Saber's Horse Selections for Wed., April 30, 2008

April 30, 2008 8:50 PM
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HOLLYWOOD PARK

We will concentrate on the big pick six carryover on today’s card, races 3 through 8.

Race 3

What a way to start: 2 year-old fillies going 4˝ furlongs with only two of the eight entered having a start under their belt. No. 1a, Chilliwack, ran a 2f race at Santa Anita and this Swiss Yodeler offspring took some action and showed good speed. She was on the rail that day in a field of nine and she will be breaking from the five post today, which will help. Also, the second place finisher came back and won her next start. No. 6, Listisimo, gets a break in the weights with the bug boy Campos up and her 4f gate work on April 18 stands out as the best of 31 that day. No. 7, Glitter City, is a Mullins first-time starter with very good works and Tyler Baze in the irons. 1a-6-7

Race 4

No. 3, Matty’s G Force, looked like the winner in his last but was run down late by Power Blitz, who is running in the feature race on today’s card. His trainer, Mike Mitchell, won the training title at Hollywood but is 0-9 so far at this meet. No. 4, Tote’s Humdinger, just missed in his last by a nose and his trainer has been hot so far with two wins and a third from three starters. No. 7, Cambridge Blue, exits the same race as Matty’s G Forace, but has had trouble getting out of the gate. Lightly-raced, this will be his second start of the year, and if able to get a clean break he will be the one to beat down the lane. 3-4-7

Race 5

Speed galore will line up for this 6 furlong turf sprint so we will look for the top speed and best closer. No. 8, Mini Do, woke up big time when tried the grass in his last start going wire to wire and Tyler Baze strings along. No. 10, Excitement, should make a big late run from her outside post and if able to improve off her last start she could run them all down late. 8-10

Race 6

In this race No. 1, Ann’s Plan, is double jumped in class off the claim by Jeff Mullins, but shows no works since the claim (20 days); still, Mullins is one sharp trainer and must like what he bought with the double jump in class. There is a ton of speed in here and the one that could run them down late is No. 13, Beyla, who gets Flores back in the saddle; he won with this girl the only other time he rode her. 1-13

Race 7

No. 6, Coast Guard, just ran a big third to Colonel John in the Santa Anita Derby; he loves the synthetic surface as his only bad effort was on the Bay Meadows dirt; he will be odds-on here and if he can’t get a win, it wont bode well for the Colonel in the Kentucky Derby. His main threat could be No. 10, Madeo, a lightly raced 3-year-old colt trained by John Shirreffs, who takes his time with young horses; his main man rides and this one seems to be an up-and-comer; he will be making a big late run. 6-10

Race 8

If only we knew the results of the fifth race, as No. 3, Snow Deliciou, exits the same race as Excitement, who is running in the fifth – if she wins you can go to the bank with this girl. We will take our shot here and single No. 3, Snow Delicious, who looks primed for the stretch-out by trainer Doug O’Neill and this girl is bred to route. No. 3

$2 pick six for $144:

Race 3: 1-6-7

Race 4: 3-4-7

Race 5: 8-10

Race 6: 1-13

Race 7: 6-10

Race 8: 3

 

BAY MEADOWS

Race 1

We will play the early double and early pick four. In the double we can go deep as we have a single in race two. In here we will use 2-5-6-7

Race 2

No. 4, Illuminator, looks much the best in here as he loves this track and distance. No. 4

$2 double for $8:

Race 1: 2-5-6-7

Race 2: 4

Race 3

No. 2, Luck Be a Lily, has lost as the odds-on choice in three straight races and will be odds-on here so we will take a shot and try and beat her. No. 1, Spanish Summer, hasn’t been seen since 2006 but surfaces here for the first time in the Steve Sherman barn; his stable is winning at a 27% clip – this girl is live. No. 3, Perfect Jev, looks good at first asking for hot trainer Bonde. 1-3

Race 4

No. 6 will be another horse ridden by R. Baze that will be odds-on; he is 1 for 19 lifetime so we will take another shot and try to beat him with No. 2, Lift My Eyes, who tries the grass for the first time but has speed and looks dangerous. No. 4, Flashy Helmsman, drops into a spot that gives him a shot. No. 5, Jinete, ran good in his only turf try and may like this longer distance. 2-4-5

$1 pick four for $24:

Race 1: 2-5-6-7

Race 2: 4

Race 3: 1-3

Race 4: 2-4-5

Race 5: 4-7

Race 6

No. 6, Nosey Britches, just demolished $8k maidens, and stays at the bottom of the claiming ranks trying to repeat. Her main danger will come from No. 1, Minnow, who makes her first start since last November and she was facing tougher. 1-6

Race 7: 1-2-5

Race 8: 1-4-5-6

Always check for late scratches and changes.