Saber's Horse Selections for Thur., May 1, 2008

May 01, 2008 8:10 PM
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Yesterday’s results

We came within one race of hitting the big pick six carryover, losing race four. We caught three fives which paid 378.20 each. So we got back $1,134.60 after investing $144 for a net profit of $990.60. Up north, we almost pulled it off at Bay Meadows but our key horse in race two was beaten in a photo despite a five minute inquiry. We had all the winners after that – we should have played the pick six at Bay Meadows as there were no winning tickets and only those with four winners were paid!

HOLLYWOOD PARK

Race 1

Not much to get excited about today as we are stuck with short fields. In this race, Mike Mitchell drops No. 3, Change Your Mask, off the claim, a tactic he has used for years so don’t let the drop scare you off. No. 2, Kiss My Crown, is two for two at Hollywood and exits the same race as Change Your Mask. 2-3

Race 2

No. 4, Ornamental Torch, was claimed for $80k last year and now shows up in this $62,500 maiden claimer – that’s not that bad of a sign; if he wins and is claimed they still eke out a profit. No. 6, Texas Dolly, gets a great post for jockey Solis as he loves to be outside and this filly will be motoring late. 4-6

Race 3

No. 5, Mostacolli Mort, towers over these and has been working a hole in the wind. The main danger could come from No. 3, Fire Wood, who ran second at this 1Ľ-mile distance on this course in December. 3-5

Race 4

With 2-year-olds going 4˝ furlongs, this one is a trainer’s game and the best with these is Wesley Ward, who trains No. 4, Streamin Hot. Ward is around 31% with first time starters and jockey Pedroza can get these young horses to run. No. 6, Mountain Guide, is a Swiss Yodeler and they come out running. This guy’s works say he is ready and at 15-1 in the morning line we will use him. No. 3, Comic Club, is listed as the early favorite at 2-1 in the morning line but his jock Talamo has been ice cold; I would not take a short price on this first timer. 3-4-6

Race 5

With 3-year-olds testing the 6 furlong turf course, this could add up to a big price. No. 1, Topper Shopper, ran decent on the 6˝ furlong downhill course at Santa Anita; he now takes a little dip in class and gets a big rider upgrade to M. Baze – all systems are go! No. 7, Doneitagain, gets his first taste of Southern Cal as he was claimed at Gulfstream Park for $35k by Mike Mitchell and now he brings him back at double the claimed price, he must really like this guy. After that it is anyone’s race and if I were playing pick threes I would use the main two and then hit the all button. 1-7

Race 6

Fillies that have never won two races are a dangerous proposition and that’s what we have in this one. No. 1, Smooch, is the likely favorite and she just missed last year on this layout in a $25k maiden claimer. No. 6, Proud Garrison, got legged up on the grass in her last star while running last in a field of 11; she will run much better today at what should be a big price. No. 7, No Name Just Game, exits the Ann’s Plan race and Ann came back yesterday on a double jump in class and destroyed her field. If able to get 3-1 on this girl I would take a good shot. 1-6-7

Race 7

In this race No. 2, Ingrid The Gambler, gets back with her friends after running in a Grade 3 affair; she loves this course and will be mighty hard to beat. No. 4, Exquisite Beauty, won in her only attempt on this 6 furlong turf course and this girl will be flying late and could get there if the speed packs it in. 2-4

Race 8

No. 6, Poet of Cloth, had a horrible trip in his last start, and now drops to the bottom of the claiming ranks in So Cal, it looks like its now or ship up North. No. 8, Kirby’s Glue Foot, is lightly raced and on the improve and I like the fact that Clinton Potts gets on board – he could be the one to beat in here at a price. This could be a good race to bet a few trifectas. 6-8

$1 trifectas:

6-8 with 6-8 with 2-5-9 for $6

6-8 with 2-5-9 with 6-8 for $6

8 with 2-5-6-9 with 2-5-6-9 for $12

BAY MEADOWS

Race 1

We have 2-year-olds going 2 furlongs, so let’s take a shot with the 2 and 2b entry here as both look very fast. 2

Race 2

No. 2, Famego, is stretched out and put on the grass after the Jerry Hollendorfer claim – he will try to take these wire-to-wire. This one could get into a heated speed duel with No. 6, Cassiar, who is also trying the grass for the first time. If these two air it out, recent maiden breaker Da Nicky could pick up the pieces. 2-4-6

Race 3

A. L. Diaz has entered two in this six horse field of $8k maiden claimers; we will use both No. 4, Nicolina, and No. 6, Little Ava. 4-6

Race 4

No. 5, Geri Hears an Echo, drops to the bottom but if she still has three legs she will win going away. If not No. 7, La Beau Em, will take them wire-to-wire. 5-7

Race 5

Five furlongs on the grass seems to be the prefect distance for No. 7, Famous Secret; she is the one to beat. No. 6, Sparklelady, tests the grass for the first time but is in top form. 6-7

Race 6

This sets up for a dime superfecta –we will box five here, 2-3-5-7-9

10˘ super box 2-3-5-7-9 for $12

Race 7

This is a one-way call, as we will single No. 7, Ben’s Starry Night. He just missed in his last start by a head and now gets blinkers, which should do the trick. 7

Race 8

No. 3, Just Like Her, was just claimed by Mathis who is almost 30% first off the claim and Baze sees fit to ride. She will have to run down another recent claim, No. 5 Sexy Soldier, who was red tagged by William Morey who pops at a rate of 36% first off the claim. 3-5

Always remember to check for late scratches and changes.