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'Moose' is loose again in pinstripes

May 6, 2008 7:00 PM

On The Mark by Mark Mayer | If Philly can have the eye of the Tiger, then New York deserves a Moose.

The "Moose" in this case is Mike Mussina, some 50 wins shy of 300 in his future Hall of Fame career. Mussina was thought to be done off his first few starts, but then new boss Hank Steinbrenner called Moose out. Since then, Mussina is 3-0 and the Yanks are averaging nearly six runs of support.

Note: Mussina was not favored (+136 vs Chicago, +103 vs Cleveland, even vs Seattle) during each victory. His next projected start is Friday in Detroit, where he should again see a nice betting price.

Hint.

If you’re looking for an underdog that delivers, try the Oakland Athletics.

In their 18 victories, only four came as a favorite. The largest payback was on April 12 when the A’s were +205 at Cleveland and won 7-3 behind Lenny DiNardo. Who?

That’s the point.

GamingToday’s baseball handicapper Sid Diamond makes a nice living playing over/unders more often than sides if you’ve noticed on our website. There is definitely money to be made when documenting combined run totals for matchups on a daily basis. For example, this past Thursday the under went 8-2, including 4-0 in the National League.

Take the LA Dodgers. The under was 5-1 the first six games. Since then, the over is 12-11-1 on the strength of five straight from April 21-26. The Toronto Blue Jays are currently on a 9-1 under run, followed closely by St. Louis at 7-1 in its last 8. The New York Yankees began the season 9-1 to the under and have maintained that margin at 21-10-2.

One last remark on totals: Coors Field has long been considered a launching pad, but that really isn’t the case. The over is 6-7 in 13 home games. The highest posted run total had been 10½ (twice) until LA put a hurt on Colorado pitching this past weekend.

There had been a posted total of 8 when Colorado’s Jeff Francis hooked up with Arizona’s Brandon Webb in a battle of aces. Arizona won 7-2. So, don’t assume every Rockies home game is going over the total. Unless, the Dodgers are there.

By the way, Arizona is 7-0 when Webb starts.

The LA Angels owe a lot to Joe Saunders and Ervin Santana. The Angels are 7-0 when lefty Saunders starts, 5-1 when the righty Santana goes. The time to bet against LA (at Anaheim) is when Jared Weaver, Dustin Moseley or John Garland pitches.

In this up and down season, the Texas Rangers perhaps more than any other team are a microcosm to a bettor’s dilemma. From April 11-24, the Rangers were a morbid 2-12 with losing streaks of five and seven games. Since then, Texas is 6-3, winning four of their last five.

The Rangers of the NL are the Washington Nationals. After a 3-0 start, the Nationals went 1-11 and were 5-15 before going on a 7-3 run against the Braves, Mets and Cubs. The Nats are now 14-18!

Go figure.

FYI: Two more one-run decision went against Atlanta, making the Braves 0-9 in that department. As we said in the past, run-line only when betting Atlanta...The streaking Dodgers have scored 10 or more runs four times in their last nine outings…The over has hit nearly 70 percent of the time (21-10) in Pittsburgh’s games.