Each week for the rest of the NFL season, Gaming Today will highlight some of the most appealing player prop bets from DraftKings or FanDuel. We’re starting with DraftKings for Week 14 and will alternate between the two mobile sportsbooks. Sunday’s picks feature seven bets, including props on the Dallas Cowboys’ Dak Prescott and Kansas City Chiefs’ Patrick Mahomes.
Taylor Heinicke vs. Dallas Cowboys: OVER 0.5 Interceptions (-185)
For all the heroism Heinicke has demonstrated while leading the Washington Football Team into the playoff mix, he’s thrown an interception in eight of 11 starts, and multiple picks in three games. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are tied for the league lead with 19 interceptions. They also rank fourth in both quarterback pressures and pressure percentage. Oddsmakers are pegging Dallas as a road favorite. If the matchup unfolds that way, we could see the Football Team forced into a more aggressive passing attack.
Dak Prescott vs. Washington Football Team: Longest Passing Completion OVER 38.5 yards (-120)
Prescott has connected on a pass of at least 39 yards in five of 11 games this season, and with all three of CeeDee Lamb, Amari Cooper, and Michael Gallup capable of winning deep and/or after the catch, there’s plenty of downfield firepower for Prescott to target. Additionally, the Football Team has allowed a 39-yard completion in two of their last four. The two teams who failed to do so were the floundering Carolina Panthers and Las Vegas Raiders.
Patrick Mahomes vs. Las Vegas Raiders: OVER 2.5 TDs (+135)
Mahomes has been less than otherworldly, but the Raiders have been downright awful since the beginning of November. They’ve surrendered 41, 33, and 32 points over that span. For all of the hand wringing over Mahomes’ relative struggles, he has five games of three-plus touchdown passes. That includes a five-spot against these Raiders in Week 10. Mahomes has a full set of weapons against a Raiders defense ranked 23rd in pass DVOA, an advanced efficiency metric.
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Clyde Edwards-Helaire vs. Las Vegas Raiders: OVER 13.5 carries (-110)
Edwards-Helaire has toted the rock 14-plus times in four of his seven contests — including his most recent outing against the Denver Broncos. The Chiefs are laying between 9 and 10 at Vegas sportsbooks. If they get out to a big lead as expected, they’ll find themselves in a run-favorable game script Sunday. The Chiefs have spoken about continuing to integrate Edwards-Helaire into the offense. His workloads are likely to increase as he moves further away from the knee injury he suffered in Week 5.
Terry McLaurin vs. Dallas Cowboys: UNDER 4.5 receptions (+120)
McLaurin is one of the league’s better wide receivers, so it will be stressful for those betting the UNDER. However, McLaurin has averaged a modest 6.8 targets since Week 8. He’s caught 61.8 percent of his looks over that span and owns a 59.2 percent catch rate on the season. The Football Team has won four on the spin on the back of a conservative, run-heavy approach. With their recent success, it’s reasonable to anticipate them continuing to lean on their ground game. When they do pass, they’ll be trying to beat the league’s fourth-ranked pass defense per DVOA.
Mark Andrews vs. Cleveland Browns: OVER 4.5 receptions (+120)
Andrews has eight games with five-plus receptions, and he’s averaged 9.4 targets and 5.4 receptions over his last five — this in spite of Lamar Jackson’s recent struggles. The Browns are middle-of-the-pack against tight ends and have allowed 5.6 receptions per game to the position since Week 8. Andrews fell short of the five-catch mark two weeks ago when these two teams played, but he was productive with a 4-65-1 line. However, he earned 10 targets, perhaps the more relevant takeaway. Jackson needs to be sharper, but there will be plenty of opportunities for Andrews in the receptions department.
Dawson Knox vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 35.5 yards (-110)
Knox’s three worst performances came in relative outliers. Knox has hit 36 yards in five of seven contests if we remove those three contests — utter demolitions of the Miami Dolphins and New York Jets, and a loss to the New England Patriots in brutal Buffalo weather conditions. Over/under totals for this contest are north of 50, so we’re anticipating healthy doses of offense and passing. The Bucs haven’t been particularly stingy against opposing tight ends, so as long as the Bills aren’t moping after Monday night’s defeat, Knox should be in prime position to rack up at least 36 receiving yards.
Also read: NFL Week 14 odds and early moves | NFL Week 14 totals | Week 15 look-ahead lines