If you wonder how the XFL season is going, look at the XFL Week 7 odds. Three of the four games have point spreads from 2.5-to-4.5 points and should be somewhat competitive. As for the other, it features arguably the best and worst teams in the XFL — hence the biggest spread of the season.
The action starts tonight with the Renegades hosting the Sea Dragons at Choctaw Stadium, followed by a doubleheader on Saturday. The Brahams will visit the Vipers, and the Guardians will host the Defenders. Week 7 will wrap up with the Battlehawks visiting the Roughnecks in Houston.
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XFL Week 7 Odds & Picks
At this stage of the season, the playoff picture is starting to take shape. Houston and DC are close to locking in their spots, with the remaining teams in each division left to fight for the second bid. But all it would take for the postseason outlook to get turned on its head is a winning/losing streak by the right teams.
In a developing league like the XFL, it could happen to anyone. On that note, let’s look at this week’s games!
Sea Dragons (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) vs. Renegades (2-4 SU, 0-6 ATS): Moneyline, Point Spread, and Total
The game will be broadcast on Saturday afternoon on ABC at 1:00 p.m. E.T. However, bettors and fans can also watch it streaming on ESPN+.
XFL · Fri (3/31) @ 7:00 pm ET
|Seattle Sea Dragons||at||Arlington Renegades|
|Choctaw Stadium, Arlington, TX|
Take away a pick-6 against the Defenders in Week 1 and a handful of plays at the end of the St. Louis game in Week 2, and the Sea Dragons could easily be undefeated. The defense plays hard and fast, and the offense can move up and down the field on anyone.
They have one issue: Ben DiNucci’s turnovers. He threw his eighth interception last week against Orlando to go with three fumbles. If DiNucci can start taking care of the ball, Seattle will be tough to beat.
Arlington has a tough defense, but it gets little-to-no help from the offense. Head coach Bob Stoops made the change at quarterback a couple of weeks ago in hopes of giving the offense a spark, but it has yet to work. Last week against San Antonio, he played both Drew Plitt and Kyle Sloter. Neither got the offense into the end zone.
But since Kyle Sloter was released, it will be Plitt or Kevin Anderson behind center.
Seattle had to work for the win against Orlando last week. Whether that was because the change at quarterback did wonders for the Guardians’ offense or because they were sloppy is up to the coaches and analysts. We think it’s a bit of both.
But there is no reason to think the Arlington offense will wake up this week. Their defense is alright, but it eventually wears down because the offense can’t maintain a drive. It would not be shocking if the Sea Dragons recorded the first shutout of the XFL season in this game.
The one thing that could throw a wrench into what should be an easy win for Seattle is Luis Perez, who the Renegades acquired in a trade with Vegas this week. He had some moments with the Vipers but struggled with consistency.
With how the season has gone for Arlington, it would not be shocking to see him in the game.
Our Pick: Seattle will likely win and cover the spread, but we are confident that the final score will not exceed 37.5 points. Take the Under.
Brahmas (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS) vs. vs. Vipers (1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS): Moneyline, Point Spread, and Total
The game will be broadcasted on Saturday afternoon on ESPN2 at 3:00 p.m. E.T. However, bettors and fans can also watch it streaming on ESPN+.
XFL · Sat (4/1) @ 3:00 pm ET
|San Antonio Brahmas||at||Las Vegas Vipers|
|Cashman Field, Las Vegas, NV|
The Brahmas kept their playoff hopes alive with a win over Arlington last week despite their injury issues at quarterback. But it is not clear who will start at quarterback this week. If Jack Coan can go, he’ll probably get the start but is listed as questionable heading into the game.
Should Coan need another week off, newly acquired Kurt Benkert will get his second start. But it may not matter who starts. The Vegas defense has given up 27.2 PPG this season, including 32 to the winless Guardians.
As for the Vipers, after last week’s dreadful performance against St. Louis, they traded Luis Perez to Arlington. But rather than give Brett Hundley the start, Jalan McClendon will get his first of the season. He’ll face a tough San Antonio defense that has given up a league-low 14.7 PPG.
It’s unclear what the Vegas offense will look like with McClendon at quarterback. A recent change sparked Orlando’s offense, and it could do the same for the Vipers. Against a tough San Antonio defense, don’t count on it. With the injury issues the Brahmas are dealing with, it is hard to say what their offense will look like.
San Antonio’s defense is good enough to carry the day, no matter who starts at quarterback. But with a question mark at quarterback for both teams, this will likely be a low-scoring game.
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Defenders (6-0 SU, 6-0 ATS) vs. Guardians (0-6 SU, 3-3 ATS): Moneyline, Point Spread, and Total
The game will be broadcasted on Saturday on ESPN at 6:00 p.m. E.T. However, bettors and fans can also watch it streaming on ESPN+.
XFL · Sat (4/1) @ 6:00 pm ET
|D.C. Defenders||at||Orlando Guardians|
|Camping World Stadium, Orlando, FL|
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The Defenders won the much-anticipated game with Houston last week, but in an unexpected fashion. Rather than run the ball and control the clock, Jordan Ta’amu and the passing game exploded for 245 yards and a pair of touchdowns.
Their defense kept the Houston offense in check in the first half, forcing the Roughnecks to make a change at quarterback in the second.
As for Orlando, the Guardians have struggled on both sides of the ball throughout the season. But with the change at quarterback a couple of weeks ago, the offense appears to have woken up. Quinten Dormady gave them a chance to win against Vegas a couple of weeks ago and made Seattle work for the win last week.
This contest has the makings of a trap game for the Defenders. DC could drop their last four and still make the playoffs. If they take it easy on the Guardians, an upset is possible. But there is no reason to think they will take their foot off the gas for this game. What is in question is just how well the Guardians’ offense may play.
Dormady could make it an exciting game. DC’s defense ranks seventh in YPG allowed (311.3) and sixth in points (19.3). But how much faith can you put in a quarterback of a winless team against an undefeated team?
Our Pick: Over 44.5; the Defenders can score points on anyone, but anyone can score on them. DC should easily win the game, but a 10-point spread makes us uncomfortable. Take the Over.
Battlehawks (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) vs. Roughnecks (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS): Moneyline, Point Spread, and Total
The game will be broadcasted on Sunday afternoon on ESPN at 2:00 p.m. E.T. However, bettors and fans can also watch it streaming on ESPN+.
XFL · Sun (4/2) @ 2:00 pm ET
|St. Louis Battlehawks||at||Houston Roughnecks|
|TDECU Stadiunm, Houston, TX|
The Roughnecks have lost two in a row and need a bounce-back game. But it will be hard to ‘bounce back’ against an improving Battlehawks team. AJ McCarron and the St. Louis offense moved the ball at will against Vegas last week. The defense had no trouble controlling the Vipers’ offense.
Houston will be more challenging to control. The Roughnecks’ defense is more formidable than it has looked the last two weeks and could make life difficult for McCarron. But Houston now has questions on offense.
The Roughnecks’ offense has been the best in the XFL for most of the season. But Seattle and DC kept the Houston offense in check by not allowing explosive plays. This led to Brandon Silvers getting benched last week in the second half for Cole McDonald. It is unclear who will start at quarterback for the Roughnecks this week.
Both teams have succeeded against the weaker teams in the XFL but have struggled against the competitive ones. From a statistical perspective, this game is too close to call; both have solid defenses and good offenses. But the big question mark is whether Houston goes with Silvers or McDonald.
The Roughnecks’ offense will likely be good for 20+ points no matter who starts; Silvers has been dependable, and McDonald has been a great change of pace. But St. Louis is also good for 20+.
The winner could be whoever has the ball last, but we see the score ending up 28-20, 26-24, or something like that.
Our Pick: Over 44.
XFL Championship Odds
These XFL futures are current as of March 31 at four of the top sportsbook apps in the country:
|Teams||BetMGM||BetRivers||Caesars: Promo Code TODAYFULL|
|Seattle Sea Dragons||+250||+225||+280|
All signs have been pointing at the Roughnecks and Defenders, and despite Houston losing to Seattle and DC, they still do. The Defenders are the team to beat but have been vulnerable on defense. But can anyone stop them on offense is the question.
St. Louis will get a chance to prove they deserve to be in championship conversations with a win over Houston this week. A third loss in a row will not take Houston out of the picture, but it will make them more of a longshot and less of a contender.
If Seattle can get Ben DiNucci to stop turning the ball over, the Sea Dragons could become the team to beat.
The best teams in the XFL have separated from the rest (i.e., DC, Houston, St. Louis, Seattle). No one would fault you for betting on either of those four.
As for the other teams, San Antonio could sneak into the playoff conversation with a win this week against Vegas, combined with losses by Houston and Arlington. Defensively, they are good enough to compete with anyone, but they need to become more productive on offense. Will a new quarterback give the offense the spark it needs?
Our Pick: Houston to defeat DC in the title game
Dark Horse: Seattle
(Really) Longshot: San Antonio
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