The fields for the AL and NL MVP are long when a new MLB season gets underway. At that time, everyone technically has a shot to potentially win MVP. But as the season goes on, the field narrows as contenders rise and fall. With 162 games making up the regular season, there is plenty of time for someone to bounce back from a slow start or slump and be in contention when the regular season ends.
The 2021 MLB regular season is done and in the books. That means that the voters have seen all they need to see and can take into consideration when deciding who deserves to be the MVP of the American League and the National League.
We will have to wait until after the World Series to find out who won. While it is not hard to figure out who the AL MVP will be, the NL vote could go in several different directions.
Current MLB MVP Odds 2021-2022
Unlike the NFL MVP, there is no particular position that favors the MLB MVP awards. Nor is it mandatory for the MVP to come from one of the best teams in the league. Baseball is much better at recognizing excellence regardless of how well a team performs than other sports.
But it will often go to the best player on one of the most improved teams like it did in 2020. Last season it was Chicago White Sox first baseman Jose Abreau in the AL and Atlanta Braves’ first baseman Freddie Freeman in the NL.
The World Series champion often (but not always) begins the following year as favorites to win again. That is not always the case for the AL MVP and the NL MVP. Odds adjust as the season goes on as players rise to the occasion or struggle.
It has not been hard to figure out who the AL MVP is going to be; the only question is whether it will be a unanimous vote or not. But in the NL, things got a little crazy down the stretch causing the odds for the contenders to fluctuate more than they normally do late in the season.
Since the regular season has come to an end, the MVP picture has become somewhat clear— at least in the AL. But in the NL, with how the season played out, the vote will likely be a close one. The odds for the top ten candidates for AL MVP and NL MVP (according to Caesars as of August 26) are as follows:
|AL MVP||Odds (as of August 26)||NL MVP||Odds (as of August 26)|
|Shohei Ohtani||-2500||Max Muncy||+550|
|Vladimir Guerrero Jr.||+1200||Fernando Tatis Jr.||-260|
|Xander Bogaerts||+10000||Freddie Freeman||+850|
|Rafael Devers||+7500||Joey Votto||+1600|
|Aaron Judge||+10000||Austin Riley||+2500|
|Marcus Semien||+7500||Bryce Harper||+1200|
|Jose Ramirez||+10000||Trea Turner||+2500|
|Matt Olson||+7500||Brandon Crawford||+8000|
|Bo Bichette||+10000||Juan Soto||+6000|
|Jose Altuve||+10000||Nicholas Catellanos||+8000|
Best Sportsbooks For AL MVP And NL MVP Odds
The MLB MVP betting lines typically open with similar numbers at most sportsbooks. But once books start taking bets on games and futures, the MLB MVP lines are going to change. That is why it is a recommended practice to shop for the best line for the AL and NL MVP odds.
As for which book you should go with—it depends on what your strategy is.
Since betting has closed, there is no need to talk betting strategy. But lets take a look at some of the favorites:
If someone does not vote for Los Angeles Angels pitcher/DH Shohei Ohtani, that person may need their credentials pulled. We are talking about a guy who led the AL and the Majors for much of the season in home runs—and he’s a pitcher! Along with 100 RBI, he went 9-2 in 23 starts with a respectable 3.18 ERA.
Someone might try to argue that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is more deserving since he hit 48 home runs, had 111 RBI, and recorded a WAR of 6.8 (Ohtani had a 4.9 WAR).
But over in the NL, the MVP picture is not as clear-cut and obvious as it is in the AL. Fernando Tatis Jr., appeared to be a lock in late August as the favorite. But a slow month in September combined with monster finishes by Bryce Harper and Juan Soto has Tatis on the outside looking in now.
Outside of those three, the odds are a lot longer, which means the NL MVP will more than likely be either Fernando Tatis Jr., Bryce Harper, or Juan Soto.
Where To Find AL And NL MVP Odds
Finding a sportsbook that is taking bets on the AL and NL MVPs is not hard to do. As long as the state has legalized sports betting and books are taking bets, you will be able to put money down on baseball MVPs.
The following states have legalized and launched online sports betting:
- Rhode Island
- New Hampshire
- New Jersey
- Washington DC
- West Virginia
Retail (only) sports betting is legal in North Carolina, Delaware, Mississippi, Arkansas, New Mexico, Montana, and New York (online coming soon for New York). It has been legalized but has yet to launch in Washington and Louisiana.
In-state where sports betting is legal, it is not a question of finding a sportsbook with AL and NL MVP odds. It is a question of finding the book with the best odds on your player because every sportsbook will carry lines on the AL and NL MVP.
AL And NL MLB MVP Betting Odds – The Favorites
AL and NL MVP predictions are as easy to find in the offseason as they are during play. As soon as the MVP gets announced in one season, the speculation begins for the following season. Of course, as the season plays out, the players in the conversation will change.
The contenders for the AL and NL MVP awards as the 2021 seasons closes in on a month left are as follows:
Top Five AL MVP Contenders
- Shohei Ohtani: If he was just a DH, then Guerro Jr. would probably win AL MVP this season. But since he is one of the best home run hitters in the league and a good pitcher, there is no reason anyone else should even get a vote.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: As impressive as Ohtani was this year, Guerrero Jr. had an MVP-caliber season as well. Anyone that votes for him will point to his home run total (48; two more than Ohtani) and his WAR (6.8 to 4.9).
- Marcus Semien: Semien had a great season for the Blue Jays with 45 home runs, 102 RBI, and a WAR of 7.1 (second-best in the AL). Solid numbers that make him worthy of being in the MVP conversation—but good enough to win? Eh.
- Salvador Perez: If you lead the league in home runs (48; tied with Guerrero Jr.), then you should certainly be in any MVP conversations. During a typical season, he might be the frontrunner for MVP—but not this season.
- Jose Ramirez: With 36n home runs and 103 RBI, it is safe to say that Ramirez had a very good season. But while it was good, his numbers do not come close to other top candidates.
Top Five National League MVP Candidates
- Max Muncy: His season numbers make it look like Muncy had a solid season, but he has a batting average of .222 or worse in four months (September, August, June, and April). In his good months, his numbers were not good enough to earn Player of the Month honors. He should not get even a single vote.
- Bryce Harper: Harper has been playing well for most of the season, but in late August, his numbers were not screaming MVP-worthy. But his strong finish down the stretch combined with Tatis Jr.’s slump has him in the driver’s seat for his second MVP award.
- Fernando Tatis Jr.: He was at the top of the list for much of the season, but his production slowed down quite a bit down the stretch. With how well a couple of other guys played when it mattered most, his lackluster finish to the season could cost him.
- Trea Turner: Having the best batting average in baseball is a great way to get your name into the MVP conversation. But while he has a respectable WAR (6.5), the rest of his numbers do not compare to the other top candidates.
- Juan Soto: In late August, Soto did not look like he had a chance. But with a monster September, he could get into the conversation—and he had a monster September hitting .404 with a 1.256 OPS. Could it be enough for him to win MVP? Well, he did have several other really strong months this season—so, maybe.
AL And NL MVP Futures Betting
It is not unusual for a sportsbook to post odds for the AL and NL MVP of one season shortly after or even before the MVPs of the current season are named. But most (if not all) sportsbooks will have AL and NL MVP odds posted months ahead of the start of the season.
During the offseason, the odds may change depending on player movement. But what affects the odds the most (in-season or during the off-season) is how much money gets placed on certain players. If a book feels like it is taking too much money on a player, they will change the odds to make him a less-enticing bet.
Overall, the odds do not change much until the season starts and a few players begin to stand out from the rest.
World Series MVP Odds 2022
When it comes to the World Series, anything and everything is fair game for the sports betting market. World Series MVP predictions and odds will typically start to surface around the time the playoffs get underway.
That way, oddsmakers do not need to factor in every team, just the ones in the postseason.
Odds will typically favor players from the team(s) favored to win the World Series. At the start of the postseason, that will be the star players from the team with the most regular-season wins from the AL and NL.
As teams get eliminated from the playoffs, their players get removed from the list. The odds will then shift to focus on the best players from the top remaining teams. They will not always fall in line with the AL and NL MVP odds since players from losing teams can be in the picture.
But for the World Series MVP, it can only be players from teams in the postseason.
Take Mike Trout’s AL MVP history as an example. Throughout his career, he has been at the forefront of the AL MVP conversation in every season he remained relatively healthy. But since the Angels have not qualified for the postseason, he has never had World Series MVP odds.
How To Bet On The MLB MVP
Do you think you know who is going to win the AL or NL MVP this season? Are you confident enough to put money on it? If so, here is how you should go about betting on either the AL or NL MVP (or both):
- Review the odds at several sportsbooks to see who offers the best odds on whoever you want to bet on.
- Register for an account with that online sportsbook. To do so, click on the ‘sign-up button on the home screen and fill out the registration page(s) with the requested personnel information. Do not forget to enter the promo code for the welcome bonus (if needed).
- Make your first deposit.
- Navigate to the sportsbook’s NFL MVP page and find the player you want to bet on. Click on him to open a betting slip.
- Fill out the slip with the amount of money you wish to bet and click ‘place bet.’
FAQs About MLB MVP Betting Odds
The AL and NL MVP awards are voted on by members of the Baseball Writers Association of America.
The vote on the AL and NL MVPs takes place after the conclusion of the regular season and before the playoffs. But the winners are not announced until after the World Series.
You can find the Vegas AL and NL MVP odds at aggregator sites like VegasInsider.com, VegasOdds.com, and VSIN. But many Vegas casinos also have apps where bettors can find their odds.
Yes, betting on the AL and NL MVPs is legal online, but only in the states where betting online is legal.
The oddsmakers of each respective sportsbook set the AL and NL MVP odds. After posting the opening odds, they will adjust them as needed.
You can place a bet for AL and NL MVP as soon as the opening odds get posted. This may be as early as right before or after the current season’s MVP is named but is certainly possible months ahead of the start of the season.