No antidotes for the ‘snake-bitten’

Jun 26, 2006 3:29 AM

Keno players have to be optimists in general. We know that we’re playing a lotto type of game. This naturally entails long odds, and consequently sometimes a long time between wins.

If we play enough keno, we have all experienced some hot streaks, days when we’ve had two or three good winners in one day. It’s the cold streaks that hurt.

Because keno is a long odds game, the cold streaks can be very long. Let’s assume that we’re playing a six-spot. We know that the odds against hitting a solid six are about 7,752 to one.

The chart below delineates the odds for one against hitting X-amount of solid sixes given a certain number of tickets played. The far left column lists the number of tickets played from 1,000 to 35,780. The next five columns give you the odds for one against zero to five solid sixes given the number of tickets played.

Note that if you play only 1,000 tickets, it is almost even money that you will not hit a solid six.

However, you have about one chance in nine of hitting one solid six. You even have chances, though quickly diminishing, of hitting a solid six twice or more.

At the level of 10,000 tickets, we’d expect on the average to hit a solid six one time. The chart does reflect this expectation; the most common result is one solid six in every 2.82 samples.

There is even a reasonable chance of two or more solid hits at this level. The bad news is that there is still one chance in 3.6 that we won’t hit.

At the 20,000 ticket level, we’d expect to hit two or three solid sixes on average, and this is the case. Unfortunately, there is still one chance in 13 or so that we’ll draw a blank.

It’s not until we reach the level of almost 36,000 tickets, where we’d expect to hit four or five solid sixes, that the odds against getting blanked reach 100-to-one against. If you’re truly snake-bitten, you’ll be that one player in a hundred. You have my sympathy.

Well, that’s it for now. Good luck! I’ll see you in line! email: [email protected]