Sometimes I just sit and wonder what the mind can do, like don’t play on UNLV. They win and get the cover. Bet against the potato heads, they show up and get the cover.
Oregon is rated too high and they crush as did most of the overrated Pac 12. I guess maybe they are not overrated but Wisconsin did get robbed right in plain sight. I had them on the money line and want an investigation!
Thanks to the NFL I was able to finish the week at 5-5, but I still am getting little sleep at night trying to figure out how Alabama lost the cover last Saturday when giving up a 90-some yard TD in the fourth quarter. At least my straight bet was a -7 as I bought the number down, but I did blow all my parlays. I did recoup some on a few teasers going over to the NFL.
This appears to be a crazy NFL season brewing with the exception of the Seahawks at home with that whacked out crowd. They may not lose a home game. Oh no, I just put the evil Saber pen on the Seahawks?
Ok, my new rules after last week: I will never lay a pointspread over -7, if a team is over that number I will do the El Paso as “enuf was enuf!”
So let’s see if we can get back on the winning course in college football.
College Football
Saturday, Sept. 21
UNC +5½ at GT: This pointspread fits into my new system play perfectly, and we get the Yellow Jackets on a 20-12-1 ATS run. They returned eight starters on defense and have a new defensive coordinator in Ted Roof. His defense is much better this year. Look for GT to get the big win and run their SU/ATS to 3-0 for the season. GEORGIA TECH.
Wyoming -2½ at Air Force: The Cowboys’ lone loss so far was at Nebraska when losing 37-34. They have covered all three of their games so far and look to get revenge from last year’s home loss to the fly boys, 28-27. Wyoming QB Bret Smith is NFL caliber. WYOMING.
Utah +6½ at BYU: The Cougars could be 2-0 this year but suffered a bad loss at Virginia in a driving rain storm. They look for revenge from last year’s 24-21 loss in Salt Lake and the -6½ fits. BYU.
Rice +2½ at Houston: The Houston offense is very explosive but their defense last year was sorry to say the least. It’s much improved this year and the offense may even be better with 10 starters back led by junior QB David Piland. They had little problem with Rice last year winning 35-14. The Cougars have too much fire power for the Owls to handle. HOUSTON.
Kansas St. +6½ at Texas: Would I dare take the messed up Longhorns with their horrible defense and no pride? Well, I must give them one last shot as they do fit nicely into my system. They will be in big revenge mood after losing last year in Manhattan 42-24 as a -10 ½ point chalk. TEXAS.
LA-MONROE +27 at Baylor: Last year’s Sun Belt coach of the year Todd Berry goes big time in their second road game coming off a huge win for the Belt beating Wake Forest last week 21-19. The Warhawks stayed in the game last year against Baylor, losing 47-42, and may catch the Bears looking ahead in two weeks to WVU – a team that beat them last year 70-63. LA-MONROE.
NFL Football
Thursday, Sept. 19
Chiefs +3 at Eagles: Vick is one hit from going out and it may come sooner than later with this game plan. The KC defense is for real as they look for their third straight win and second on the road. We think they get it. CHIEFS.
Sunday, Sept. 22
Packers -1½ at Bengals: The Pack catches Cincy in the perfect storm off the huge Monday game with their hated rival Pittsburgh on short rest and the number is perfect. PACKERS.
Monday, Sept. 23
Raiders +14½ at Broncos: Just can’t pass this one up. When it looks too easy it’s usually not, and that is the case in this game. I will take the +14½ and look for Oakland to hang in for the back door cover. RAIDERS.
Have a good week and remember to play those 10 team parlays on the cards. You just may be walking around lucky and not even know it. As my brother Frank tells me, “If you die with more than five bucks in your pocket your life has been a failure.”
Well, don’t take that one to the bank, but believe me, his life has not been a failure. He had only four bucks in his pocket this morning with a bunch of losing tickets. But, he told me not to forget the treats for the dog.
Richard Saber, a former director of race and sports at the famed Stardust book, is GamingToday’s horse racing and sports handicapper. Follow Richard on Twitter @SabesBet. Contact Richard at [email protected].