‘Theories’ can
cloud results

Nov 27, 2006 1:49 AM

If you haven’t guessed it yet, video poker is the casino’s most compelling game. It allows the player to make a choice, and at the same time it makes them feel as if they are playing a game of "skill" as some like to call it.

Where the anomaly comes in is with the math people who claim video poker is a game in which the player can play with "an edge" over the casinos.

The requirement is a game that theoretically pays over 100% via the pay table (with flawless optimal play) OR a game slightly below 100% that, with all the extras and freebies added in — including some of the wildest and most creative reaches this side of fantasyland — compute to a "return" of greater than 100%.

These astute folks refer to themselves as advantage players (AP’s). What they don’t realize, however, is that the casinos are two steps ahead of them, and it is THEY who hold the advantage.

You may have heard this from advantage players, who believe it’s OK to lose $10,000 today IF the play was a "positive expectation" one.

The strangest part is they also make believe if the so-called advantage was 2%, they did not lose $10,000, but actually WON $2,000 if they put $100,000 through the machines in play to lose the $10k.

What’s worse, they will readily come out and say "I got killed today, but since it is such a good play I’ll be right back at it tomorrow, and in the ”˜long-run’ I know I’ll be OK!"

And remember this: the casinos will welcome them back with open arms.

Can you see how ludicrous this theory is? Try depositing that $2,000 in phantom bucks into any bank. Try going home and telling the family that you feel good because you’re exploiting some fabulous "positive play" at the casino down the street. Then see how they react to your baloney about chasing your losses in the same way tomorrow on that "playable" machine.

But what makes a video poker player pretend he or she has an advantage over the casinos anyway? Well, if you’ve studied this issue as I have over the years, you’ll eventually be able to tie this "advantage theory" into the vast commercialization of the game since the early 1990s.

Entrepreneurs have been very savvy in their approach on how to draw money from players while offering approaches to playing the game that are, at best, too good to be true.

Books, computer software, strategy cards, videos, pay-for appearances and classes, and virtually all types of miscellaneous video poker paraphernalia that are capable of making a buck saturate the gaming marketplace and have for years now. Why? Well, it didn’t take long for those with an aptitude for math to realize that since the game is based in math principles, why not sell it in that fashion?

Naturally, players are also told they must learn how to play like an expert and make few to no errors along the way to the long-term, and no one has yet agreed on how long that term actually is.

What the math people are keen at saying is that the longer one plays the closer to the long-term one will get. Of course we all know that’s all BS, but it sells.

I’m not saying that all of the tools the famous names sell are bad ones. Certainly, since the game is BASED in math we all need to know as much as possible before choosing a strategy to play, and some of their products do a good job in assisting with that education.

What I do want everyone to know is really basic stuff. We all go in to play and want to win every single time. The math people say they expect to lose 7-8 out of every 10 casino visits. Is that what you want? My strategy allows consistent winning, continual profiting, and I expect to win every time I play a session.

Because I actually have found success in the game, I charge no one to read or print out any of my play strategies, I charge no one to answer as many questions as they want to ask, and I charge no one for training sessions or meetings whenever or wherever we can meet.

And it’s all got to do with playing the game as it was meant to be played and actually IS played by every person who plays: in short-term bursts. Read www.vptruth.com and let me know what you think.