NBA · Mon (5/8) @ 10:00pm ET
| GS Warriors | at | LA Lakers |
| Staples Center, Los Angeles, California | ||
As Los Angeles seeks to parlay its 30-point triumph over Golden State into a commanding 3-1 series lead Monday night, we look at Warriors vs. Lakers Game 4 predictions, odds, and props.
The betting public says “No Sale” on a second straight Lakers home victory in this heavily watched and wagered NBA Playoffs matchup.
Gamblers expect the Warriors to bounce back in Game 4 and even the NBA Western Conference semifinals at two games each.
Futures: Odds to Win NBA Finals
Warriors vs. Lakers Game 4 Odds: Point Spread, Moneyline, Total
Golden State entered Monday morning with 59% of the DraftKings point spread handle and 58% of the spread tickets at +3.5. That takes into account a little juice on the underdog, as the Warriors were -115, compared to the Lakers’ -105.
As of Monday morning, the line is down to LA -3 at DraftKings, while Golden State is +3.5 (-115) at BetMGM.
Bettors become more value hungry on the moneyline, with 78% of the handle and 63% of the tickets backing the Warriors at +135.
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NBA Playoff Bettors Believe in Bounce-Back Theory
Gamblers support the notion of each team alternating big performances. That would make Game 4 Golden State’s turn.
After the Lakers won Game 1, 117-112, the Warriors pounded them 127-100 in Game 2. Not to be outdone, the Lakers delivered a 127-97 whupping on the Warriors in Game 3.
Still, the Lakers have been upgraded to -195 at DraftKings to win the series. Golden State is +160.
Always shop around several sports betting apps to find the best odds for the wagers you’d like to place.
Oddsmakers Spot-on With Warriors-Lakers Totals
The total has been one of the most prophetic listings across the sports betting landscapes this series. It has been in the 227-228 range, and the games have ended at 229, 227, and 224.
At 227.5, Game 4 bettors favor the Over with 55% of the handle and 64% of the bets.
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Lakers Betting News & Notes
LA is on a 16-5 run since mid-March and has become one of the best defensive teams in the NBA.
The Lakers have yielded just 98.5 points per game and are 4-0 at home during the playoffs. Los Angeles held the Memphis Grizzlies to 85 points and the Warriors to 97 in their two most recent games.
Bettors who thought LeBron James’ 26-point Over-Under points prop was too high in Game 3 were rewarded for staying off of him or going Under. James didn’t take a shot in the first quarter for the first time in his entire post-season career. He did rally to finish with 21, right about where he’s been during the playoffs. But the 26 number was asking too much.
D’Angelo Russell stepped up with a big game with 21 points, and Anthony Davis had a great bounce-back effort with 25 points and 13 rebounds.
Warriors Betting News & Notes
The Dubs lost at the same spots and in the same manner they had won Game 2, the second and third quarters. Golden State was outscored 63-38 in the middle two frames on Saturday night.
The explosive Warriors were held under 100 points for just the fifth time in 92 games this season. Draymond Green and JaMychal Green, two role players who have been effective at times for Golden State, combined for just four points in Game 3.
The Warriors are suffering from diminished time given to Kevon Looney, who has four games with more than 20 rebounds during the postseason. He has logged limited minutes the last two games after being hit with what has been termed an undisclosed illness, and bettors will have a hard time trusting any prop line connected with him because they don’t know how much he will play. Looney’s lack of impact off the boards was one significant factor in Game 3.
Another was the drop in 3-point production. The Warriors hit 21 three-pointers in each of the first two games. They made only 13 in Game 3, and just 10 while the game was still in doubt. That area alone accounts for at least a 24-point decline.
Warriors vs. Lakers Game 4 Prop Bets
Here are just a few from an avalanche of offerings from the the sportsbooks.
DraftKings Warriors-Lakers Game 4 Props
Player Points
- Davis 25.5 (Over -105, Under -125)
- Steph Curry 30.5 (Over -110, Under -120)
- James 26.5 (Both sides -115)
- Rui Hachimura 9.5 (Over -104, Under -125)
As of this writing, there are no rebound props on Looney, whose Over was one of the most wagered props around the sportsbook circuit late in the opening-round playoff series and early in this one.
FanDuel Warriors vs. Lakers Game 4 Props
Here are some fun ones, accenting the game within the game.
- James, 10 or more rebounds, -105.
- Any player, 40 or more points, +390. Curry has already shown he can hit 50, as he did in Golden State’s 120-100, Game 7 triumph over the Sacramento Kings.
- Any player, 12 or more assists, +750
- Any player, 7 or more 3’s, +130.
Highest-Scoring Player
- Curry -110
- Davis +380
- Klay Thompson +700
Have the lead at the end of every quarter:
- Golden State +410
- Los Angeles +245
- Any other result -140
Warriors vs. Lakers Game 4 Prediction
Lakers moneyline (-143 BetRivers). We’re going against the pattern that suggests these teams take turns coming up big. Lakers defense is good.
How to Watch Warriors vs. Lakers Game 4
Game Date: Monday, May 8, 2023
Game Time: 10 p.m. ET
Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, California
Channel: TNT
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