NCAAF · Sat (9/25) @ 7:40pm ET
|Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma|
Our Pick: OU Oklahoma at Over 32.5 (-222). Get your $1,000 risk-free bet from FanDuel today!
The evidence is overwhelming—52-14, 59-56, 59-31 and 56-28.
While some elements of this game suggested taking the Sooners and giving 17 points, discretion and the senses pointed to an action, backing the Over, that has an excellent shot at cashing.
Both defenses have holes in them, passing-wise. Oklahoma coach Lincoln Riley espouses an “Air Raid” ethos on that side of the ball, but for this one it suits both teams’ objectives and will entertain a national ABC television audience.
West Virginia Mountaineers
Fifth-year senior quarterback Jarret Doege (pronounced DAY-gee) must have licked his chops all week gazing at one glaring statistic on the Oklahoma defense.
It has allowed opposing QBs to complete 67.2% of their pass attempts, in the bottom 20 percent of college football. Doege has gone 53-for-88 (60.2%) this season, with six touchdowns and three interceptions.
The Sooners also yield 8.3 yards per pass and 278 passing yards per game, two more parts of a defense against which Doege must believe he can capitalize.
That, too, is what kept us from biting on Oklahoma and giving 17 points. Both offenses will click, making this Over one of the best options on the entire day’s slate.
Seven receivers average double-digit yards per catch, and Doege’s main targets are veterans Sean Ryan (18.5-yard average), Bryce Ford-Wheaton (18 per catch) and Sam James (16.6 average).
The plague of West Virginia is turnovers, as only two teams in the country sport a worse rate than its -3 margin per game.
West Virginia At Oklahoma Full Sportsbook Odds
What the Sooners have achieved under Riley is kind of ridiculous, with three Heisman Trophy-winning quarterbacks all of who are starting for NFL teams.
Oklahoma has increased its output every season, from 43.5 points, to 43.9, to 45.1 and 48.4. Some have criticized their 31.5 average this season, and maybe that’s attributable to a young quarterback.
But that third-year sophomore, Spencer Rattler, had some recent words for those detractors—“You guys will see.”
The West Virginia defense and a rambunctious Memorial Stadium crowd of more than 80,000 will supply the perfect ingredients to keep the Boomer Schooner plenty busy navigating victory laps after each score Saturday evening.
Rattler figures to surpass his passing average of 250 yards, since West Virginia allows foes to complete more than 67% of their attempts, which is 105th among the 130 FBS teams. Just as poor are the 278 passing yards it yields.
Arkansas transfer Mike Woods, Jadon Haselwood, Mario Williams, Jeremiah Hall and Marvin Mims have combined to catch 52 passes and score six touchdowns.
A sophomore with blistering 4.4-second speed in the 40-yard dash, Mims averages 21 yards a catch. Junior tight end Brayden Willis (6-3, 237) averages nearly 21, too.
Tailbacks Kennedy Brooks and Eric Gray have combined for 67 carries, averaging about 5.9 yards, with four TDs. Rattler has taken off 18 times, averaging nearly four yards, with two scores. Those runs will keep West Virginia linebackers on their toes.
By the way, Rattler completes 74.7% of his attempts, the fourth-best rate in college football. Senior defensive end Dante Stills is a menace for the Mountaineers, but there have been only five better offensive lines in the game than Oklahoma’s.
Rattler rarely gets touched. He will soar against West Virginia, keeping the Sooners solidly in the playoff picture. You guys will see.
Sports Betting Recommendation
The recent run between these two suggests points, with the Sooners just about hitting this total by itself. The two models we most prize have Oklahoma scoring either 49 or 51 against West Virginia.
With some help by the Mountaineers, this Over again clears with plenty of time left on the clock.