UFC Fight Night is back in France for the second time in history. This Saturday, Parisian heavyweight Ciryl Gane will take on Sergey Spivak in his backyard.
Previously, the first UFC Paris event headlined Gane against Tai Tuivasa. Let’s take a look at UFC odds, props, and predictions.
UFC Fight Night Odds for Main Event – Gane vs. Spivak
Here’s a look at main event odds across the best sports betting apps. Ciryl Gane is the slight favorite at . Sergey Spivak is the underdog at . The over/under is set at rounds.
UFC Paris Betting Preview: Gane vs. Spivak
Gane needs a rebound after Jones fight
The sportsbooks seem hesitant to make Ciryl Gane (11-2 MMA, 8-2 UFC) a more moderate favorite after his quick finish that came from now-heavyweight champ Jon Jones. The former interim champ Gane was made easy work for Jones, being submitted in just over two minutes of the first round. The only significant strike landed by Gane was an illegal kick to the groin.
Prior to that, it seemed likely that Gane would be a heavyweight champion quickly. The French phenom’s only other loss is to former UFC champ Francis Ngannou.
Gane had taken out Derrick Lewis, Junior Dos Santos, Alexander Volkov, and Jairzinho Rozenstruik on his win streak before facing Ngannou. And between his Ngannou and Jones bouts, he finished knockout artist Tai Tuivasa by knockout himself.
Gane is a fantastic striker but it does seem he has struggled with opponents who present strong grappling. Even Ngannou outwrestled him for five rounds in a surprising twist of events that shocked and impressed the MMA community.
The key for Gane is to keep his distance and keep it standing. He is longer than Spivak with a greater reach advantage and should use that as much as he can. A win for Gane could set up a fight with Tom Aspinall, who has called him out in the past, or with the other, even scarier Sergei: No. 1-ranked Sergei Pavlovich.
Both fights would be an even bigger challenge for Gane as Aspinall and Pavlovich are consistent first-round finishers with power and wrestling abilities. So the question remains: Can Gane deliver a victory for his hometown crowd once again?
Spivak looks to enter the heavyweight top five
Not if Sergey Spivak (16-3 MMA, 7-3 UFC) has something to say about it. The man from Moldova is currently on a three-fight win streak of finishes against Greg Hardy, Augusto Sakai, and Derrick Lewis. But, of course, Gane will be his biggest test in so far.
Spivak’s other notable wins include Tuivasa, Aleksei Oleinik, and Carlos Felipe. His losses include Aspinall, Walt Harris, and Marcin Tybura. Spivak has also shown that he brings that heavyweight power, but also possesses the skills to snatch a quick triangle choke on the ground, which he has done more than once in his UFC career.
For Spivak to be most successful, he is going to want to close Gane’s distance and knees and elbows early while getting the fight to the ground. Spivak could find some success in the grappling game, though it is probably something Gane has continued to work on since losing both to Ngannou and Jones on the mat.
A win for Spivak probably means similar results to a Gane win. Spivak has already fought Aspinall, so maybe he would get Pavlovich while we all await the results of the Jones vs. Stipe Miocic matchup. Only time will tell in the heavyweight division, but it’s an exciting time with some fresh prospects for the first time in a long time.
UFC Fight Night Odds: Gane vs. Spivak Props
Method of Victory (DraftKings)
- Gane by KO/TKO: +100
- Gane by submission: +800
- Gane by decision: +700
- Draw: +5000
- Spivak by KO/TKO: +450
- Spivak by submission: +400
- Spivak by decision: +750
Total Rounds (BetRivers)
- Over 1.5 (-195, Under 1.5 (+143)
- Over 2.5 (+117), Under 2.5 (-155)
- Over 3.5 (+180), Under 3.5 (-250)
- Over 4.5 (+270), Under 4.5 (-400)
Will Fight Go The Distance? (BetRivers)
- Yes: +280
- No: -435
How Fight Will End (BetMGM)
- Submission: +250
- KO/TKO: -175
- Decision: +325
UFC Fight Night Odds: Gane vs. Spivak Prediction
Prediction: Ciryl Gane by KO/TKO at +100
UFC Fight Night Event Info
Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France
Date: Saturday, Sept. 2, 2023
Start Time: Main Card at 3 p.m. ET
Where to Watch: ESPN+
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