutes and 15 seconds. That was before he saw his first real test at UFC 273 – former welterweight title challenger and fourth-ranked welterweight Gilbert Burns. Chimaev, who absorbed 119 significant strikes by Burns, looked human for much of the 15-minute tilt, but his perseverance propelled him to a Fight of the Night victory.

Bettors who crave fighters that can rip their opponents to shreds would love to back Chimaev on September 10, regardless of the price tag. The Swede cashed in a fight bonus in all five UFC bouts, and viewers will likely see him secure another one against a relentless fighter like Diaz.

Diaz Eyes Potential UFC Exit After Facing Toughest Task of Career

Nate Diaz (20-13 MMA, 15-11 UFC) debuted in the UFC when he won The Ultimate Fighter 5 in 2017. Since then, the California native has become one of the most polarizing fighters in the world.

Holding the third most bonus awards (15) in company history, Diaz has been labeled as an entertainer rather than as a winner. The 15-year veteran has just one title shot to his name (which he lost). He has just one victory since 2016 – 4-6 record since 2012. Yet, somehow, he’s way more popular than many current and former champions, and is a cornerstone piece of the UFC’s show-stopping identity.

However, Diaz has been fairly out of sight, out of mind in recent times, fighting just one opponent – Leon Edwards nine months ago – since November 2019. The 37-year-old blamed company president Dana White for his inactivity, which has created bad blood between the two parties. With one fight left on his contract, a declining Diaz faces one of the scariest young fighters in recent memory before he looks to explore free agency.

Aside from swagger, Diaz is severely outmatched against Chimaev. He’s a superstar name, but not a superstar talent anymore. But that’s what makes Stockton’s Own such a fun fighter to root for. His 20-13 MMA record isn’t spectacular, but he knows how to give fans and bettors their money’s worth. Diaz is a cold-blooded brute who often begs his opponents for more punishment. He often showboats by turning his back towards his opponents and pointing at them for sheer fun, and viewers love every second of it.

Diaz may or may not get rocked by the third-ranked welterweight in the opening round, but one thing we know for sure is that the former – likely covered in his own blood – will lay down everything he has against the Russian-born phenom in what could possibly be the veteran’s UFC swan song.

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UFC 279 Main and Preliminary Card Odds

Here’s the lineup for UFC 279, along with each fighter’s corresponding moneyline odds at FanDuel.


— Welterweight: Khamzat Chimaev (-1200) vs. Nate Diaz (+700)
— Welterweight: Tony Ferguson (-1200) vs. Li Jingliang (+700)
— Catchweight (180lb): Kevin Holland (-205) vs. Daniel Rodriguez (+164)
— Women’s Bantamweight: Irene Aldana (-186) vs. Macy Chiasson (+144)
— Light Heavyweight: Johnny Walker (+152) vs. Ion Cutelaba (-196)


— Featherweight: Hakeem Dawodu (-225) vs. Julian Erosa (+172)
— Catchweight (220lb): Jailton Almeida (-850) vs. Anton Turkalj (+500)
— Middleweight: Denis Tiuliulin (+108) vs. Jamie Pickett (-138)
— Heavyweight: Jake Collier (-390) vs. Chris Barnett (+280)

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About the Author
Cyrus Eshaghoff

Cyrus Eshaghoff

Sports Betting Writer
Cyrus Eshaghoff is a New York-based sports writer. Whether it's heated debates or uncovering statistical insights, he loves discussing sports. Check out his Twitter account (@CyrusEshaghoff).

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