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Palace Station Seminar 1, Curlin 4

Oct 28, 2008 4:04 PM

Getting Rich with Saber by Richard Saber> |

LAST WK
NCAA
NFL
6-4
47-42-3
7-5-1

This past week Curlin finished fourth in his attempt to win the Breeders’ Cup Classic but our big seminar at Palace Station was a huge success.

We had a packed house and it was a pleasure to be there with the very knowledgeable Ralph Siraco and Vic Vivio. We are looking to get together again for the Kentucky Derby and would like to thank everyone that attended.

The Europeans crossed the pond and ruled, so what can be said about their dominance? Are the Euro trainers superior or do their horses do better since they have no drugs at all? Or as Vic Vivio brought up to me on Sunday, "maybe they just have better drugs."

In the NFL, the double-digit chalk continued to fail as the Jets opened up as a -12½ point favorite over the Chiefs and were actually bet up to -14 at game time. The result was the Jets barely escaping with a 28-24 win.

Let’s move on to this week’s games as there are several I will be betting this morning.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Saturday, Nov. 1

Air Force -10 at Army: Flyboys have won nine of the last 10 and have covered eight of those. But I am not sold that they will continue that trend. Army has found defense and has covered its last five. Look for the Cadets to keep this one close. ARMY.

Louisville -14 at Syracuse: I just can’t believe Thanksgiving is right around the corner. I will do something that I have been preaching not to do – lay double digits. And, especially on the road! The ‘Ville is coming off a huge win over South Florida and it will carry over in this revenge game. LOUISVILLE.

Miami -1 at Virginia: The Cavs have really come to life in their last four games after crushed by USC, losing to UConn and Duke. Since then they have won and covered four straight while playing some big-time defense. VIRGINIA.

Missouri -19½ at Baylor: Tigers crushed Colorado last week and against my better judgment will lay the points again on the road. Missouri has owned Baylor and will continue that dominance with another blowout. MISSOURI.

San Diego St +3 at Wyoming: These are really two bad teams but the Cowboys may be the worst of the worst, averaging just 8.75 points a game. Plus, Wyoming is 0-8 ATS this year. SAN DIEGO ST.

Colorado +2½ at Texas A&M: Buffaloes offense has gone stagnant in the last six games while Aggies can put points on the board. Less then a field goal looks to be an automatic. TEXAS A&M.

Pittsburgh +5½ at Notre Dame: Pitt was humiliated last week and now must travel and face upstart Notre Dame. Just don’t see the Panthers recovering from last week’s debacle. Irish on a high with big easy road win. NOTRE DAME.

Florida -5½ vs Georgia: The game of the week set for Jacksonville. This will feature two of the best college football teams in the country if not the two best. Georgia has just been an amazing team on the road (28-5-1 SU since 2001) as I wrote last week. GEORGIA.

Michigan +1½ at Purdue: Best shot since 2000 that the Boilermakers have to get win over Wolverines. Neither team has much, but the home field advantage will payoff in the very close game. PURDUE.

BYU -14 at Colorado St: Cougars have been exposed, going 0-4 ATS in their last four with each going under the total. COLORADO ST.

Boise St -20 at New Mexico St: Broncos crushed the Aggies last year, 58-0. You won’t see that many points this year, but another shutout is possible. State put up just 14 last week against lowly Idaho in a 6-point loss. Here I go again laying all that wood on the road, I must be losing it. BOISE ST.

TCU -13 at UNLV: Rebels off another heartbreaking loss and now must face defense-minded Horned Frogs, who have given up just 7 a game in their last four. TCU.

Arizona St +12½ at Oregon St: If you are stuck at this late time on Saturday you will be able to recoup with this get out game. Beavers are on major roll as they have won and covered five straight and in big time revenge mood in this payback game. OREGON ST.

NFL

LIONS +12½

BRONCOS -4 (best bet)

FLASH: Steubenville finished its sixth straight perfect regular year, 34-14 over Cardinal O’Hara (PA). The Big Red have won 60 regular season games in a row heading to the Ohio high school playoffs.