Time to stroke a few doggies

January 08, 2008 5:58 AM
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In the second round of the NFL payoffs, the Saturday menu begins with the Packers being about an 8 point favorite over the visiting Seahawks. This game, depending on the weather, should shoot over the listed 40 point total. Seattle has disregarded their running game, even though they have a healthy running back in Alexander.

Nevertheless, an upset will be squarely on the shoulders of QB Matt Hasselbeck. The Seahawks are a pretty good defensive team, and I’m going with the points here, and hoping the Green Bay quarterback, Brett Favre, gets behind and gets a little reckless with his aerial attack.

The Pats play the late game, as it should be, as the only 16-0 team to ever play in a 16 game season and go undefeated. I agree that New England is a great team, but the point spread that came out -11½ may go as high as 13 or better, and I can’t pass that up, as Jacksonville may well be the sleeper here, with a tough defense and passable offense that doesn’t turn the ball over very often. QB Gerrard has only thrown two interceptions the entire season, which is almost an unbelievable statistic. I do believe they’ll give New England a battle, and may even win it straight up.

On Sunday the Colts will host the Chargers, and they came out —9, with a 48 point total. The Chargers didn’t impress me with their victory over Tennessee, as the game was very close into the fourth quarter. If the San Diego club gives that type of effort against the Colts, they’ll get beat by three touchdowns. This season Phillip Rivers has shown a lack of championship character in previous weeks, and I can’t foresee him leading a team to the Super Bowl. I’ll lay the early number, and let Payton take care of the rest.

The NFC game will be another battle of two teams from the super tough NFC East, as the Cowboys will host the Giants. I’ve said all season that there is not more than 3 points difference between any of the four teams in this division. The opening line for Dallas is -7½ , and this makes this an easy pick for me, as they may get beat straight up by a tough Giants defense. On top of that, the total of 48 makes me think of a Giants and under parlay.

One thing for you to bear in mind is that the rested teams usually win three out of four on the second week of the playoffs. So, if you play the money lines (no points) keep this history in mind.

As the new year begins the thought occurs to me that everything changes but nothing is different. What am I talking about? Well, I don’t really know myself but it sounded like a good line. With the ever popular bowl games behind us, I can think of only one constant. The teams with the interim coaches had one victory (West Virginia) and six defeats. The truth is that all persons lucky enough to be on this earth develop themselves into stringent routines and perform differently when these routines become altered. A very simple example is every morning the first thing I do while drinking my first cup of coffee is begin reading the sports page of our local newspaper. Should that paper not have been delivered that day I feel uncomfortable all day and keep thinking I forgot something. In our own way we all react adversely to disruption of our set patterns. Athletes are no different then we bettors when it comes to changes in our modus operandi.

I feel I must bring out the point of visits by friends and family, as Las Vegans get plenty of those occasions. My parents used to visit me for three weeks at a time, so disruption was certainly evident and as much as I loved them I always looked forward to driving them to the airport at the end of their stay.

Have a great week!