Utah Jazz At Miami Heat Odds, Picks, And Predictions

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Fresh off an obliteration of the defending champion Los Angeles Lakers, the Utah Jazz host the defending Eastern Conference champs, the Miami Heat.

Heat at Jazz picks and predictions will weigh how effective the visitors can be at keeping Utah from one of its trademark scoring runs that have not only helped produce the league’s best record (26-6), but have also helped them cover the spread in all 10 of their most recent victories. Miami is in the midst of a four-game winning streak, matching its longest run of success this season. Following a dreadful start that has seen them fail to top the .500 mark at any point thus far in the 2020-21 campaign, the Heat finally look to have their act together and seek a signature win to solidify their resurgence.

Miami Heat Vs. Utah Jazz

  • Time/Venue: 8:05 p.m. ET, AmericanAirlines Arena
  • TV: Fox Sports Florida

Miami Heat Vs. Utah Jazz Odds

BetRivers SportsbookPoint SpreadMoneylineTotals
Los Angeles Lakers-3.5 (-105)-150O 222.5 (-110)
Golden State Warriors+3.5 (-105)+125U 222.5 (-110)

Heat Current Form And Betting Results

Miami has won and covered in each of its past four games, which includes Wednesday night’s 116-108 victory over the Raptors where it stood up against the trend of fading teams returning home from long road trips.

The Heat rode the rollercoaster ride on the West Coast, finishing a seven-game trip that included a trip into Salt Lake City at 4-3. The Jazz destroyed them by 18 points, and then Miami blew back-to-back fourth-quarter leads against a depleted Clippers team playing without All-Stars Kawhi Leonard and Paul George and a Warriors team that was practically buried before forcing OT with a late flurry. As frustrating as those setbacks were, Erik Spoelstra took the blame for multiple mistakes that helped aid those collapses and got his team refocused enough to pick up wins over the Kings, Lakers and Thunder, covering the betting spread each time out.

Jazz at Heat picks and predictions will weigh out just how much Miami’s homecourt edge translates in the COVID era considering a limited amount of fans are allowed to be in attendance. Miami has won its last three February home games after losing its first two to Southeast Division rivals Charlotte and Washington outright. The Heat are just 8-7 straight up at home but have covered the number in only five of their victories.

Jazz Current Form and Betting Results

Following a 12-point road loss to the Knicks on Jan. 6 that followed up a 34-point loss in Brooklyn, the Jazz were floundering at 4-4 and appeared likely to fall below .500 for the first time since the beginning of January in 2019 considering they were visiting favored Milwaukee. The buzzards wondering what was troubling Utah were beginning to circle when the team rallied to beat the Bucks by 13, beginning a 22-2 run.

The Jazz have only closed as an underdog in one of the last 23 games, losing to the Clippers in L.A. 116-112 last Friday night. Seeing them close as 8.5-point ‘chalk’ against the LeBron James-led Lakers raised eyebrows throughout NBA betting circles but the Jazz cruised from the jump and won 114-89, taking advantage of the absences of Anthony Davis and Dennis Schroder. Over the aforementioned last 24 games that have catapulted Utah to the top of the league standings, it has failed to cover the betting spread only three times, which includes a 117-105 home win over Detroit on Feb. 2 where it closed as a 12.5-point favorite at many books but pushed at William Hill, FanDuel and Draft Kings, where the final number came in at exactly 12.

Quin Snyder is the runaway favorite for Coach of the Year and has his team sporting the second-best road record in the NBA behind the Lakers at 11-4. Betting over-unders requires you to be aware that Utah has seen its last three totals that were placed at 221 or lower come in on the low side of the posted number.

Betting Line Analysis

The Jazz are a 7-point favorite at BetRivers, BetMGM, and most other books with the total ranging from 217 to 217.5 depending on where you shop.

DraftKings opened with Utah laying just 5.5 points, but that number was quickly bet up after being posted.

Jazz at Heat betting odds may see increased fluctuation since Miami power forward Bam Adebayo is listed as questionable, which we’ll touch upon in the next section. The figure for this pairing in Salt Lake City on Feb. 13 saw the Jazz favored by the same seven points they’re laying today. The total ended up closing at 215.5 at FanDuel and William Hill and 216 at DraftKings, which is a point higher than where this one is listed.

The Heat vs. Jazz betting line being set at seven points is significant because it marks the most points Miami is getting at the Triple-A this season. They were a 6.5-point home underdog against the Bucks on Dec. 29-30 in both ends of a back-to-back that had dramatically different results. Milwaukee won the first meeting 144-97 but the Heat impressively rallied in the second leg to split via a 119-108 upset. Miami closed as a six-point dog against the Nuggets on Jan. 27 and was throttled 109-82. Heat star Jimmy Butler didn’t play in any of those games that his team was expected to lose at home and has averaged 19.8 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 9.3 assists during this four-game win streak. He’s posted four triple-doubles over his past eight outings.

Injuries/Rotational Adjustments to Watch

Adebayo’s availability will play a major role in what ultimately transpires in South Florida, both on the court and with this betting line. He’s listed as questionable with left knee tendinosis. Miami is 0-2 in games he’s missed this season.

Talented second-year guard Tyler Herro (hip) has missed the past few games after being injured last Saturday night against the Lakers and is also listed as questionable. With Goran Dragic (ankle) finally off the injury report, Spoelstra could have his top two guards available in the same game for the first time since Feb. 5.

If Adebayo can’t go, look for the Heat to play rookie Precious Achiuwa more minutes but they’ll likely wind up going small more often than intended, which isn’t likely to work out well against a team featuring 7-foot-2 Rudy Gobert. The Jazz don’t have any players in Snyder’s typical rotation listed on the injury report.

Jazz at Heat Handicapping Notes and Pick

This number certainly looks inflated, but that was the case the other day against the Lakers too and that didn’t matter a few minutes into the first quarter. The Jazz are a bullet train at the moment and have won four of their last five road games, so traveling clear across the country may not matter and absolutely won’t if Adebayo can’t play. If the Heat do have their top big man, Butler could will Miami to an upset given his current form. The safest play for now is riding the low side.

Pick: Under

About the Author
Tony Mejia

Tony Mejia

Tony Mejia has been a national writer for nearly two decades and has covered NBA and college basketball as a columnist, analyst, handicapper, and bracketologist for CBS Sports, Pro Basketball News, and numerous other sites.

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