Chalk Talk College Football Betting Tips 10-29-08

Oct 29, 2008 6:21 PM

Chalk Talk College Football Betting Tips by Kevin Stott |

A real sign that the world must be coming to an end: GT’s Richard Saber actually took three double-digit favorites in his Getting Rich With Saber column this week. Better start hording water and Top Ramen folks.

A personal note on Daylight Saving Time (Turn your clocks back an hour Saturday night at 2 a.m. and enjoy a 25-hour day): Take your bleeping hour back and quit making it dark at 4:30 you bastards.

Saturday, November 1

Air Force (-10, Las Vegas Hilton SuperBook odds, Monday morning) at Army: The Cadets have won 17 of 19 versus Army and the favorite in this series has gone 9-3 ATS and won 11 of those 12 SU. Army is better this year with QB Carson Williams and has got the money three straight. But Stan Brock’s boys are 0-5 ATS against its military brethren at Michie Stadium while AFA is 5-1 ATS its L6 vs Army and 5-0 ATS the L5 away.

Rushing will surely dominate this game and although it will likely not be one you will TiVo, it may be a good to try and make a shekel or two on this early (9 a.m. PT) game. Over the last two years, the Flyboys have outscored the Cadets, 47-17. Prediction: Air Force 34 Army 20. AIR FORCE.

Louisville (-14) at Syracuse: LY, Syracuse pulled one of the biggest pointspread upsets in CFA history, upsetting Louisville, 38-35 as a 37½-point underdog! The timing is really bad for Syracuse as The Ville is coming off an upset of their own of South Florida, the revenge factor will be huge and the Orangemen will be angry that their favorite month, October (get it, Orangemen, October, pumpkins?) came to an end at midnight. Prediction: Louisville 38 Syracuse 20 LOUISVILLE.

# 1 Texas (-6) at #6 Texas Tech: There’s been a line of demarcation drawn here in the brown tiles of the offices here at GamingToday in this Game of the Week. Managing Editor David Stratton and Sports Editor Mark Mayer are solidly behind TT +6 with Senor Stratton saying the Red Raiders "will win the game outright." Yours truly and Parlay Card Manager Richie Saber are backing the top-ranked Longhorns in Lubbock. No blood was shed, but no doubt whoever wins will just forget about it and go on to handicapping the following week.

As for the trends, Texas is 3-1 ATS is L4 against TT and the last six games in this series have averaged 80.3 PPG, with last year’s Lone Star State tussle totaling 102! (Texas romped 59-43). Both QB’s, the Longhorns McCoy and the Red Raiders Harrell, are superb athletes and Harrell has the ultra-talented Michael Crabtree – my cat Sake’s favorite player – to throw to.

The simple difference in this one will become evident late in the second quarter – Texas can play some defense when they have to while playing solid defense is a relatively new concept in Lubbock. Saw LVSC released this at -4. Oh to get a piece of that pie. Prediction: Texas 51 Texas Tech 35. TEXAS, OVER.

Washington State at Stanford (-30): The Cougars are playing like Gonzaga Prep this year, being outscored by almost a million points in Pac-10 play. Stanford is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 but are just 0-5-1 ATS as a favorite of 21 points. This one will get ugly early so bet the FIRST HALF (should be -17). Last year, the Cardinal lost to WSU, but that was then and this is now so just bet the better team in this mismatch. Prediction: Stanford 50 Washington State 7. STANFORD.

#12 TCU (-13½) at UNLV: TCU was good to Chalkville readers last week, crunching Wyoming, 54-7 in Fort Worth as the lone BE$T BET of the week. Phenomenal at defense, the Horny Toads – excuse me, the Horned Frogs – are the best they’ve been in years and probably believe if they win at #10 Utah next Saturday they will have a chance at a BCS bowl game.

Last season, TCU covered versus UNLV, 34-10 as 19½-point underdog and with the momentum and phenom Andy Dalton behind center, this selection is fairly easy considering the point spread. Granted, UNLV be schizophrenic – (They can win at ASU but not at CSU?) – but TCU is too disciplined and doesn’t find ways to beat themselves like other teams. Prediction: TCU 33 UNLV 10. TCU.

North Texas at Western Kentucky (-16½): Betting against North Texas has become an instant Chalk Talk tradition, and this week will be no different. I looked at all the first half scores

Of the Mean Green’s games and the scores all looked like finals (25-7, 31-20, 28-0, 56-20). The Hilltoppers may be new to the betting board and one of the weirdest mascots in all of sports – is that a big, fat red peanut M&M? – but this team is scrappy and playing a rat like NT is just what the doctor ordered. WKU actually lost to NT by a point LY but this game will Bowling Green and a blowout is the soup du jour. Prediction: WKU 55 NT 10.

BONUS OVERS: Kansas State-Kansas, Oregon-California, Oklahoma-Nebraska, Arizona St-Oregon State.

BONUS UNDERDOG on MONEYLINE PICK: San Diego State (over Wyoming +4)

Rats 11 List
1.
Wyoming
1.
Nort Texas
1.
Washington State
4.
Washington
5.
Idaho
6.
San Diego State
7.
Army
8.
Miami (Ohio)
9.
UL-Monroe
10.
Eastern Michigan
11.
Washington

 

LAST WEEK
SEASON
PCT
3-3
56-37
60.2
BE$T BET$
LAST WEEK
SEASON
PCT
1-0
12-4
 75%