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Chalk Talk College Football Betting Tips 09-17-08

Sep 17, 2008 7:30 PM

Chalk Talk College Football Betting Tips by Kevin Stott | Boy did the Pac-10 conference throw some salt in my game last weekend with UCLA (+10), Oregon (-6), California (-10) and Arizona (-10) all failing to cover their spreads. A 6-7-1 week would have been a 6-4 week had I not been drunk on that Pac-10-flavored moonshine.

Enough bitching baby as that will do us no good for this coming weekend. Time to just get back up on that horse and hope he doesn’t buck off us again as laying lumber in mid-September can devolve into quite a dicey thing.

Thursday, Sept. 18

Kansas State (-2½) at Louisville: The way the Cardinals looked against Kentucky makes it hard to ever want to back them again. KSU is way better this year and has one of the best special teams units in the nation. And residing in the all-powerful Big 12 doesn’t hurt their cause either. Louisville won 24-6 in 2006. KANSAS STATE -2½.

Saturday, Sept. 20

Temple at Penn State (-27): Last year Penn State shut out the Owls, 31-0 and the Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last six and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against Temple. Some think JoePa will go light on his former TE and now Owls head coach Al Golden but this team has scored 55 points three straight games and ‘scoring’ is pretty much a new word in Temple’s vocabulary. Lay the lumber Paul Bunyan and think seriously about taking PSU in the FIRST HALF also as the score should be about 28-7 at that point. PENN STATE -27 (BEST BET).

Wyoming at BYU (-25): The Cougars have outscored the Cowboys 90-17 the last two meetings and have covered four straight against their MWC foes. The number may seem out of whack but after BYU’s rain dance on UCLA’s head, the adjustment by the linemakers seems justified. Still, BYU should roll over this team and there’s a reason why this number seems so high. Note, the UNDER is 7-2 the last nine in this series. BYU -25.

LSU at Auburn (-1½): The total hadn’t been set at this writing but after witnessing the Georgia-South Carolina (14-7) and Auburn-Mississippi State (3-2) finals, and tossing in 7-1 UNDER trend in this series, I’m going low, as in the UNDER. Neither team will want to lose and will rely on their defenses to try and hold the other at bay. Checkmate.

Eastern Michigan at Maryland (-18): With RB Da’Rel Scott and WR Darius Heyward-Bey, the Terps have some weapons, as they showed in their upset over nationally ranked Cal last Saturday. Eastern Michigan, on the other hand, has been spanked by Michigan State and Toledo and is not a team I want to ever put my hard-earned money on. MARYLAND -18.

Buffalo at Missouri (-34): Another over-inflated point spread and another chalk I’m backing. Mizzou’s offense has been on cruise control this season and has scored virtually at will with the dynamic duo of Chase Daniel and Jeremy Maclin leading the way. This will get ugly early on in Columbia and a 55-14 final will get the job done. MISSOURI -34.

Florida (-7) at Tennessee: Tim Tebow and the Gators are stronger than Tennessee this year and with a 6-4-2 ATS record in this series, have a small edge. Quite simply, the better team usually wins and often covers. FLORIDA -7.

Georgia (-7) at Arizona State: The Sun Devils were embarrassed last week in Tempe by UNLV so I’m siding with the SEC heavy in this one. This should be a high-scoring game also. GEORGIA -7.

Louisiana-Monroe at Tulane (-4½): Tulane is for real people – just check out the box scores to see how much defense they play. And the Warhawks aren’t getting any of my money anyway. TULANE -4½.

South Florida (-23) at Florida International: The Bulls are one of the nation’s top teams – don’t let the Kansas game fool you – and FIU is a perennial doormat. Let’s side with the better squad. SOUTH FLORIDA -23.

BONUS NFL PICKS: PATRIOTS, GIANTS
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