As the 2023 WNBA season rolls on, the Las Vegas Aces and New York Liberty continue to lead the latest odds to win the WNBA championship. The reigning champion Aces are favored to repeat, and the value to play them in the futures market has only lessened in the past weeks.
On the top sports betting apps, the Aces and Liberty have the shortest odds, and a sizeable gap separates them from the rest of the field. However, with eight of 12 teams qualifying for the postseason, there may be better value farther down the betting board.
We review WNBA futures odds and what the updated predictions are signaling. The Indiana Fever, for one, have risen in stock after stringing together some wins.
Odds to Win 2023 WNBA Championship
12 teams compete in the WNBA, with the top-eight overall heading to the playoffs. Teams are seeded in order of best record, with the No. 1 seed facing No. 8, No. 2 facing No. 7, No. 3 vs. No. 6, and No. 4 vs. No. 5.
The first round of the WNBA Playoffs is contested in a best-of-three, with the top seeds hosting the first two at home. The semifinals and finals are contested in a best-of-five series.
Since the change to the current postseason format in 2020, two of the three finals have featured teams in the top four. That means a better regular-season record provides a team with an easier road to the title.
Here are the odds to win the championship from the best sports betting apps, current as of Thursday, June 29.
|BetMGM (Code TODAY)||FanDuel||BetRivers||DraftKings|
|Las Vegas Aces||-150||-150||-152||-140|
|New York Liberty||+170||+180||+140||+175|
|Los Angeles Sparks||+6600||+8000||+10000||+5000|
BetMGM offers new customers $1,000 back on their first bet if it’s not a winner. Use Bonus Code ‘TODAY’ to claim your $1,000 First Bet offer here.
WNBA Betting Favorites: Aces Continue to Lead
The Las Vegas Aces won their first WNBA championship in 2022, and their hold on the best overall record maintains them as the favorites to win this year’s trophy, too. Playing them now may not yield the best value, as their odds are unlikely to shorten much more ahead of the playoffs.
Las Vegas Aces
Reigning two-time WNBA MVP and Defensive Player of the Year A’ja Wilson was recently named a captain for the 2023 WNBA All-Star Game on July 15. Finals MVP Chelsea Gray and 2022 Most Improved Player Jackie Young will also be heading to the midsummer exhibition and are a key part of the Aces’ shot to repeat.
Under reigning Coach of the Year Becky Hammon, the Aces have won nine of their last 10 games in the month of June. With a run like that, it’s not hard to see why Vegas isn’t offering a higher yield for bettors.
That minus next to their number is likely not going to change, at least not in the near future.
New York Liberty
The New York Liberty sit atop the Eastern Conference standings and are priced between +140 to +180 across major online sportsbooks to win the 2023 WNBA title.
The Liberty are in their second season under head coach Sandy Brondello, who won the title with Phoenix in 2014, and are looking to bounce back after being eliminated in the opening round last season. The team signed former league MVP and two-time Finals MVP Breanna Stewart, who was recently named the other captain in the upcoming All-Star Game.
Former finals winner Courtney Vandersloot and former league MVP Jonquel Jones also feature on this roster.
WNBA Longshots to Consider: Fever Rising
Here’s where the value could lie if you’re not buying the favorites. These teams are right in the sweet spot, priced long enough for a potential nice return on your investment.
The Sun were two wins away from winning it all last year. You wouldn’t guess that, as BetMGM has them priced as the fourth betting choice at +1800 odds.
An offseason coaching change is part of the reason for the lack of respect, as Curt Miller left to join the Los Angeles Sparks (perhaps another team to consider for that reason). Connecticut has turned to Stephanie White in hopes of finally lifting the championship trophy.
Do you like teams with a chip on their shoulder? Look no further than the Sun. The team had zero players named as All-Star starters, an announcement that led to Alyssa Thomas making WNBA history with her fourth career regular-season triple-double.
A torn Achilles has sidelined Brionna Jones, but if the team can manage to make up for her absence, then there’s some value here.
The Mystics also had a coaching change following Mike Thibault stepping down from his sideline duties but staying on as GM. Assistant coach Eric Thibault was promoted to the head coaching role and is now responsible for recapturing a championship with members of the 2019 champs like Elena Delle Donne, Tianna Hawkins, Myisha Hines-Allen, Shatori Walker-Kimbrough, Natasha Cloud, and Ariel Atkins.
Shakira Austin recently went down to a hip injury, but some sportsbooks have the Mystics as the team with the third-shortest odds. If they get Austin back later in the year, this will certainly increase their chances to make a run.
Those odds have since changed and the Fever (+8000 at BetRivers) are rising to the middle of the pack. That’s in part because of the play of rookie Aliyah Boston, who will be the sixth rookie to start in the All-Star Game and the first since 2014.
Get on the wagon now because Indiana is on the rise.
Prediction: Aces Look Like a Winner
There’s plenty of season left to play. With over 20 games per team left on the schedule, it’s tough to lay down money on a futures bet for the Aces.
While they have all the makings of a repeat, there’s little value in betting on the Aces now, so the best choice is to find the right spots to play them during the regular season, as you’ll get a quicker return on the team’s victories.
If you like a longer shot like the Sun or Fever, now is the best time to lay a few dollars on the team you think could raise the trophy in a couple of months.
How to Bet on WNBA Championship Odds
Thinking of placing a bet on who will win the WNBA Finals this year? It’s as easy as it sounds.
Odds on teams are based on the roster, recent success, and where they currently rank in the standings. Most important, though, is the betting market’s expectations of a team’s chances to win the title.
Most major online sportsbooks have futures markets for every league, including the WNBA. Each team comes with a price, with the team farthest from competing having the best payout and the favorite to win having the lowest potential return.
For example, if Las Vegas Aces are listed at -115, a $115 bet would result in a $100 profit should they win the championship again this year. In this scenario, it may be better to wait and see if the team slumps at some point in the season and its odds lengthen for a larger potential payout.
The Fever, however, priced at +8000, would earn you $8,000 on a $100 bet.
FAQs for WNBA Futures Bettors
The Las Vegas Aces are the odds-on favorite to win this year’s WNBA Finals, priced from -140 to -150 across major online sportsbooks.
The Las Vegas Aces are the reigning WNBA Champions after winning their first title during the 2022 season.
The WNBA has 12 active teams split into two conferences:
- Atlanta Dream
- Chicago Sky
- Connecticut Sun
- Indiana Fever
- New York Liberty
- Washington Mystics
- Dallas Wings
- Las Vegas Aces
- Los Angeles Sparks
- Minnesota Lynx
- Phoenix Mercury
- Seattle Storm
Betting on the WNBA is similar to betting on most American sports. Each game features a spread, total, and moneyline, and odds are available among the major online sportsbooks in legal sports betting states.
Like with the NBA, wagers can also be placed on futures like MVP winners and season champions.
Betting on the WNBA can be done across most major sportsbooks, online or in-person, in states where sports gambling is legal.