UFC Fight Night 238 Odds, Props & Predictions: Rozenstruik vs Gaziev

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The UFC is back in the Apex this weekend after visiting the electric Mexico City last week.

Heavyweights Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Shamil Gaziev will face off in the main event.

The co-main event features light heavyweights Vitor Petrino and Tyson Pedro.

Here are the UFC Fight Night 238 odds, props, and predictions.

UFC Fight Night 238: Main Event Odds

The sportsbooks have Gaziev as the slight favorite, available around . Rozenstruik is priced at around .

UFC Fight Night 238 Betting Preview: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev

Jairzinho Rozenstruik (13-5 MMA, 7-5 UFC) is looking to bounce back and hold on to his No. 12 ranking in the heavyweight division. 

Rozenstruik is 2-3 in his last five fights. But in three of those fights, he has been the main event. Granted, most of those have been at the Apex.

His UFC career started with a four-fight win streak, including finishes over Andrei Arlovski and Alistair Overeem. Rozenstruik’s resume also includes wins over Junior Dos Santos and Augusto Sakai.

On the other side of the coin, Rozenstruik has been finished by the likes of Francis Ngannou, Jailton Almeida, and  Alexander Volkov.

Lining up on the other side of the Octagon on Saturday night is Shamil Gaziev (12-0 MMA, 1-0 UFC).

Gaziev, an alum from the Dana White Contender Series, is looking to move into the top 15 with a win over Rozenstruik. This may sound ridiculous after just two fights and it sort of is, but the heavyweight roster doesn’t run too deep at the moment.

But Gaziev is scary. Of his 12 fights so far, he has 11 finishes. He has proven that he can finish fights on the feet and on the ground. 

This is more than likely a heavyweight matchup that will not hear the final bell. It might not even hear the bell at the end of the first round. 

The winner will more than likely get a top-10 matchup next. Names like Derrick Lewis and Tai Tuivasa stick out as potential summer matchups.

UFC Fight Night 238 Betting Trend

In all five of his career losses, Jairzinho Rozenstruik was the betting underdog.

UFC Fight Night 238 Main Event Props

Method of Victory (DraftKings)

  • Rozenstruik by KO/TKO: +165
  • Rozenstruik by Submission: +2200
  • Rozenstruik by Decision: +1800
  • Draw: +5000
  • Gaziev by KO/TKO: +130
  • Gaziev by Submission: +275
  • Gaziev by Decision: +1400

Total Rounds (DraftKings)

  • Over 1.5 (+145), Under 1.5 (-190)
  • Over 2.5 (+275), Under 2.5 (-400)
  • Over 3.5 (+450), Under 3.5 (-750)
  • Over 4.5 (+650), Under 4.5 (-1400)

Will Fight Go The Distance? (FanDuel)

  • Yes: +790
  • No: -1450

UFC Fight Night 238 Main Event Predictions

Prediction: Shamil Gaziev in Under 1.5 rounds (+120)


UFC Fight Night 238 Event Info

Date: Saturday, March 2, 2024
Start Time: Main Card at 4 p.m. ET
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch: ESPN+


About the Author
Gage Miskimen

Gage Miskimen

Gage Miskimen is a journalist from Marion, Iowa, who currently writes for Gaming Today and the Cedar Rapids Gazette. He graduated from the University of Iowa in 2019 and was editor of the award-winning Daily Iowan. Previously, Miskimen also spent time with the Des Moines Register. He's a lifelong fan of combat sports and martial arts.

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