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Chalk Talk College Football Betting Tips 09-10-08

Sep 10, 2008 8:17 PM

Chalk Talk College Football Betting Tips by Kevin Stott | Making money betting on college football requires hours of homework, a lot of editing and manicuring of picks, discipline, money management and that quirky ability to pull the trigger when the time is just right. Itís certainly not easy but if you apply a little logic and learn from your mistakes, winning is more than certainly possible.

Letís surf Week 3 dude and bet exclusively on road teams to get the bacon this week. And we mean bacon and not Bac-Oís babyÖ

Saturday, Sept. 13

UCLA at #18 BYU (-10): UCLA looked solid in its opener against Tennessee and is a more-than-impressive 5-0 ATS in its last five against the Cougars. Toss in the fact that the Bruins are getting 10 points in a winnable game for them and this Chalkhead is taking the points in this marquee matchup. UCLA +10.

# 16 Oregon (-6) at Purdue: Itís not easy for opponents to win in West Lafayette but the Ducks arenít your average opponent. With Justin Roper making Oregon fans forget about Dennis Dixon after a school-record 688 total yards against Utah St last Saturday, this is one team to watch in 2008. Whether they can hang with USC and Cal and ASU in the Pac 10 is another story but trying to stop this team from rushing you to death is like trying to stop Kansas coach Mark Mangino from having another egg roll Ė impossible. OREGON -6.

#17 Penn State at (-26) at Syracuse: The Nittany Lions are just 1-3 ATS in their last four against the Orangemen but that statistic reflects a better Syracuse squad. Simply put, this team stinks this season and if you canít cover against lowly Northwestern or Akron, then good luck against JoePa & Co., even at home. PENN STATE (BEST BET).

Iowa State (+13) at Iowa: The Cyclones are 9-1 ATS versus Iowa since 1998 and 7-3 SU so getting a passel-full of points suits this favorite freak just fine. The pressure is on Kirk Ferentz to win this game against his intrastate rival but Iowa State plays in the Big 12 and ainít scared of no Big Ten team. Of note, the last three meeting have gone under, including last yearís 15-13 win by the Cyclones. IOWA STATE +13.

#23 California (-10) at Maryland: The Terps went completely into their shell against MTSU last Saturday and it looks like a long season in College Park. Maryland has scored 14 points in both their games and is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight lined September home tilts. CAL -10.

# 14 East Carolina (-14) at Tulane: The Pirates have looked phenomenal in the first two games, upsetting Virginia Tech and West Virginia and now get the Green Wave in Nawlins. Tulane is a respectable 3-1 ATS in this series recently but now that EC is ranked, expect them to play up to their expectations and win by at least two TDs here. Last year the Pirates made Tulane walk the plank, 35-12 as 13-point favorites. EAST CAROLINA -14.

# 22 Utah (-25) at Utah State: This is an annual go-on for me and although the pointspread is awfully high for a road team, I canít back the team Sports Illustrated ranked last out of 119 teams. The trend in this series strongly favors the Utes who are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six against their intrastate foe and a perfect 4-0 against the line the last four in Logan. Last year, Brian Johnson and the Utes failed to cover (34-18) as 21 Ĺ-point underdogs. Tread lightly in your amount (minimum) on this play. UTAH -25.

BONUS: GEORGIA -7 over South Carolina; ARIZONA -10 over at New Mexico.

Sunday, Sept. 14

Raiders at Chiefs -2Ĺ: I filed this pick before watching the MNF game between KC and Oakland but I doubt anything I saw would have changed the pick as the trends are too powerful to place a penny on Al Davisí boys. KC Ė who hung with AFC champs NE in Week 1 Ė is 9-1 SU in its last 10 vs the Raiders while Oakland is a woeful 2-17 SU in its last 19 away from home. You do the math. CHIEFS -2Ĺ, UNDER..

NY Giants (-7) at Rams: The Super Bowl champions havenít lost ATS on the road in over a year Ė Sept. 9, 2007 to be exact (Cowboys) Ė and I donít think the Rams pose much of a threat in this one. Lay the TD and donít think much about it. And GT Sports Editor Mark Mayer and I agree this should be duck UNDER the total. GIANTS (BEST BET).

Steelers (-5Ĺ) at Browns: Like Siriusís Scott Ferrall says, the Browns can never beat the Steelers. Iím not going to argue. STEELERS -5Ĺ (BEST BET).

BONUS: BUCS over Falcons.

LAST WEEK:
SEASON:
PCT. 
    6-4
  13-6
68.4%