At Keeneland, our play went off at 18-1 and came flying home but was too late and just missed the show dough in a photo. At Hollywood, we ran one, two in the first, won the second and ran first, second and third in race three. We ran one-two again in the fourth but our picks were second and third in the fifth. We ran third in the sixth but had the winners in the seventh and eighth. In the ninth our key horse ran second. At Bay Meadows it was another day of chalk and more chalk.
In this race No. 4, In Daddy’s Honor, appears to be a standout and a short price winner – single in the picks and make a trifecta with the 5 and 6.
$2 tri key 4 with 5-6 with 5-6 for $4
No. 4, Rosangela, is put on the grass in her second lifetime start; she appears ready to roll. No. 2, Christiana’s Heat, gets a turn back in distance and a big jockey upgrade. 2-4
$2 double for $4
Race 1: 4
Race 2: 2-4
In this race the top four all have a say, so in this 7 ½ furlong sprint we’ll go with 1-2-3-4.
$ pick three for $8
Race 1: 4
Race 2: 2-4
Race 3: 1-2-3-4
In this race No. 2, Usurp, makes his 3yo debut; in his last start as a 2yo he went off at 4-1 against Colonel John and finished second and we all know what the Colonel has done. The probable favorite is No. 7, Camel Point, who has run three winning races but has had bad luck, he may be a horse that just does not want to win. The sneaky horse in here is No. 9, Concertos’ Thunder, who also makes his 3yo debut. He was last seen running at Keeneland against the likes of Racecar Rhapsody – this one appears ready to motor for trainer Doug O’Neill. 2-7-9
$2 exacta box 2-7-9 for $12
$2 tri box 2-7-9 for $12
No. 7, Supply Program, appears best on numbers but has only one win in 17 attempts. He gets a big trainer upgrade off the claim and the new trainer puts his go-to rider in the saddle. No. 4, Lutyens, finally got the maiden breaker after 10 tries and sometimes these kind come right back and repeat. 4-7
No. 4, Be Glorious, exits a big key race and gets Bejarano in the irons – all systems are go. No. 5, Shy Baby, and No. 9, Shake it Off, also exit that race. No. 11, Boston Cat, is the speed but could get hung out to dry. We will key the 4 with 5-9-11 and make a four-horse Q box.
$2 exacta key 4 with 5-9-11 for $6
$2 Q box 4-5-9-11 for $12
In a very tough heat we will go with the 7-8 and just use both in the picks. 7-8
Any one of the 8 in here can win, so we will shoot with the 3 and 8 in the hopes of keeping our picks alive. 3-8
We will need to go five deep in the last leg of the late pick three. 5-6-10-11-13
$1 pick three for $20
Race 7: 7-8
Race 8: 3-8
Race 9: 5-6-10-11-13
There is little to play as the fields are small and Baze is on almost every favorite. In this race No. 3 appears to be a standout, but I doubt if you can get even money on her. No. 3
This one also appears chalky but we will toss two horses in that may be a little pricier. No. 8, Rob Bob, was unlucky to lose in his last and will be very hard to down with Baze up, but we will toss in the 4 and 6 for a price play.
$2 double for $6
Race 1: 3
Race 2: 4-5-6
Race 3: 1-5
Race 4: 1-3
Race 5: 3-5-6
Race 6: 1-4-5
Race 7: 1-2-8
Race 8: 2-4-6
Race 9: 3-4-6-7
Always remember to check for late scratches and changes.