US Open Betting Report 2023: How Sharps Are Playing This Week’s Major is an independent sports news and information service. has partnerships with some of the top legal and licensed sportsbook companies in the US. When you claim a bonus offer or promotion through a link on this site, Gaming Today may receive referral compensation from the sportsbook company. Although the relationships we have with sportsbook companies may influence the order in which we place companies on the site, all reviews, recommendations, and opinions are wholly our own. They are the recommendations from our authors and contributors who are avid sports fans themselves.

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It’s always worth checking in with SuperBook VP of Risk Management Jeff Sherman in Las Vegas during golf’s major championship weeks.

As one of the sports betting industry’s top golf oddsmakers, Sherman hangs numbers at the SuperBook and sees first-hand how sharp bettors respond to his offerings.

Let’s get to this week’s US Open Betting Report to examine how sharps are playing the third major of the golf season.

Sharp Bettors Fade Two Top Players in Matchups

In a text to Gaming Today on Tuesday, and with odds current as of Wednesday, Sherman said his book has liabilities on Max Homa (+2500), Collin Morikawa (+3000), Brooks Koepka (+1200), Patrick Reed (+6000), Justin Rose (+5000), Jason Day (+4000), and Phil Mickelson (+15000).

Sharp action came in on two matchup bets involving high-profile players.

Brooks Koepka +130 vs. Rory McIlroy -150

Max Homa +135 vs. Matt Fitzpatrick -155

“Sharps are fading Koepka with McIlroy and fading Homa with Fitzpatrick,” Sherman said.

Max Homa factors into our US Open Action Report.
Max Homa heads the list of US Open liabilities at the SuperBook in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/Chris Carlson, File)

In terms of outrights, the SuperBook took sharp action on favorite Scottie Scheffler, whose odds tightened from +650 Tuesday to +600 Wednesday. Sharps also came in on Patrick Cantlay (+1600) and Xander Schauffele (+1600).

More US Open 2023: Live US Open Odds | US Open Expert Picks | Six US Open Prop Bets to Profit On | US Open First Round Odds

2023 US Open Futures Odds

Here’s a look at US Open futures odds at DraftKings (you may also select other top sports betting apps), and how they are fluctuating for top contenders heading into the tournament.


Scottie Scheffler +800 11.11%
Jon Rahm +900 10.00%
Rory McIlroy +1000 9.09%
Brooks Koepka +1200 7.69%
Patrick Cantlay +1800 5.26%
Viktor Hovland +1800 5.26%
Xander Schauffele +1800 5.26%
Cameron Smith +2200 4.35%
Collin Morikawa +2200 4.35%
Rickie Fowler +3500 2.78%

Implied probabilities are calculated using odds offered by DraftKings.
Last Updated: 2023-09-27 00:00:00 PDT.

In Search of Value Down US Open Odds Board

Big-name players have scored victories in the first two major tournaments of 2023. Rahm won his first-ever Masters, and Koepka captured his third PGA Championship. Still, it behooves us to try and find some value for pre-tourney win bets.

For mid-range prices, Sherman noted that SuperBook bettors have been gravitating toward Day (+4000), Rose (+5000), Tommy Fleetwood (+4000), and Bryson DeChambeau (+4000).

Popular longshots at the SuperBook include Si Woo Kim (+6000), Sahith Theegala (+8000), and Denny McCarthy (+12500). McCarthy’s putting prowess and recent runner-up at The Memorial make him an intriguing selection.

It’s been a while since a big longshot won the US Open to provide huge paydays for backers. Per Sports Odds History, Lucas Glover cashed at +15000 odds in 2009. Angel Cabrera was also a bomb winner at +10000 odds in 2007.

In the last 10 US Opens, the winner’s price ranged from a low of +800 (Jordan Spieth in 2015) to a high of +6000 (Gary Woodland in 2019). Koepka won back-to-back US Opens in 2017 and 2018 at odds of +3000 and +2500, respectively.

Always shop around top sports betting apps for the best odds on your US Open bets. Futures odds, in particular, can fluctuate greatly as you move down the odds board. Case in point: Phil Mickelson is +25000 at DraftKings and +15000 at PointsBet as of this update.

That’s a lot of money to leave on the table if Mickelson somehow manages to reprise his role as a major winner during the PGA Championship just two years ago. Mickelson’s lone US Open win came back in 2013, but he finished T-2 at the Masters this year.

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About the Author
Kris Johnson

Kris Johnson

Senior Writer
Kris Johnson is a senior writer at Gaming Today with more than 15 years of experience as a sports journalist. Johnson's work has appeared in Sports Business Daily, Sports Business Journal, NASCAR Illustrated, and other publications. He also authored a sports betting novel titled The Endgame.

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