UFC London Odds, Props, & Picks: Blaydes vs. Aspinall Headlines English-Filled Fight Night

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The UFC returns to the O2 Arena in London, England for the second time this year on Saturday, July 23. Several English fighters look to represent their home country in the British capital in what should be an exciting fight card. Here are UFC London odds, props, and picks to consider, whether you’re enjoying a Budweiser or a cup of English tea on Fight Night.

The event’s headliner features wrestler-striker hybrid Curtis ‘Razor’ Blaydes and rising English star Tom Aspinall in what should be a brutal heavyweight bout. Despite being ranked higher than his fellow heavyweight, Blaydes – priced between +110 and +120 on the moneyline around the sports betting marketplace – enters as a slight underdog, while Aspinall lays odds between -130 and -146.

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall Odds

Curtis Blaydes vs Tom Aspinall Odds UFC Odds

UFC · Sat (7/23) @ 3:00 pm ET

Curtis Blaydes at Tom Aspinall
02 Arena, London, GB

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UFC Fight Night Co-Main Event: Hermansson vs. Curtis 

A middleweight bout between former Cage Warriors champion Jack ‘The Joker’ Hermansson and seasoned fighter Chris ‘Action Man’ Curtis acts as the co-main event. The bout is currently a pick ’em, with both fighters tagged with -110 odds across many sportsbooks.

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The promotion delivers an early start time for the second straight weekend. The prelims start at 12 p.m. ET on ESPN+ streaming, and the main card is set to get underway at 3 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Blaydes vs. Aspinall starts around 6 p.m. ET.

Blaydes Brings Unconventional Wrestling Into UFC London

Curtis Blaydes (16-3 MMA; 11-3, 1 NC UFC) is a different kind of heavyweight. The division is known for its barbaric, strike-heavy fighting style, but Blaydes has made a successful career out of wrestling. He regularly looks for the takedown, and once he’s on the mat, he either controls his opponent on top or initiates ground and pound.

The American wrestler fighting out of Chicago is a battle-tested heavyweight who has faced – and beaten – some of the sport’s scariest big men. He holds wins over ranked fighters in Chris Daukaus, Jairzinho Rozesntruik, Alexander Volkov, Alistair Overeem, and Junior dos Santos. He has lost just three fights (all by KO/TKO), and they were to Francis Ngannou (twice) and Derrick Lewis – two of the hardest-hitting fighters ever.

UFC London odds, Curtis Blaydes
Curtis Blaydes is a rare underdog vs. Tom Aspinall, per UFC London odds (AP Photo/Jim Young).

Blaydes has been the betting favorite in all of his 15 UFC fights, and many of these have been against currently or formerly ranked heavyweights.

Should the odds on his bout against Aspinall hold, it would mark his first time as an underdog. A win would make a strong statement towards an eventual title shot.

Aspinall Looks to Extend Undefeated UFC Record

Tom Aspinall (12-2 MMA; 5-0 UFC) is off to a hot start in the UFC. He’s 5-0 in the promotion, and sports a 100% finishing rate in 12 professional wins – eight by KO/TKO and four by submission.

The English star has made an early career of not just conquering whoever stands before him, but doing so in exciting fashion. His well-rounded game includes powerful, fast punches and BJJ-style submissions, which has earned him four Performance of the Night bonuses, making him a big draw for UFC bettors.

The knock against Aspinall is he hasn’t faced much competition. His most recent bout against Volkov – a first-round submission win – is notable, but the rest is nothing to write home about.

After leaving Volkov in the dust, he now embarks on his second true test in the big leagues – a main event bout against his first top-five ranked opponent in Blaydes.

As big as this fight may be, bettors shouldn’t fret about the spotlight being too bright for Aspinall, because he’s been here before. He pummeled Volkov at The O2 in London last March, and he’ll have the same supportive crowd surrounding him in the octagon this Saturday.

Blaydes vs. Aspinall Props

Method of Victory
Blaydes by submission +1800 (BetRivers)
Blaydes by KO/TKO/DQ +280 (FanDuel)
Blaydes by decision +500 (PointsBet)
Aspinall by submission +700 (BetRivers)
Aspinall by KO/TKO/DQ +200 (FanDuel)
Aspinall by decision +550 (DraftKings)

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Total Rounds (DraftKings)
3.5 (ov +140, un -175)

Note: 2:30 min mark of each round indicates the ‘half-round’ for under/over bets. For example, if you bet on ‘Over’ 3.5 rounds, the fight would have to exceed the 2:30 min mark of the fourth round for you to win.

Alternate Total Rounds
0.5 (ov -1200 (DraftKings), un +600 (DraftKings))
1.5 (ov -210 (BetRivers), un +175 (DraftKings))
2.5 (ov -104 (PointsBet), un -110 (DraftKings))
4.5 (ov +180 (DraftKings), un -218 (PointsBet))

Will Fight Go the Distance
Yes +215 (DraftKings)
No -260 (FanDuel)

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Blaydes vs. Aspinall Betting Picks

Moneyline: Blaydes (+120, Caesars)

There’s a legitimate argument that Blaydes should be the favorite against Aspinall. For one, the American’s only losses have been at the hands of Ngannou – the current heavyweight champion – and Lewis – the record holder for the most knockouts in UFC history. Aspinall isn’t on either of those fighters’ levels when it comes to being able to land a knockout with literally just one punch. Razor has gotten the best of any other type and caliber of opponent, and the Englishman is no exception.

Total Rounds: Under 3.5 (-175, DraftKings)

If you crave early finishes and hate decisions, then heavyweight bouts are for you, especially when either Blaydes, Aspinall, or both are involved.

Aspinall must love leaving work early, because his fights have never gone beyond the second round. His average fight time of 2:57 is the shortest in UFC heavyweight history, so even if neither fighter can find his power and takedown ability in the first round, they’ll still have two-and-a-half more rounds to wreak havoc and ultimately call it an early night.

Best Bet: Blaydes By KO/TKO/DQ (+280, FanDuel)

Blaydes to win by decision is +550 on DraftKings. He’s a world-renowned wrestler who can win by tallying points. As juicy as those odds are, the fight’s outcome will be settled in the octagon and not at the judges’ table.

There’s nothing the Brit can do to stop a supreme wrestler like Blaydes from getting brought down to the mat. Razor holds the record for most takedowns in the UFC Heavyweight division (62) and averages a whopping 6.06 takedowns per 15 minutes – that projects to 10.1 takedowns in a 25-minute main event. Once on the ground – where 42% of his significant strikes occur – he’s going to unleash a swarm of punches and elbows, which will prove to be too much for Aspinall to handle.

Hermansson vs. Curtis Odds

Jack Hermansson vs Chris Curtis Odds UFC Odds

UFC · Sat (7/23) @ 3:00 pm ET

Jack Hermansson at Chris Curtis
O2 Arena, London, GB

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Unranked Middleweight Get First Opportunity at Ranked Opponent

Number eight-ranked Jack Hermansson (22-7 MMA; 9-5 UFC) is the archetype of what it means to be a mixed martial artist. He’s a Greco-Roman wrestler at heart, but has also trained in the art of Muay Thai. His 22 wins can be broken down into 11 by KO/TKO, six by submission, and five by decision. His diverse skill set has been more cold than hot against tough opposition, however, losing to top seven-ranked middleweights Jared Cannonier, Marvin Vettori, and Sean Strickland.

The Joker looks to right the ship after dropping three of his last five fights, and now gets an fairly easy task in Chris Curtis.

Chris Curtis (29-8 MMA; 3-0 UFC) is not new to the fighting world – pro since 2009 – but he is fairly new to the monster that is the UFC. So far, he’s been able to slay all three of his opponents in the promotion, and he rides into his next bout with an eight-fight winning streak that includes six KO/TKOs.

After beating Rodolfo Vieira in a unanimous decision at UFC on ESPN 38 just last June, the Action Man is already hungry for more competition to make up for time spent with inferior promotions. He was summoned to replace Darren Till at UFC London on short notice, and will now face Hermansson after just a one-month turnaround since his last fight.

About the Author
Cyrus Eshaghoff

Cyrus Eshaghoff

Sports Betting Writer
Cyrus Eshaghoff is a New York-based sports writer. Whether it's heated debates or uncovering statistical insights, he loves discussing sports. Check out his Twitter account (@CyrusEshaghoff).

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