LP Field (grass), Nashville, Tennessee
Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans
TV: ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET/5:15 p.m. PT
Weather: (615) 737-2255 (Forecast: Hi 55/Lo 31; 10% Precipitation)
Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (-4, 40 Las Vegas Hilton SuperBook): Respect the fact that the Colts are solid on MNF, going 5-0 ATS in their last five but this Titans team has been among the best in the NFL to start the season, and is off to a perfect 6-0 ATS mark. Trend-wise, Tennessee is also 5-0 ATS L5 against the AFC, 10-1 ATS L11 vs the AFC South and 6-0 ATS its last six on grass. Another nice one, the Titans are 4-0 ATS their L4 vs Indy.
Personnel-wise, Indianapolis, off a 20-point loss at Green Bay last weekend, looks a bit long in the tooth and although QB Manning and WR Harrison are theoretically healthy, they don’t look the same as in they did a couple years back. For the Titans, rookie RB Chris Johnson has been phenomenal and gives the Titans rush-oriented offense a nice complement with LenDale White.
Although it’s obvious Indianapolis needs the game more than Tennessee, I think the site will play a pretty big factor here. For one, the crowd will be out of their gourd hosting a MNF game and did you see the weather forecast? Thirty-one degrees for the possible low temp? Bet the boys from Naptown – used to their climate-controlled dome – will be a bit chilly should the mercury dip below 40 degrees and with a hard-hitting and effective Titans defense, scoring won’t come easy for the visitors.Note the total has been bet down from 42 to 40 at this writing. Also, MNF overs were perfect heading into last Monday’s Broncos game, which barely ducked under the closing number, though some early bettors won with the over at 46 and 46½. This looks very much like an UNDER, especially if Nashvilly is chilly. But the pick here tonight is with the NFL’s most consistent team up until this point. TITANS -4.
BONUS PICK: Detroit Red Wings (-170) at Los Angeles Kings: I know hockey is not the sexiest sport for most gamblers but the Stanley Cup champs have had the Kings number for quite some time and went 2-0 vs LA last year, allowing just one goal while scoring seven in the two wins. And even if backup Conklin gets the start over Osgood, this team is good enough to find a way to get the "W." RED WINGS -170.
PICK 3: Titans (Moneyline)-Phillies (Hamels)-Red Wings.