Kings vs. Warriors Predictions, Odds, Props: Draymond Green’s Suspension Impacts Game 3

Is it panic time yet?

That’s what the Golden State Warriors must address with their fans and bettors in Game 3 of their first-round NBA playoff series against the Sacramento Kings on Thursday.

The defending league champions are home, which helps, but their backs are to the wall, which does not. 

Let’s check out the Kings vs. Warriors predictions, odds, and props.

Also check: NBA Finals odds | NBA game lines | Odds to win NBA Finals MVP

Kings vs. Warriors Game 3 Odds

The Warriors are still getting the betting love. They are -245 on the moneyline, down from an initial -300 for Game 3. They also opened at -7 before Sacramento money shot that number to – 6 at DraftKings early Wednesday morning.

Kings vs. Warriors Game 3 Betting Action

In Game 2, they lined up behind Golden State with an astounding 95% moneyline support. Surely the Warriors’ inability to put away the inspired Kings in a 126-123 loss was going to be rectified, gamblers believed.

It wasn’t and Sacramento looked like the better team in a 114-106 triumph. In both games, the Kings revealed an edge in mental toughness and composure down the stretch.

The team that hadn’t been in a playoff series for 16 years looks like it wants to enjoy a long ride. The Kings showed they had earned homecourt advantage for a reason.

They will swagger into San Francisco.

“The bettors are really confused about this situation,” Johnny Avello, the director of race and sportsbook operations for DraftKings, told Gaming Today. “They took a beating in Game 2. They figured the Warriors were going to turn it around and let’s face it, Sacramento hasn’t enjoyed much postseason success.

“Now that the Warriors lost again, bettors will have to wonder about that -6.  They may feel that Sacramento confidence now to at least cover that.”

The Over-Under is a difficult 238.5 after the teams combined for just 220 points.

Betting News and Analysis for Kings vs. Warriors Game 3

Golden State Warriors

The big stars showed up as expected in Game 2. Steph Curry had 28 points and nobody looks better knowing he’s hit a three with that presumptive jog down the floor before the shot even goes in.

Klay Thompson produced 21 points and Andrew Wiggins produced 22 points.

On the downside, their bench was outscored again. This time, it was 36-21. The Warriors have lost the battle of the bench twice and lost two games.

The team relies too much on its athleticism and can’t master the little things that make a difference. After climbing back from double-digits down to forge a tie with one minute left in the second period, they went down six at halftime.

Down the stretch, they tried to win the battle of outside shots. They didn’t work the ball inside and get to the line.

Golden State was 15-for-18 from the free-throw line.

Sacramento was 21-for-29.

Free throw margin: six points. Game margin: six points.

Something to think about.

The team with the Cadillac personnel needs to get more blue-collar points inside. If they can do that, the Warriors may regain momentum.

Sacramento Kings

The question we wanted answered after Game 1 was whether Malik was a freak. Malik Monk had exploded for 32 points in Game 1, well above his 13.5 season average.

The answer was “no.” Monk was closer to his season average by scoring 18 points, but he also had timely buckets. One put Sacramento ahead in the second quarter. He followed with an assist in a three-pointer that helped build a sizable lead for the Kings.

Domantas Sabonis was renamed Sa “Bonus” in Game 2.

He delivered 24 points and nine rebounds, an upgrade over his Game 1 production of 12. He was also a force in the paint, scoring with attitude and helping set up some critical fourth-quarter turnovers by Golden State.

Harrison Barnes added a couple of key buckets late.

The intangible of Game 2 was that Sacramento was feeling it late.

This team has electric chemistry. There are different players stepping up every game. When that happens, those teams go far.

Kings vs. Warriors Betting History and Trends for Game 3

DraftKings bettors have a split view of the spread.

Golden State -6 lured 67% of the spread tickets for Sacramento but 58% of the handle for Golden State.

Gamblers agree on 62% of the tickets and handle backing Golden State on the moneyline at -245.

Bettors favor the Under with 51% of the handle and 60% of the bets.

Kings vs. Warriors Prop Betting Action

Still early, so this is going to fill in.

Golden State’s team scoring bar is 122.5 points with the Over at -120 and the Under at -110.

Sacramento’s is 116.5 points with both sides at -115.

The race to 10, 15, and 20 points in each quarter makes sense for a Sacramento better via plus numbers. But it’s a lot of juice for Golden State backers and most likely not worth it.

Player props and more attractive options will unfold closer to game time.

Kings vs. Warriors Game 3 Predictions

Sacramento +6.

I will look to link a Golden State moneyline pick with some other game or sport.

Kings vs. Warriors How to Watch

• Game Day: Thursday, April 20, 2023
• Game Time: 10 p.m. ET
• Location: Chase Center | San Francisco, CA
• Channel: TNT