Indianapolis vs. Chicago. Dolphin Stadium, South Beach, the warm weather, the two week break, Rosie vs Trump, The O’Reilly Factor.
It’s Super Bowl XLI, the nation’s most scrutinized, analyzed and homogenized event on the planet. Yes, I’ll put it up against the World Cup and American Idol because we’re in Vegas and SB generates more than 80 percent of the wagering revenue for the entire betting season. We’re talking billions of dollars in just one day.
And, that’s not counting what goes on overseas. Don’t let the Pinnacle demise fool you. My spies tell me the NFL is very popular in Europe. British gaming outlets rake in the cash and the Scandinavian nations both like and bet American football along with NHL hockey.
Here, the NFL won’t let Vegas books use the word Super Bowl. Marketing reasons, they say. Yeah, and we’re the cavemen in the GEICO ads. So when you see promotions for parties the day of the game, figuring on a politically correct title for sport’s biggest day becomes an innovative process not to offend the NFL powers on Madison Avenue.
Ridiculous? You decide.
Time to get pithy and dive into the nuts and bolts of Colts v Bears. Here’s how I judge the game as if this was Strat O’Matic and these two champions were cards on a game board.
Our no spin zone, if you will.
Every Super Bowl we introduce The Romp Factor, defined as the ability of one team to blow out the other (aka win by at least 14 points). Indianapolis is more likely to rout Chicago than the other way around. But, that’s a subjective view.
What we objectively deduce from these stats below is that there’s not much separating the Colts and Bears. The over / under is basically a 50/50 proposition.
One argument for the Bears is their 2-0 ATS mark as an underdog and +7 for SB 41 is the largest number Chicago has been spotted this season.
Indy also has merit, particularly in the common matchup with the Jets. The Colts scored 31 at GangGreen in a win. Da Bears won there with just 10, but blanked Mangenius.
It’s no secret the Colts are identified with offense and Peyton Manning, the Bears by defense and Brian Urlacher. The matchup is too close to call with medium scoring — somewhere in the 17-to-24 point range on each side.
From these stats alone, the winner is Barack Obama.
Sorry, wrong game and year. No, we’ll take the points and hope the two week layoff doesn’t produce another stinker. I do believe turnovers will play a prominent role, one way or the other. BEARS.