USA vs. Canada Gold Cup Predictions, Odds, Props: USMNT Favored in Nations League Final Rematch

USA face a much tougher opponent on Sunday night in the Gold Cup quarterfinals than they did in their last two matches of group play. On paper, USMNT vs. Canada promises to be much more competitive than USA’s dominant wins over Saint Kitts and Nevis and Trinidad & Tobago.

Canada, though, look extremely beatable for Manager B.J. Callaghan, red-hot striker Jesus Ferreira, and the USA “B team,” after they drew both Guadeloupe and Guatemala in their group.

In Gaming Today’s breakdown of USA vs. Canada odds, props, and predictions, let’s break down what to expect as a talented but inexperienced USA side take on a much more challenging opponent.

Also read: Mexico vs. Costa Rica Gold Cup Preview | Odds to win 2023 Gold Cup | 2026 World Cup odds

Betting Odds for Sunday’s USA vs. Canada Match

Here are USA vs. Canada betting lines available on top sports betting apps.

USA Roster, Injuries, and Betting News

While the low-ranked opponents had a lot to do with how good USA looked in their last two matches, this team is nevertheless in impressive form. Group play of this year’s Gold Cup has shown that the USA talent pool is currently so deep that not only can the “B team” blow out bad teams, it can bring dynamic players off the bench.

Jesus Ferreira’s hat tricks against both Saint Kitts and Nevis and Trinidad & Tobago dominated headlines, but his backup, Brandon Vazquez, also delivered, with goals against both Jamaica and Trinidad. Those two, as well as Cade Cowell, all flashed in group play, and Callaghan also got solid performances from his midfield of Djordje Mihailovic, James Sands, and Gianluca Busio.

USA’s back line has not looked second choice, either, and Callaghan has several interesting decisions to make there. Does he rely on experience and start players like Matt Miazga and Aaron Long? Or does he go with Bryan Reynolds, Jalen Neal, and DeJuan Jones again after those three started the last two matches? Another big question regarding USA’s defenders is whether World Cup starter Miles Robinson is cleared to play after he came off at halftime of Sunday’s win over Trinidad. Callaghan’s options across the back line speak to the depth of the roster at his disposal and bode well for the future of the USMNT.

Injuries

If one thing went wrong during group play for USA, it was on the injury front. Midfielders Alan Soñora (hamstring) and Aidan Morris (personal matter) are both unavailable for the remainder of the Gold Cup. Jackson Yueill was called up this week to replace Soñora.

Two veterans who are dealing with injuries but have not been ruled out for the rest of the tournament are Robinson and Jordan Morris.

Canada Roster, Injuries, and Betting News

Of the favorites (Mexico, USA, and Canada), the latter had the most disappointing showing in group play. Canada were heavily favored to not only win their group, which featured Cuba, Guatemala, and Guadeloupe, but do so comfortably. Instead, John Herdman’s team drew both Guadeloupe (which is not ranked by FIFA because it is an overseas department of France) and FIFA No. 116 Guatemala.

Neither of those performances bode well going into Sunday’s match against the USA. Canada did perform much better against Cuba in their final match of group play, winning 4-2. Still, it doesn’t feel like nitpicking to question why they allowed two goals to Cuba, especially after giving up two to Guadeloupe in their Gold Cup opener.

Without Alphonso Davies, Jonathan David, or Cyle Larin, Canada do not appear to have the depth to make a run in this tournament.

Injuries

Canada are missing their top keeper, Milan Borjan, for the rest of the Gold Cup after he was injured against Guatemala. His absence is key, as backup Dayne St. Clair has just three caps. Between Borjan’s injury and the long list of first-choice players not participating in the Gold Cup, Herdman is relying on a ton of inexperienced players.

USA vs. Canada Props

Below is a sampling of betting props for USA vs. Trinidad & Tobago:

Anytime Goalscorer (FanDuel):

• Jesus Ferreira: +100
• Brandon Vazquez: +185
• Alex Zendejas: +210
• Djordje Mihailovic: +250
• Lucas Cavallini: +310

Correct Score (FanDuel):

• USA 1-0: +550
• USA 2-0: +700
• USA 2-1: +700
• Canada 1-0: +1200
• Canada 2-0: +2500
• Canada 2-1: +1600
• 0-0: +1000
• 1-1: +650

Total Goal Props (Caesars):

• Over 0.5 goals -2000, Under 0.5 goals: +800
• Over 1.5 goals -340, Under 1.5 goals: +240
• Over 2.5 goals -110, Under 2.5 goals: -120
• Over 3.5 goals +210, Under 3.5 goals: -300

USA vs. Canada Broadcast Info: Where to Watch

• Date/Time: Sunday, July 9, 7:30 p.m. ET
• Location: TQL Stadium

Watch this match at one of the following:

• FS1
• Fubo
• DirecTV Stream
• Sling Blue
• Univision
• TUDN

USA vs. Canada Prediction: USA 2, Canada 0

USA will have much more trouble with Canada than they did with their last two opponents, but that doesn’t necessarily make Sunday’s match a toss-up.

Canada have struggled to score in several recent matches (including the CONCACAF Nations League Final against USA in June).

And the Canadian defense, which conceded the fewest goals of any team in CONCACAF World Cup qualifying last year (just seven in 14 matches), has also been inconsistent this summer. Canada allowed two first-half goals in the Nations League final and four more in group play against underwhelming competition — they shut out Guatemala but gave up two goals apiece to Guadeloupe and Cuba.

Against a struggling, depleted Canada side, expect the USMNT to take advantage of the rowdy atmosphere at Cincinnati’s TQL Stadium and deliver another impressive performance.

Here are a few bets available at DraftKings that are worth checking out:

• Anytime Goalscorer Jesus Ferreira (+100)
• Parlay — USA Win and Over 2.5 (+170)
• USA -1.5 (+175)