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Saber's Horse Selections for Thur., April 24, 2008

Apr 24, 2008 8:48 PM
Yesterday’s results

The Hollywood meet started on the down side; in race one we had two horses, one was a late scratch, the other won and was DQ’d to last – what a way to start the day let alone the meet! Things didn’t get much better. We had the winner in race two, ran second in race three, had the winner in the fourth, ran second in the fifth, sixth and seventh races and finished with the winner in race eight – No. 14, which paid $14.80 – but we ran first, third and fourth in our tri and was split in the Q. At Bay Meadows the "seconditis" continued as we ran second in race one, we had the winner in the second through the fifth but ran second and third in the sixth as we were beat by a $100-horse. Then our key horse was beat at the wire in the seventh and we ran first and third in the last race.

HOLLYWOOD PARK

Race 1

The card must be a joke as the two biggest fields of the day are the fourth and eighth races – each with eight horses and that is before any late scratches. In this race the No. 1, Cable Dancer, had the misfortune of running into a tiger in his first try on the grass at Bay Meadows; he will need that closing kick today as he will have to run down the No. 2, Dr. Au Jus. 1-2

Race 2

This looks like a two-horse race with No. 4, Halo’s Clean Sheet, an unlucky loser in her first try as a 3yo; she is wheeled back in just 10 days and gets the services of bug boy Campos. No. 6, Mud Sweat’n Tears, cost us a piece of a big pick six on March 31 when she was DQ’d in what was a questionable call. 4-6

Race 3

It looks like any one of four can win in this six-horse field: 1-2-3-5 are the contenders. The No. 5, Romance is Zenon, just broke his maiden albeit in slow time but is consistent and looks to be placed perfectly after the maiden breaker. 1-2-3-5

Race 4

Eight $25k Maiden claimers going 5 furlongs creates an unusual race here. The No. 1, Wild McDreamie, woke up big-time in his second try off a long layoff and could be ready for his best. No. 5, Rhodine’s Kid, drops a notch and it looks like it is now or never for this 5-year-old. No. 6, Big Red Tate, looks live at first asking for trainer Ellis. 1-5-6

Race 5

Just another five-horse field with No. 2, Bel Air Sizzle, probably the odds-on choice here; use her as a single in the picks or just pass the race. After her, any one of the other four can win. 2

Race 6

A contentious filed of seven are lined up in the 1 1/16 optional $40k claimer for fillies and mares. No. 3, G. I. Betty, has always been well-regarded and appears to have found a good spot to notch win number three. No. 5, Chelcee’s Hope, was just claimed for $32k and is put in a claim-proof spot by the cagy Mike Mitchell. This will be her first try on a surface other then grass but don’t believe it will be a problem and she just may love it, at least Mr. Mike thinks so. We will use both the 3 and 5. 3-5

Race 7

In this six-horse field it looks very contentious as any of the six could win. The No. 5, Musical High, hasn’t been seen since Del Mar of last year, comes back the cheapest she has ever run but trainer Paddy Gallagher can have them ready. 5

Race 8

In this race it looks as though chicks will rule. No. 7, Chicks Rule, gets a drop and Bejarano and looks like a short price winner. Single her in the picks and make some trifecta’s and superfectas.

$1 trifecta 7 with 2-4-5-6-8 with 2-4-5-6-8 for $20

10¢ super 7 with 2-4-5-6-8 with 2-4-5-6-8 with 2-4-5-6-8 for $6

10¢ super 2-4-5-6-8 with 7 with 2-4-5-6-8 with 2-4-5-6-8 for $6

BAY MEADOWS

Race 1

The only one that looks like it can beat the No. 4, Valid Port, is the Santa Anita shipper No. 1, Stalemate; these look like the same numbers we used on Wednesday. 1-4

Race 2

Sometimes you have to dig deep and take a shot. In here, the No. 1, Squallcreek, looks like the horse Cable Dancer that trainer Gary Mandella sent here two weeks ago – this one is mega live. 1

$20 double for $40

Race 1: 1-4

Race 2: 1

Race 3

It looks like only three have a shot at the win, 2-4-5

Race 4

This is another that looks real chalky with the two big drop:downs. 3-5

Race 5

We would really like the No. 1, Moogie, in this spot if we new for sure that Schvaneveldt was going to ride; if so, she will be a good key, if not use her in the mix. No. 7, Coastal Prospector, has reeled off four straight easy wins but all were on the dirt and is now trying grass for the first time – this one can get beat at a very short price, one of two Steve Sherman’s in the race. The other Sherman is No. 9, Gayle’s Gala, and guess what, Mr. Baze rides this one and she is 5-1 in the morning line. No. 10, Young and Fresh, is a fresh horse and has some back class. Her one try on the grass was a very good effort and this one will be coming late. In her last start she ran second just beat by a head by Gayle’s Gala. This will be her first off the claim by Gloria Buckridge and she is 33% first off the claim. 1-7-9-10

$1 trifecta box 1-7-9-10 for $24

Race 6

With $20k maiden claimers, will there be another $100 horse in this race? In this field of eight all have a shot so tread lightly or pass. The 1-3-4-5 appear to be the main contenders and all should be a fair price. 1-3-4-5

Race 7: 1-4

Race 8

No. 2, Motel Staff, an11-year-old gelding, is tough as nuts and just may be set to get the 23rd win of his long career. No. 8, We will Prevail, has the speed to take these all the way. The No. 1, Burning Blur, also has speed and will be with the No. 8 from start to finish. 1-2-8

Don’t forget to check for late scratches and changes.