UFC Vegas 46 is set for Saturday night at the UFC APEX Center in Las Vegas, the promotion’s first card of 2022 after nearly a month off. After a few fights fell through due to injury or COVID, we are left with 10 fights on the betting card, down from 12 just a few days ago.
As of this Thursday post, decision odds were not available for two fights. UFC Vegas 46 odds on FanDuel Sportsbook project that the four of remaining eight bouts are expected to end inside the distance.
UFC · Sat (1/15) @ 9:00 pm ET
|UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV|
UFC Vegas 46 Odds And Picks
Calvin Kattar (+198) vs. Giga Chikadze (-250)
Giga Chikadze steps back into the octagon riding a seven-fight win streak. Chikadze is known for his “Giga Kick”, a left kick to the liver. This is a brutal technique that crumbles his opponents, essentially making their bodies shut off.
Chikadze’s opponent, Calvin Kattar, was on a roll prior to his last bout against title contender Max Holloway. Holloway landed a record 445 significant strikes, according to UFCStats, in a win by unanimous decision.
Giga tends to tire as a fight wears on. Kattar needs to weather the storm early Saturday night, which is easier said than done. Expect this one to end inside the distance (-210), but ‘under 3.5 rounds’ offer value at -102 on FanDuel.
UFC Vegas 46 Pick: Under 3.5 Rounds -102 (FanDuel)
Jamie Pickett (+135) vs. Joseph Holmes (-165)
Joseph Holmes is 6-foot-4, 185 pounds and physically intimidating. But when you get past the size discrepancy, you see a short career. He has only eight professional fights, making his pro debut in Bellator, where he went 1-1. Since then, he has won seven straight fights at lower-level promotions.
Holmes is likely being groomed by the UFC as a prospect. However, he is in for a tough matchup in his first fight, and being priced as a favorite is asking a lot for his debut. Based on limited tapes on him, Holmes is a good submission grappler, but his striking looks raw and his takedown defense isn’t great, either.
Back Pickett here as one of the best bets on the card. He should be the better striker and could even control grappling exchanges on top. Holmes makes lots of mistakes holding grappling positions.
UFC Vegas 46 Pick: Jamie Pickett ML +135 (BetMGM)
Joanderson Brito (-125) vs. Bill Algeo (+105)
Joanderson Brito faces off against Bill Algeo in the prelims this weekend. Brito is on a 10-fight win streak in some secondary promotions. He fought in the Dana White Contender’s Series last year and won a technical decision against Diego Lopes, as an accidental eye poke at the beginning of the third round ended the fight prematurely.
Brito is a high-pressure wrestler, who values positional dominance. He stays heavy on top, showcased by his 3:55 of ground control in Round 1 and another 3:52 in Round 2 in the Lopes bout that lasted 10:12.
Algeo has shown he can’t defend takedowns, so this should be a grapple victory for Brito.
UFC Vegas 46 Pick: Joanderson Brito ML -125 (Caesars)
Bet This +1801 UFC Vegas 46 Parlay
This parlay is offered on DraftKings Sportsbook. Let’s cash a big one!
Royval/Bontorin Under 2.5 rounds -175 + Jamie Pickett ML +120 +
Brian Kelleher +135 Sherman wins in under 1.5 rounds +450
Brian Kelleher as an underdog is long gone now that his fight with Saidyokub Kakhramonov was pulled from the card. He is now a -300 favorite against Kevin Croom. This is a pass from every perspective.
The parlay goes on, though. The lone favorite on our three-leg bet is two below-average heavyweights not going to decision — Brandon Royval and Rogerio Bontorin to end in under 2.5 rounds. Royval has never seen the third round in his four-fight UFC career, nor in his last six fights overall. He fights with reckless abandon and is one of the most exciting fighters in the UFC.
A $10 bet on this parlay three-way parlay would payout $180.14 in profit!