VIP & VIP+
Exclusive Content   Join Now

Saber's Horse Selections for Friday, May 16, 2008

May 16, 2008 8:09 PM

by Richard Saber |

Yesterday’s results

At Hollywood Park we hit our key play in race eight, catching the $1 tri which paid $116.60 and the $2 Q which paid $31.40. We had all the horses but blew the super as we left out the five. We lost our key bet at Golden Gate in race seven despite running 1-2-3 as our key horse, No. 5, ran third.

Hollywood Park, first post 7:05 PM

Race 1

This one looks like No. 4, Matty’s G Force, but at 9-5 in the morning line with Nakatani in the irons we will have to take a pass; I don’t like betting on the Nak at a price but at 9-5 or less, no thanks. His main foes are No. 1, Buzzin Mon, and No. 3, Geauxforthedeaux. 1-3-4

Race 2

Wesley Ward jacks No. 7, Quasimodo, back up to the original price that he claimed him for $40k, he has done a great job managing this iron horse who has won seven of nineteen lifetime starts. No. , Waltz Time, is another one of those Turf Paradise shippers that look live. No. 2, Quest Venture is the speed, ran a huge winning race in a much tougher field and just may be to much for this crew at a short price. 2-3-7

Race 3

This one is worth taking a shot as No. 6, Toppers Smiling, appears to have found a good spot and her price will be a good one. We will bet her win and place and make some Q’s and a trifecta. Her main threat will come from the layoff horse off the Monteleone claim No. 10, Excessive Tale, and he uses his go to rider Espinoza.

Key Play

$10 win and place on No. 6 for $20

$2 key Q 6 with 1-2-4-5-8-10-12 for $14

$1 tri part wheel 6-10 with 6-10 with 1-2-4-5-8-12 for $12

Race 4

No world beaters in here so we will take a shot with the newcomer No. 5, Schill, who was last seen breaking her maiden at Calder in December and now shows her face here for trainer Brian Korner. No. 6, Inspiration Within, is always right there but just has that one win to her credit but has four seconds and three thirds from eleven starts, she looks good in the exotics in the second and third spots. No. 8, King City Kitty, gets a good post for this 7 furlong race and broke her maiden in a fast time. 5-6-8

Race 5

No. 2, Unusual Suspect, has two wins and a third on this 6f turf course, he will be flying late but will need a pace battle up front to get there. No. 7, Zoning In, may be the speed in here and did win in wire to wire fashion on this oval last June. 2-7

Race 6

We will take another shot in this 14 horse field and try and catch a good payoff. We are going to take a shot and key on the Mullins come-backer No. 5, Foul Play; this 4yo with just three lifetime looks very sneaky, we will key him in the tri, super and Q’s.

Key Play

$2 key Q 5 with 2-4-6-7-12-13 for $12

$1 key tri 5 with 2-4-13 with 2-4-6-7-12-13 for $18

$1 key tri 2-4-13 with 5 with 2-4-6-7-12-13 for $18

$1 key super 5 with 2-4-13 with 2-4-13 with 2-4-6-7-12-13for $18

10¢ superfecta box 2-4-5-12-13 for $12

Race 7

If playing any picks I would take a shot and single No. 2, Lighten Up Rule, in this race as she is in top form, has won on this course and makes her first start for the Mullins and Bone team. We will make this another key play as we will key the 2 in this race with some late doubles in race eight. 2

Race 8

We will use several in here with No. 5, Dreams Afleet, and No. 8, Dumaani’s Gold, as our main plays and the 1-2-3-4-7 as our others to save or bet.

Key Play

$10 double for $20

Race 7: 2

Race 8: 5-8

$3 double for $15

Race 7: 2

Race 8: 1-2-3-4-7

 

Golden Gate Fields post time 1:05 PM

Race 1

Droppers are the play in here but with all the question marks we will pass unless you want to take a short price on the Hollendorfer dropper No. 2, Turkus Quercus, and we all say what happened on Thursday when the 1-9 shot ran out in the first race, they are still looking for some of the bridge jumpers in under the Golden Gate Bridge.

Race 2

No. 5, Love Seeker, did not run a step on the grass in her last start off the layoff but looks live on the drop and at 5-1 in the morning line we will take a little shot.

Key play

$10 win and place No. 5 for $20

Race 3

Jerry H brings in No. 1, Hurricane Retsina, from Hollywood where she did not run badly for $32k; the drop in here for $20k looks ok and we would take a shot and single her if playing any of the picks. 1

Race 4

No. 5, Awesome’ncool, has run very good in her two starts and has been handled gingerly as she must have some problems but she can run and looks good in this spot. I would take a shot and single this girl in the picks. Her main threat will come from the 1 and 3. 1-3-5

Race 5

No. 7 ran well here on the poly track with two wins in January. No. 8, R. Beau, won his one and only here and looks set for another big run. No. 9, Awesome Shine, has won two in a row and is spotted properly for another good effort. 7-8-9

Race 6

No. 1, Perfect New, is a rare ship in from the barn of John Shirreffs and is listed at 15-1 in the morning line a price you will never see. If anywhere near 15-1 just go to the window and take a shot. No. 6 is another interesting horse as he last ran at Santa Anita last September and is listed at 8-1 in the morning line but could go off at a higher price. Lets take a shot and make a little bet on both.

Key play

$10 win on the 1 and 6 for $20

$2 Q 1-6 for $2

Race 7

The 1 and 1a are listed as the 7-5 morning line favorite but if betting this race I would suggest the better play would be on No. 6, Vicarino. 6

Race 8

This $20k maiden claimer for 3yo fillies can be a very dangerous proposition but we will take a shot and try and hit the trifecta keying on the come-backer No. 5, Little Miss Ruler, who ran well in her only start last August. We will key her first and second with No. 1, Stormy Cyrina, another filly who hasn’t seen the starter since last August but has some nice works and is 10-1. No. 7, Jump Ball, who ships in from Santa Anita for trainer Paddy Gallagher, appears to have some speed on the drop and No. 8, Dotsy Jean, will be the late threat from her outside post.

Key play

$2 tri key 5 with 1-7-8 with 1-7-8 for $12

$1 tri key 1-7-8 with 5 with 1-7-8 + $6

$1 tri key 5 with 1-7-8 with all for $21

10¢ super box 1-2-5-7-8 for $12

 

Don’t forget to check for late scratches and changes.

Also, we will cover thoughts on the Preakness on Saturday.