Well, how crazy can a week get? We were scheduled to have two Saturday games and 12 Sunday games. Unfortunately, COVID-19 has thrown a monkey-wrench into those plans. Around 100 players have tested positive for COVID-19 this week. With that, NFL Week 15 player props take on a different look.
Player props for Saturday and Sunday games are below, with Monday and Tuesday props coming later. Sportsbooks have been slower than normal posting these lines with the unexpected turmoil for this weekend’s schedule.
As always, follow the advice of Furio from The Sopranos …. “Bet with your head, not over it”
Best Week 15 Player Prop Bets
Trevor Lawrence Over 29.5 Pass Attempts (-120) | Over 13.5 Rushing Yards (DraftKings)
Trevor Lawrence infamously went to then-coach Urban Meyer last week to ask where his running back was and why he was not playing. The new leader of this team should be Lawrence now that Meyer’s toxic managerial tactics are gone. In a huge spot, expect the rookie QB to show the team he’ll be the one in control for years to come. He’s thrown more than 29.5 pass attempts in 10 out of 13 games this season.
James Robinson Under 86.5 Rushing Yards -115 | Under 19.5 Rushing Attempts -110 (DraftKings)
This number is beyond confusing. James Robinson has been outright benched in back-to-back weeks. But WAIT! Urban Meyer was fired, so Robinson is going to make a statement as the clear running back, right?!
That all might be true, but expecting 86.5 rushing yards is projecting one of the better games of the season from the frustrated running back. While Robinson has the motivation to hit the number, these are Jonathan Taylor-like projections but with a terrible offensive line. This number could dip into the low 70s, in which case you could try to “middle” the bet. This means by betting ‘under’ 86.5 and ‘over’ the smaller number, you would win both bets if Robinson’s yardage total lands in between the two numbers. If not, you’d still win one of the two bets and basically break even.
Saturday: Jonathan Taylor Over 18.5 Rushing Attempts -130 (DraftKings)
Speaking of Taylor, the league’s premier running back will be the focal point of the Colts offense again this week. The expectation should be that Taylor dominates the touches just as he does on a regular basis. Two weeks ago, Taylor had 32 attempts in a blowout win over the Texans. With a bye week to rest up, Taylor should be ready to carry the load for the Colts. He has gone ‘over’ this number in four of his last five games.
Ben Roethlisberger Over 36.5 Pass Attempts +110 (PointsBet)
Ben Roethlisberger has looked better recently. Last week he threw three touchdowns while completing 70% of his 40 attempts. Against a Titans defense that does an excellent job stopping the run, Roethlisberger will be counted on to beat a vulnerable secondary. He has the weapons to do it, too. At +110, this is one of the better values of the weekend.
Ryan Tannehill Over 28.5 Pass Attempts -115 (BetMGM)
The AFC battle with Big Ben should feature plenty of Ryan Tannehill and Julio Jones this weekend. There is still no Derrick Henry, so someone will have to play offense for the Titans. Expect Tannehill to be forced into throwing the ball in a game expected to be competitive throughout. Tennessee won’t be able to run out the clock against the Steelers, especially if Roethlisberger plays like he did last week.