Mix in all of the star power in this week’s U.S. Open and a golf course (The Country Club in Brookline, Mass.) that will be tricked out to the extreme by the USGA and you’ve got a recipe for betting disaster.
It’s tough enough to pick a winner week-in and week-out when the variables are constant. A USGA course with ankle-deep rough and lightning-quick greens will certainly throw a monkey wrench or two into the mix.
Add in the fact there’s a contingent of LIV golfers (headed by Dustin Johnson, Phil Mickelson, Kevin Na and a few others) and there’s going to be a lot of anxiety…and that’s just in the press room.
On the golf course, we’re sure there will be a lot of friendly (on the surface) banter between players on the PGA Tour and the LIV tour. But there’s also a better than even chance the fans will be out in full force and let their feelings be known…no matter which side they are on.
So with that in mind, let’s step away from who will win the tournament and look at a few prop bets that might level out the playing field just a little. We’re going to go with DraftKings numbers but, as usual, make sure to shop around to get the best numbers for your action.
One For A Top-Five Finish
With Rory McIlroy playing solid golf again, we’re going to pick him this week for a top-five finish.
Granted there’s no doubt he could pick up back-to-back victories after he won last week’s RBC Canadian Open, but that Sunday finish had to take a lot out of him. A top-5 finish, at +240 gives us a little wiggle room. And, if he should win, this bet still cashes.
We love backing a player who is highly ranked (3rd in the world golf rankings and 4th in the FedEx Cup points race), and coming into the event on a roll (you can’t get much better than a win the week before) and one who has success in the event at hand (McIlroy was T-7 in this event last year and a previous winner in 2011.)
If you’re looking for one of those matchups that looks too good to be true, this one might be at the top of that list. We’re looking at Will Zalatoris (+300) to win the group of five that includes Collin Morikawa (+300), Viktor Hovland (+330), Sam Burns (+330) and Daniel Berger (+330).
The reason? Zalatoris is becoming one of those “best to have never won a major” players.
Just check out the first two majors of 2022. He was T-7 at the Masters and solo second at the PGA Championship. And, he’s got a grudge to settle as he missed the cut at last year’s U.S. Open.
As always, shop around the sports betting industry for the best odds on your plays.
Take The Big Guns
Here’s an intriguing bet that will certainly gain traction. It’s the ‘Big Guns’–including Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas, Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler and Xander Schauffele–to win the tournament over the rest of the field.
At +275 it may not be a great number, but it’s certainly a good enough payday to back five of the world’s best who could all certainly be hoisting the trophy come Sunday.
The main reason we like this bet a lot is because there is also a bet that has one of three players winning–McIlroy, Thomas or Rahm–at +300. Add in two players with the talent of Scheffler and Schauffele and we still get a +275 number? Sign us up.
A First-Round Bet To Consider
While there are way too many bets for us to check them all out, some of them do jump out at us. That’s why we stopped when we saw a list of players to be in the top 10 after the first round.
Now, to be clear, everyone has odds to be leading after the first round, in the top five or in the top 10. But one that stands out is Matt Fitzpatrick at +500 to be in the top 10 after the first round.
Granted, Fitzpatrick hasn’t won on the PGA Tour—yet–but he’s getting closer. And his start last week at the RBC Canadian Open, a 64 and a top-five slot after the opening round, has to have his confidence sky-high.
Sure the pressure may get to players as the week goes along, but a player like Fitzpatrick coming out of the gate with a solid first 18 holes wouldn’t be a shock.