No chalk here!

Oct 25, 2005 7:06 AM

Juvenile Fillies 11/16

In looking at the past races, you have to have early speed to win as horses coming from too far back just don’t seem to be able to get the job done. So, that’s what we’ve found here.

Adieu: (3-1) Fits the bill with the speed here and she can also handle the pace pressure. She just oozes with class and will be hard to beat at what will be a short price.

Wild Fit: (6-1) Could offer some value as this Jeff Mullins-trained fillie could be sitting in the garden spot at the top of the stretch and has proven that she can get this distance.

She Says It Best: (12-1) Has a ton of early speed and if the track is playing to speed this girl could be long gone at a big price if left to the front all alone.

Juvenile 11/16

The 2 yo colts are no different then the 2 yo fillies as speed rules in these races. On the surface this looks like another titan battle between the undefeated First Samurai and Henny Hughes, whom he has beaten the two times they have faced each other. But this is Breeders’ Cup so beware.

First Samurai: (8-5) On paper this undefeated colt is the one to beat, but if they are thinking ahead to the Kentucky Derby it would be wise to lose this race as the winner just doesn’t win the Derby! Samurai should get a perfect stalking trip behind all the speed and will be tough to beat.

Stream Cat: (30-1) Don’t know if this guy will get in but at this price he will be worth a little wager as he will be flying late to pick up the pieces if the speed collapses.

Stevie Wonderboy: (8-1) I would really like this guy’s chances if he had only had a prep before this race. But Doug O’Neill doesn’t send them out unless he thinks they have a shot and the price will be right.

Fillie & Mare Turf 1¼

In the past you had to be running your best late to get the win in this race and several contenders have that running style. It looks like Luas Line and Intercontinental will set the pace and then after that, who knows?

Megahertz: (5-1) This will be the swan song for Megahertz and with a win this super tough little mare will go out in style. She comes from far back but always puts in a freight train-type move down the lane. She’s a must use down the lane. She’s a must-use in all the exotics. Frankel appears to have her cranked for a super effort and her stable mate, Intercontinental, will ensure an honest pace.

Intercontinental: (8-1) If left alone on an easy lead this girl will be mighty tough down the lane and grab part of a Frankel exacta.

Ouija Board: (5-2) Won this race last year on a yielding turf course at 13/8 at Lone Star. This 4 yo has a ton of class and should be right there, especially if the grass is soft.

Sprint 6F

This race will be a single on most exotic tickets, but not mine. I will try to beat Lost In The Fog and catch something much better than a 4-5 favorite.

Lost In The Fog: (1-1) Northern California connections are living a dream and it couldn’t happen to nicer folks. If I can’t win with Wildcat Heir I hope this guy keeps his record perfect and wins top sprinter and possibly 3 yo Horse of the Year.

Wildcat Heir: (15-1) Has been training at Belmont like a horse on a mission, has great stalking speed and could be this good for Ben Perkins at boxcars.

Taste of Paradise: (12-1) If his last was not a fluke he will be there late and I still can’t get that huge move that he made in the Vosburgh out of my mind. I will use him in the mix at what will be a good price.

Mile Turf

On the surface it looks like Bobby Frankel owns this race with Leroidesanimaux — but that’s not the case! This guy needs to lead and just may have some company on the front end with Sand Springs, and if that happens the race becomes wide open with a price horse winning.

Whipper: (20-1) Classy French invader could be the one coming late at a huge price. The 4 yo has won over a mile course and he is a must-see.

Funfair: (12-1) Is 3-for-3 since arriving in the states. Has improved in each start and proved he belongs with nice win over Artie Schiller in his last outing. Could be a bargain at this price.

Leroidesanimaux (5-2)and Artie Schiller (6-1): These two are the ones to beat. Leroi has won eight straight but no wins at Belmont. Artie is 4-2-1 in seven starts on this turf and will be sitting just off the pace. At 6-1 he will be worth a shot.

Distaff 11/8

This looks to be a very good race. The top four or five can win it all. Look for someone on or close to the pace to get the job done.

Happy Ticket: (5-1) A gem of consistency as she has 10 wins and two seconds from 12 lifetime starts. Might have won her last but had a little trouble. She kept coming at the end to lose by only a half length to the great Ashado.

Ashado: (5-2) The likely favorite, she really loves the going at Belmont, as her record indicates — 4-1-1 from six starts and 5-1-0 at this distance. The one to beat. These two could run 1-2 once again.

Healthy Addiction: (10-1) On the improve for hot trainer John Sadler, this girl has dangerous speed and could pop if things go her way.

Turf 1½

This is a race for a true turf champion. Speed has not done well at this distance in the few races that have been run, so look for the best off-the-pace style horse in the race.

Shakespeare: (5-1) If able to get 5-1 on this undefeated Bill Mott horse I may go all in! I will take 3-1, though, and hope for the best. He is 5-for-5 lifetime, all on the grass, and is all class. He’s the one to beat.

Ace: (12-1) This Aidan O’Brien 4 yo will be much tighter in his second start in the states after running a bang-up third, beaten less than a length by the top pick. Look for this one to battle it out all the way and just maybe get the win at a big price. My ace in the hole.

Forty Niners Son: (12-1) I usually would not be interested in this type, but you just have to respect any horse Neil Drysdale sends to the BC.

English Channel: (10-1) As steady as they come; just missed to Shakespeare in his last start and looks to be on the improve for Todd Pletcher.

CLASSIC 1¼

The good thing about this race is that I will be hunkered down drinking a glass of wine at Lou and Liz’s, hopefully with my Pick Three still alive.

Will it be Saint Liam, Borrego or Rock Hard Ten? Well, that’s the consensus and it wouldn’t surprise anyone if any of those mentioned won this race. But, I will take my shot and try to beat the three top picks.

Oratorio: (12-1) Another very live horse that Aidan O’Brien brings in from his Ballydoyle Yard in Ireland, and this guy is nothing but class. He has won two GR1 this year, The Irish Champion Stakes and the Eclipse Stakes in GB. Don’t sell this guy short and the price will be right. Take a good shot with him.

Borrego: (4-1) Huge eye-catching moves in his last two. However, the competition is several notches higher here so don’t expect a move like that on Saturday. But he looks to be in his best form and must be given a chance. Don’t take a short price.

Saint Liam: (3-1) If I weren’t sold on my top pick I would take a shot and single this guy in the picks. I really do think he is the one to beat.

Starcraft: (10-1) Grass champion (winner of more than $2 million on the green) may go here. His connections say he loves the dirt. Winner of 11 of 21 starts; can be used in the exotics.