Warriors At Nets Odds, Props, Pick: Banged-Up Dubs Spotted Points In Brooklyn

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Stephen Curry (Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire)

The Warriors own the NBA’s top record at 11-2 despite Klay Thompson still roughly a month away from returning. Second-year center James Wiseman hasn’t played either, but Stephen Curry and Draymond Green have been so dominant opponents haven’t been able to keep up.

At 10-4, the Nets are even with the Bulls for the East’s top record, trailing the 10-3 Wizards by just a half-game.

On Tuesday night in Brooklyn (7:30 p.m., TNT), Golden State is set to go off as an underdog for the first time since a season-opening win against the Lakers, who closed as 3-point favorites but fell 121-114 at Staples Center.

Golden State is a 3-point dog against the Nets after opening at +3.5 at many shops. The total is 222 as of Wednesday morning and will likely end up higher prior to tip-off.

Nets, Warriors In Futures Markets

L.A. remains the Western Conference betting favorite at all books, coming in at +250 at BetRivers, just ahead of the Warriors (+350).

The Nets are +140 to win the East and +250 to win the championship, despite Kyrie Irving’s continued absence. At FanDuel, Brooklyn is +260.

The Dubs are +750 to win it all, which ranks behind the Nets, as well as the Lakers and Bucks, who are both listed at +700.

It might be smart to get on Golden State before Thompson returns and the return on your investment dips. No one envisioned Steve Kerr’s team would get off to this great a start, bolstered by Andrew Wiggins playing the best basketball of his career and Jordan Poole rising up as Thompson’s replacement. He’s averaged over 17 points per game and is in the conversation for Most Improved, considering he averaged just 12 last season. Poole is +3000 to win the award at FanDuel, where Memphis’ Ja Morant (+260) and Charlotte’s Miles Bridges (+300) have emerged as front-runners.

The favorites for NBA regular-season MVP take the court against one another at Barclays Center in this matchup, with former teammates Curry and Kevin Durant squaring off. Curry (+270) and Durant (+480) are listed as the top two candidates at FanDuel, ahead of Milwaukee’s Giannis Antetokounmpo (+800), Dallas’ Luka Doncic (+1000), and Denver’s Nikola Jokic (+1000).

Warriors-Nets Betting Records And Analysis

Golden State is 7-1 against the spread since Oct. 30, defeating all of its victims by double-digits during the stretch. The Warriors’ run of success ended in their first road game since Oct. 26, Sunday in a 106-102 loss in Charlotte. The game was tied in the final minute, but the Hornets made the big plays to emerge with a victory, leaving Golden State in jeopardy of losing consecutive games for the first time since dropping both play-in round games last May, missing the playoffs after close losses to the Lakers and Grizzlies.

While the ‘under’ has prevailed in nine of the last 12 involving the Warriors, Brooklyn’s first seven games all finished below the posted total. Since James Harden got cooking and looking like his old self, the ‘over’ has gone 4-1 over the last five Nets games. They have won eight of nine games, which included winning five of six on a lengthy road trip that ended with Sunday’s 120-96 rout of Oklahoma City. Durant and Harden, both ex-Thunder players, were booed lustily.

Durant has scored 28 or more points in all seven of Brooklyn’s games this month and owns a league-best 29.64 scoring average. Curry ranks second at 28.08. Harden is averaging just 19.5 points but does own a team-high 9.3 assists clip that ranks only behind Phoenix’s Chris Paul (10.23).

It’s so early that the Bucks and Hawks would miss the playoffs after shaky starts if the season ended today, but it is encouraging that Brooklyn has climbed to the top of the conference despite missing Irving and suffering through such a disappointing start. As things stand, there’s no timetable for Irving’s return, Blake Griffin has struggled, and LaMarcus Aldridge has played a significant role in giving the Nets a reliable third scorer.

The Warriors will go small with Wiggins and Green on Durant duty, and Kevon Looney checking the other big, so this should be a fun matchup to watch. Poole, Damion Lee, and Andre Iguodala will be tasked with slowing down Harden, and we’ll get to see how good friends Steve Nash and Kerr strategize against one another in what will be just their third meeting as head coaches.

These Teams Have A History

Kerr was a GM in Phoenix while Nash was there running the point and winning MVP awards, and the Canadian legend served as a consultant for the Warriors before taking the Brooklyn gig, establishing a great relationship with Durant. Although these teams don’t see each other often, they know one another well.

Brooklyn won last season’s meetings by scores of 125-99 (Dec. 22) and 134-117 (Feb. 13), the more recent meeting featuring a 42-31 third-quarter from the Nets to extend a 15-point halftime lead. Durant, Harden, and Irving were all present, while Curry was without Thompson, Wiseman, and Looney. Curry shot 2-for-9 from 3-point range despite finishing 10-for-17 from the field and leading all scorers with 27 points.

Warriors-Nets Props And Picks

As of Tuesday morning, BetMGM player props have Curry’s points total at 30.5 (-125) and Durant at 29.5 (-125). Even though Green is an elite defender, the expectation here is that Durant will outscore Curry, who will have to get acclimated to a building he rarely visits while facing a defense that will run bodies at him to get the ball out of his hands.

Look for Brooklyn to take advantage of Golden State coming in a bit banged up in protecting homecourt in a potential Finals preview.

Lay the points, and expect Durant to surpass his scoring average.

Another solid player prop is Harden to top 17.5 rebounds plus assists (-115), since he’ll likely be facilitating all evening.

About the Author
Tony Mejia

Tony Mejia

Tony Mejia has been a national writer for nearly two decades and has covered NBA and college basketball as a columnist, analyst, handicapper, and bracketologist for CBS Sports, Pro Basketball News, and numerous other sites.

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