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Chalk Talk College Football Betting Tips 10-22-08

Oct 22, 2008 7:32 PM

Chalk Talk College Football Betting Tips by Kevin Stott |

Former King Rat North Texas actually shut out an opponent – ULM – in the second half last Saturday to earn a dirty backdoor cover and ruin a perfectly good weekend in Chalkville. There goes my chance of buying a Mean Green coffee mug.

Enough of the past, let’s move on to the future where the opportunity to turn those 8½ x 14" spreadsheets from the sports books into a little green paper – hopefully with pictures of Ben Franklin’s mug on them…

Saturday, Oct. 25

Northwestern (-9, Las Vegas Hilton SuperBook) at Indiana: The Hoosiers have played pretty poorly this season and have mustered only 7, 9 and 14 points (10 PPG) in their last three games. Northwestern, on the other hand, has looked very good this year, and should enjoy this weak spot in its schedule after playing Big 10 foes Iowa, Michigan State and Purdue consecutively.

Trend-wise, the Wildcats are 5-1 ATS after Purdue, 3-1 ATS the last four in this series but just 0-5 ATS their last five as a road favorite. Indiana is pretty beat up on its OL and star QB Kellen Lewis has been replaced by sophomore Ben Chappell (12-29, 172 yds vs. Illini) who is pretty green to say the least.

Although it’s Homecoming at IU, there can’t be a lot to cheer about in Bloomington where the hometown Hoosiers are a winless 0-6 ATS. And with Northwestern (6-1 SU) starting to really jell, expect the purple to reign in the Hoosier State. Prediction: Northwestern 34 Indiana 14. NORTHWESTERN.

Eastern Michigan at Ball State (-24): Brady Hoke’s boys came out as the No. 20-ranked team in the first BCS standings of the season and dwell in all of the Top 25 rankings this week. With QB Nate Davis, all is possible in David Letterman-ville, and with a patsy like Eastern Michigan (No. 8 on my latest Rats 11 list) coming to town, the word of the week may be blowout.

Last year, the Cardinals nested the Eagles, 38-16 and Ball State is 3-0 ATS in its last three meetings and 7-2 ATS the last nine in the series. EM is just 1-6 ATS with its lone win coming against Bowling Green as a 20-point underdog! And although they lost Dante Love to a tragic injury earlier this season, this team is still motivated and wants to slice off a piece of the MAC pie.

Also of note for you sports bettors, Ball State has covered every game (6-0) so far this season and the way I see it, if a team is consistent at getting you the money, ride them out until you lose. And you may want to bet this early as the majority of players will be leaning toward the home team here. Prediction: Ball State 44 EM 14. BALL STATE.

Wyoming at TCU (-31): The last time Wyoming covered was the third week of last season – that’s 15 straight games without churning the butter for its bettors! And despite the fact this school had a week off, do some homework and see that the Cowboys have scored just 7 points (0, 0, 7) in MWC play. The Frogs may shut Wyoming out here. And who in God’s name wins games when the inspirational music played at home games is "Cotton-Eye Joe?"

Trend bettors will love the fact that TCU is an impressive 13-4 ATS in its last 17 as a home favorite and statisticians will love the fact that the Frogs are No. 1 in the nation in rush defense. And with Andy Dalton getting it done at QB and a No. 14 ranking

in the BCS this week, this is another purple-colored team to bet on. Even a MapQuest of the end zone might not help Wyoming in this spot. Prediction: TCU 47-0. TCU. (BE$T BET$).

Colorado State (-7½) at San Diego State: Perusing the schedule I noticed that CSU has had four pretty tough games (TCU, Cal, Utah, Houston) while SDS has just two (AFA, TCU). I also saw that the Aztecs lost to Cal-Poly SLO. And after getting cranked by New Mexico, 70-7 last week, my guess is that morale isn’t too high on the SDS campus. Prediction: Colorado State 30 San Diego State 17. COLORADO ST.

Troy State (-24) at North Texas: The aforementioned Mean Green are so bad that every team they play feels bad for them by the second half! Seriously folks. Talk about calling off the dogs and letting some of your starters sit. This is that team. And it’s weird to think that this NT team was pretty formidable about four years ago.

With games against heavies like Oklahoma State and Ohio State already under its belt, Troy State is certainly battle-tested. And the Trojans have shown they can blast the weaker teams as Week 2’s 65-0 shutout over Alcorn State reveals. This could be 28-0 at the end of the first quarter, meaning throwing a buck or two on Troy State for the FIRST HALF.

Last year, Troy banged up NT, 45-7 and this one should be a carbon copy in result and point margin. Also, the Trojans are 6-1 ATS their last seven as a road favorite. Alright, just take the good team over the bad team boy. Prediction: Troy State 49 North Texas 10. TROY STATE.

Rats 11 List

Wyoming

Washington State

North Texas

Idaho

Washington

Indiana

Syracuse

Eastern Michigan

Arkansas

San Diego State

Army

LAST WEEK 
SEASON
WIN PCT.
7-3
   53-34
    60.9%

 

BEST BET$
SEASON
WIN PCT.
0-1
    11-4
   73.3%