UFC Fight Night Odds, Props, Predictions: Aspinall vs. Tybura Headlines London Card

For the first time in 2023, the UFC returns to London this Saturday.

After a year off due to an injury sustained in his last bout, Tom Aspinall returns in the main event slot against Marcin Tybura.

The day will battle it out in the O2 Arena right in the UK Capital. 

The co-main event will see fan-favorite Molly McCann return from her loss against the seemingly unstoppable Erin Blanchfield. This time around she takes on Julija Stoliarenko.

Here are the UFC Fight Night odds, props, and predictions.

UFC London: Aspinall vs. Tybura Main Event Odds

Sportsbooks see the main event as a chance for Aspinall to get his groove back after being out of action for the last year. BetMGM has Aspinall as a -500 favorite, making Tybura the underdog at +360. 

UFC London Betting Preview: Aspinall vs. Tybura

For this third bout in a row, Tom Aspinall (12-3 MMA, 5-1) will be fighting in his home country.

The 30-year-old from Manchester, England is looking to get back on his warpath to the top after a knee injury ended his last bout against Curtis Blaydes in 15 seconds.

Prior to that fight last July, Aspinall was on an eight-fight win streak that included his five UFC wins.

During that win streak, the only time Aspinall saw the second round was against Andrei Arlovski, who he submitted a little over one minute in round two. 

Aspinall’s streak also includes finishes over Alexander Volkov, Sergey Spivak, Alan Baudot, and Jake Collier.

His only true loss in his MMA career came by way of a heel-hook submission in his BAMMA days against Stuart Austin. His other two career losses came from a knee injury and a DQ due to illegal downward elbows. 

The man has the dominant combination of powerful striking and effective wrestling that can be really dangerous for opponents at heavyweight. We haven’t really had the chance to see if Aspinall has a gas tank due to the quick-finish nature in most of his fights. 

But Marcin Tybura (24-7 MMA, 11-6 UFC) has been sneakily building up his win column over the last three years.

Since 2020, Tybura has been 7-1 with his only loss coming from Volkov by decision. In fact, six of his last eight fights have ended in a decision. His only two finish wins in the past three years have been against Greg Hardy and Walt Harris. 

Other wins on his overall resume include Ben Rothwell, Andrei Arlovski, Stefan Struve, Alexander Romanov, Sergey Spivak, and most recently Blagoy Ivanov.

So we do know Tybura can grind out a decision win and make fights last. But will he be able to stop the overwhelming force from Aspinall? The oddsmakers say no, but it’s mixed martial arts and anything can happen.

A win for the No. 5-ranked Aspinall hopefully means a top-five matchup next. A chance to run it back with Curtis Blaydes would be a great opportunity for both guys or even a bout against Ciryl Gane sometime over the winter. Even a future fight against Jailton Almeida is certainly not out of the question as an exciting matchup.

A win for the No. 10-ranked Tybura could mean a fight against Tai Tuivasa or Jairzinho Rozenstruik.

UFC London: Aspinall vs. Tybura Props

Method of Victory (DraftKings)

• Aspinall by KO/TKO: -165
• Aspinall by submission: +275
• Aspinall by decision: +1400
• Tybura by KO/TKO: +550
• Tybura by submission: +1400
• Tybura by decision: +1600

Total Rounds (Caesars)

• 1.5 (Over +140, Under -180)

Alternate Total Rounds (BetRivers)

• Over 2.5 (+310), Under 2.5 (-480)
• Over 3.5 (+450), Under 3.5 (-835)
• Over 4.5 (+525), Under 4.5 (-1115)

Will Fight Go The Distance? (DraftKings)

• Yes: +700
• No: -1600

How Fight Will End (BetRivers)

• Submission: +250
• KO/TKO: -295
• Decision: +650

UFC Fight Night Event Info

Location: O2 Arena, London, England

Date: Saturday, July 22

Start Time: 3 p.m. ET Main Card, Prelims at 12 p.m. ET

Where To Watch: ESPN+