It will be a late-night heavyweight clash in the main event of this Saturday’s UFC Fight Night when former title contender Derrick Lewis takes on up-and-comer Serghei Spivac.
Lewis is looking for a comeback win after losing two in a row. He is a slight underdog in a matchup against Spivac. Here, we look at UFC Fight Night odds, props, and predictions.
Regardless of the outcome, don’t blink. It’s a heavyweight main event which means chances are someone is going to sleep at the UFC Apex.
UFC Fight Night Odds: Spivac Favored on Betting Boards
As the weekend approaches, sportsbooks have the 37-year-old Lewis as the underdog at around +190 odds. The 28-year-old Spivac is a -225 favorite on DraftKings.
UFC · Sun (2/5) @ 1:00 am ET
|UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV|
UFC Vegas 68 Betting Preview
This Saturday’s card was targeted to take place in South Korea with Chan Sung Jung potentially headlining, but the “Korean Zombie” was not quite ready to fight again, so the big boys are filling in.
With the change of location moving back to Las Vegas, the UFC decided to keep a start time that appeals to Korean fans as many of the other fighters on the card are from South Korea and other Asian countries. Those in America will have to keep the caffeine ready this time around for the midnight main event start time.
Lewis Looks to Rebound From Texas Losses
Derrick Lewis (26-10 MMA, 17-8 UFC) is hoping to add another knockout to his record as the UFC’s knockout king. Lewis holds the knockout record in the promotion with 13.
Lewis is coming off brutal back-to-back knockout losses against Sergei Pavlovich and Tai Tuivasa. His last victory was a quick knockout against Chris Daukaus in Dec. 2021.
Throughout his UFC career, which began in 2014, Lewis has scored notable wins over Francis Ngannou, Curtis Blaydes, Alexander Volkov, Aleksei Oleinik, Travis Browne, and Roy Nelson.
A win for the Texas native would let him keep his No. 7 ranking and get him back on track within the division. Lewis is 1-3 in his last four fights with the three losses all taking place in his home state.
Luckily for him, he’s back in Las Vegas, where he last saw victory and broke the UFC KO record.
Spivac Trying to Enter Heavyweight Top-10
2022 was a good year for UFC heavyweights named Sergei/Serghei.
Both Spivac and Pavlovich went undefeated during the year with Spivac having back-to-back TKOS wins over Augusto Sakai and Greg Hardy.
Prior to that, Spivac had a TKO loss to fellow rising prospect Tom Aspinall.
A win for Spivac against a veteran like Lewis would be huge for his trajectory. The current No. 12-ranked heavyweight would get Lewis’ No. 7 spot and very well could set himself up to face someone in the top five next. In theory, that’s around two fights away from title talks.
The division is a little backed up with now-former champion Ngannou leaving the promotion and Jon Jones returning to face Ciryl Gane for the belt. Another former champion, Stipe Miocic, is waiting in the wings and hoping to face the winner of that fight in July.
Plus, Pavlovich is on a four-fight win streak, which includes one-minute knockouts of Lewis and Tuivasa. In other words, there’s a line and a win over Lewis at this point doesn’t get you to budge past the others, but it at least gets your name somewhat in the picture.
UFC Fight Night Props
Method of Victory
Lewis by KO/TKO (+240 on DraftKings/FanDuel)
Lewis by submission (+3900 on FanDuel)
Lewis by decision (+1600 on DraftKings)
Spivac by KO/TKO (+135 on FanDuel)
Spivac by submission (+360 on FanDuel)
Spivac by decision (+650 on DraftKings)
1.5 (Over -105 at DraftKings, Under -125 at DraftKings)
Alternate Total Rounds
Over 0.5 (-500 at DraftKings), Under 0.5 (+320 at DraftKings)
Over 2.5 (+185 at DraftKings), Under 2.5 (-255 at DraftKings)
Over 3.5 (+285 at DraftKings), Under 3.5 (-425 at DraftKings)
Over 4.5 (+380 at DraftKings), Under 4.5 (-650 at DraftKings)
Will Fight Go The Distance?
Yes (+450 at FanDuel and DraftKings)
No (-750 at DraftKings)
How Fight Will End
Submission (+330 at FanDuel)
TKO/KO (-225 at DraftKings)
Decision (+450 at FanDuel and DraftKings)
UFC Vegas 68 Main Card Odds
Here’s the main card lineup for UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac, along with each fighter’s moneyline odds at DraftKings:
Heavyweight bout: Derrick Lewis (+190) vs. Serghei Spivac (-225)
Light Heavyweight bout: Da Un Jung (-240) vs. Devin Clark (+200)
Heavyweight bout: Marcin Tybura (-135) vs. Blagoi Ivanov (+115)
Featherweight bout: Doo Ho Choi (-180) vs. Kyle Nelson (+155)
Welterweight bout: Yusaku Kinoshita (-325) vs. Adam Fugitt (+270)
UFC Fight Night Predictions
Lewis vs. Spivac, Fight to Start Round 2: No (+110 on DraftKings)
Da Un Jung via KO/TKO (+120 on DraftKings)
Marcin Tybura moneyline: (-135 on DraftKings)
UFC Vegas 68 Event Info
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada
Date: Saturday, Feb. 4, 2023
Start time: Prelims at 10 p.m. ET, Main Card at 1 a.m. ET on Feb. 5