Poland (-½, +140, 2½u, -120, Las Vegas Hilton open) vs. Croatia (+½, -160) (11:45 a.m. PT, ESPN Classic): This game means nothing to the Croats who have already qualified for the quarterfinals, outscoring Germany and Austria by a combined, 3-1 in its first two matches. Poland’s virtually done, considering it needs Austria to upset Germany in today’s other Group B match. The thought with the linesmaker is that Croatia may rest and try not to have any injuries for its next match while the Poles will be going all out as they have nothing to lose.
The best angle here may be the UNDER, as the games these two teams have played have averaged exactly 2.0 goals per game and the Croats won’t be pushing the pace – just hope there aren’t any freaky goals or penalty shots from the box. As far as the side, I am leaning towards CROATIA +½, as the game could end tied and we can win with the half-goal. Croatia is the better team, and if they can beat Germany, then they should be able to at least tie or beat Poland. UNDER 2½, CROATIA +½.
Germany (-1½ +105, 2½o -135 LVH) versus Austria (11:45 a.m. PT, ESPN/ESPN Deportes): The pre-tourney favorite (7-2 odds, Palms) has played very poorly in this tournament and actually needs a win in this one to move on in the tournament. The oddsmakers are asking us to lay a goal and a half, and with Austria allowing just 2 goals in the first two games, it’s kind of hard to lay that kind of lumber here. Germany needs to win, will probably win, but whether it ends 1-0 or 2-0, who knows? Let’s PASS the side in this one and make a small play on the UNDER as the soccer match should be pretty boring one.